October 9, 2020, 6:19 pm
Article by Devin Ellington (@daellie007 on Twitter)
Louisville (-5.5) vs. Georgia Tech
For starters, the Yellow Jackets are going to be down a handful of guys, most notably in their front seven as well as in their CB depth. Georgia Tech is already one of the most young and most inexperienced teams in all of college football. They just became even more for this game after losing that handful of guys. GT, perhaps due to youth, commits close to eleven penalties per game and I believe that is going to be a huge factor. I am looking for the Cardinals to get the job done here on the road and to cover the spread of -5.5. This line should be Louisville -10 in my opinion, especially with the youth and depth woes for the Yellow Jackets.
Bet: Louisville -5.5
Clemson (-15) vs. Miami
Last week Clemson did not cover against a UVA team that has a way less dynamic QB than Miami does in D’Erik King. Miami also features a better defense with more talent than what the Cavs rolled out against Clemson. With a Heisman hopeful running the offense for Manny Diaz and “The U” I believe King can outduel Trevor Lawrence straight up so I am happy to get the fifteen points. I hold a futures ticket for the Hurricanes QB to win the Heisman trophy and this would be a huge statement. The Tigers lost a ton of talent in the d-line and LB corps. If Miami gets some defensive stops and they answer when Clemson scores (or stops) then this should be a close and a very fun game to watch.
Bet: Miami +15
Iowa St. (-13) vs. Texas Tech
I am targeting two different bets in this game and it starts with where these two teams are currently going. Iowa State is coming off of an impressive win over OU and TTU is coming off of a blown lead to Texas and a whacking taken at the hands of K State. Sure, ISU lost to the Ragin Cajuns (who we love dearly on the podcast) but they have answered and handled their early Big 12 conference schedule with poise. The Cyclones possess a better-than-typical Big 12 defense and phenomenal QB play behind Brock Purdy. The Red Raiders are also more than likely going to be down THREE wide receivers and their starting QB, Alan Bowman. I am looking for Matt Cambell to have his team ready and more than amped to win this game in Aimes by at least two touchdowns.
Bet(s): ISU -13 & under 62.5
Charlotte (-3) vs. UNT
The Mean Green were exposed versus one of the worst NCAAF teams in the country in Southern Miss last weekend. But, they were hit with the COVID bug hard and ruled a decent amount of guys out prior to that game. Needless to say that their depth is still lacking this week. UNT allows a 92.31 RZ scoring% and Charlotte scores in the red zone 66.67% of the time. Look for them to have three early and successful redzone trips against this UNT defense. Charlotte features a solid front seven that is often overlooked. The Charlotte defense on the season allows 28 ppg to their opposition…UNT allows 53! Look for Charlotte to win this game by controlling the clock and taking advantage of their red zone trips as well as the takeaways that they create (they are averaging 1.5 per game).
Bet: Charlotte -3
Texas vs Oklahoma (Total: 70)
OH BOY … here we go. The Red River Rivalry/Shootout/whatever-it’s-called-this-year is going to feature a ton of points. Both defenses have been exposed and tested early. Texas allowed what seemed like 1,000 yards alone in the Texas Tech game (they probably should not have won that one) and the Sooners can’t seem to stop the run or the pass and are very susceptible to QBs who are above average runners that can also sling the rock like Sam Ehlinger. I am thinking that between Spencer Rattler and Ehlinger, we are going to see at least eight touchdowns between the two signal callers. Texas and Oklahoma both have dynamic and explosive playmakers placed around their QBs.
Bet: over 70