October 17, 2017, 4:30 pm
Funny what a year can do.
Last year we were opening up this amusement park, trying not to do anything too stupid while keeping our foot firmly on the gas.
We dominated the draft and the waiver runs and all throughout the buy low and sell high of the season.
We set a foundation for the future.
We’re feeling that foundation right now. All of our systems are stronger, our talent is more experienced and our knowledge-base continues to expand as we surge past 50 contributors.
Personally, this might be the most focused I have ever been in bringing these ranks together.
Every year that I have published The Bruski 150 I have approached it with one mentality.
Win money for myself and whatever the hell you’re betting for you. And we’ve done that each and every year.
Starting this venture, knowing that this flagship set of rankings is going to have a great deal of influence over how fantasy owners view this thing — there is even more pressure to get this right.
And I love it.
In this industry — playing this game — you either back the right horse or you’re yesterday’s news. Fantasy owners are more discerning than ever. They know BS when they see it and conversely they will show up in flocks and droves if you have the goods.
These are the goods.
I take this list into high stakes competitions every year and win with it. My competition prints the list out and they use it against me.
It doesn’t matter. We’re going to beat the vig, beat the odds and over time we’re going to win hand over fist.
For those of you who have followed me from Rotoworld I thank you for your readership, your loyalty and all of the kind words you have provided during this transition.
It wasn’t easy leaving a place I had called home for nearly 10 years. Having the name opens some doors for you, but eventually you have to make a move in this industry.
Hoop Ball wants you to call this your new home for fantasy basketball as you seek to get the most out of this game.
Or maybe you just want to kick a few beers back, draft blindly and talk trash throughout the year.
Either way, this list can be your one-stop shop for dominance and you don’t even have to read a single blurb.
Or you can read every blurb. You can participate in our forums, listen to our pods and weigh in with all of our interactive programming.
We’re not waiting for the TV money to dry up. We’re not sitting on our hands complaining about the status quo. We want to change the way this industry works by adding VALUE at every juncture.
This list epitomizes everything I want Hoop Ball to be. Over three months of nightly research poured into one big, massive bet.
We’re not settling for fifth place. We want it all. Now let’s go get a chip.
The ground rules….
- This is a fearless list. I’m not trying to play it safe. I’m not trying to stay in the friendly confines of industry consensus. I’ll probably have a high profile miss. But as regular readers know, we’re going to hit far more than we miss. And we’re going to hit real big on a bunch of them. This list will guide how much you should pay, who you should reach for and who you should run the other direction from.
- This is a Roto list. It’s not a head-to-head list or a points league list. It’s not a list to account for playoff formats. Frankly I’d prefer it to not even include 9-cat rankings because it’s terrible to penalize better players for handling the ball a lot. But because we all play 9-cat I include my ranks for 9-cat and the associated Average Draft Positions (ADP), as well. While I’m banging on 9-cat leagues I’ll bang on playoff leagues, too. Why go through the nightly grind of the NBA season to have the ever-growing problem of shutdowns determine your league.
- You can now sort the list. The ADP losses and gains don’t relate well for players toward the beginning and end of the draft as they do for players in the top 30-100, nor does it correlate well to actual fantasy value being returned. But it does give you a quick way to know how early or late a player is going. We’ll always be looking at new features like this as we grow but we will also want to maintain the simplicity of this list.
- Though this is a top-150 list (including 50 more honorable mentions at the end), each player in the top 350 or so has been hand-projected for each category. Those projections have been scrutinized in every context that might affect the final outcome. A proprietary blend of methodologies – both quantitative and qualitative – is used to weave the resulting numbers into these rankings.
- This is a year-long list. By ranking a player (for example) No. 33, I am predicting they will finish as the 33rd ranked player at the end of the year, cumulatively. In that respect, it is vital owners know that I am not intending for them to draft players in this order. You may also consider a player’s early or late season trajectory. A young player that profiles better at the end of the year will probably play under that rank to start and over that rank to finish.
- Again, owners need to consider their specific marketplace and determine where they would like to draft players based on ADP, strength of their league and the like. Just because I rank a guy way ahead of his ADP, or if the ADP doesn’t exist because the guy isn’t getting drafted enough – it doesn’t mean you grab him where I rank him.
- ADPs are pulled from ESPN for 8-cat and Yahoo for 9-cat and are updated along with most of the other updates.
- These are pure values that don’t account for any punting or specialized team builds you might want to look at. If you want to adjust for punting or a specific type of team build you’ll need to do that on your own. For what it’s worth I seek balance when building a team whether it’s Roto or H2H.
- The only place on this list where I might eschew prediction end-of-season is toward the bottom of the 150. I do build in some logic for flier picks and upside guys over the plodders who are going to get three yards and a cloud of dust for 76 games.
So without further ado, I give you the Bruski 150:
UPDATED THROUGH ITEMS POSTED: October 15, 3:19 a.m.
February 20, 2019, 12:35 amDwight Howard - C - Washington Wizards
Dwight Howard will return to Washington D.C. and start on-court work on Wednesday.
Dwight has been recovering from November spine surgery, and it's good to see him progressing. He's still a few steps away from playing, and with the injuries he's been dealing with this season, it's hard to see him being useful outside of deep free throw punt teams. More likely, the greatest impact he'll have is eventually taking a few minutes from Thomas Bryant and Bobby Portis.
Source: Shams Charania on Twitter
February 19, 2019, 9:22 pmHenry Ellenson - F - New York Knicks
Henry Ellenson plans to sign a 10-day contract with the Knicks.
Ellenson has shown promise at times, but he has never really put together any fantasy-relevant stretches. Leave him on the wire for now, but it's not impossible to imagine a scenario where the tanking Knicks are missing or sitting a couple bigs, giving Ellenson some decent run.
Source: Shams Charania on Twitter
February 19, 2019, 8:29 pmClint Capela - C - Houston Rockets
Clint Capela (thumb) returned to practice on Tuesday with no limitations, which could determine his playing status for Thursday's game against the Lakers.
Capela underwent surgery on January 17 and was initially given a 4-to-6 week timetable, so this would be at the early end of a return. The fact that he is returning to practice without any limitations is a great sign for owners, meaning a return is imminent. Watch out for the Rockets injury report on Wednesday.
Source: Jonathan Feigen on Twitter
February 19, 2019, 7:36 pmJodie Meeks - G - Toronto Raptors
Jodie Meeks is signing a 10-day contract with the Raptors, per Adrian Wojnarowski.
Meeks was waived by the Bucks following the conclusion of his 25-game suspension for violating the league's anti-drug program. He hasn't played since last season with Washington and is unlikely to see much action with Toronto. He'll give the team some extra shooting when he does see the floor.
Source: Adrian Wojnarowski on Twitter
February 19, 2019, 4:41 pmJared Dudley - F - Brooklyn Nets
Jared Dudley (left hamstring strain) was scheduled to be re-evaluated on Tuesday.
Dudley has already made it known that he's planning to return right out of the All-Star break, so unless today's checkup revealed some kind of further issue we're expecting him to be ready for Brooklyn's two games this week. His biggest fantasy impact will be taking minutes from more intriguing players.
Source: Greg Logan on Twitter
February 19, 2019, 4:39 pmCaris LeVert - G - Brooklyn Nets
Caris LeVert will undergo an evaluation from the Nets medical staff on Tuesday.
There's no sign of any setbacks from LeVert but the team will obviously keep a close eye on him after he's returned from a dislocated foot. This shouldn't be anything more than routine maintenance, so fantasy owners don't need to worry about it.
Source: Greg Logan on Twitter
February 19, 2019, 4:33 pmRay Spalding - F - Phoenix Suns
The Suns are expected to sign Ray Spalding to a 10-day contract.
Spalding was the 56th pick in last summer's draft but only appeared in one NBA game this season with the Mavs. He was waived at the trade deadline with Dallas taking on one more player than they sent away, and will look to make an impression in a crowded Phoenix rotation. His college numbers (12.3 points, 8.7 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.7 blocks in 27.7 minutes per game) make him a name to file away in deep dynasty leagues.
Source: Gina Mizell on Twitter
February 19, 2019, 11:44 amMarShon Brooks - G - Chicago Bulls
Marshon Brooks has agreed to terms with the Guangdong Tigers of the Chinese Basketball Association, according to Sportando.
Brooks played 29 games for the Grizzlies this season averaging 6.6 points and he is expected to replace Malcolm Delaney. Leave him on the waiver wire.
February 19, 2019, 11:35 amKristaps Porzingis - F/C - Dallas Mavericks
Mark Cuban said that Kristaps Porzingis won't play this season, even if the Mavs somehow are able to make the playoffs.
The Mavs want to put their world-class training staff, led by Casey Smith, to work, strengthening Porzingis’ body the rest of this season and throughout the summer to hopefully prevent similar injuries in the future. And after all, given the amount of money the Mavs could be committing to KP this summer, a max salary of $158 million, there is no need to risk something happening to him in a season where making the playoffs seems unlikely. Kristaps remains a great stash in redraft leagues.
February 19, 2019, 11:23 amLeBron James - F - Los Angeles Lakers
Joe Vardon of The Athletic is reporting that the Lakers are "somehow a little concerned" about LeBron James.
LeBron hasn’t been showing the same speed or overall movement lately and the team is concerned that he’s not fully recovered from the groin injury that cost him to miss a career-high 18 games. The Lakers are in the 10th place in the Western Conference, three games behind the Clippers for the eighth and final playoff spot and they will need LeBron to be healthy for the rest of the season. James is averaging 26.8 points, 8.6 rebounds and 7.6 assists in 35 minutes per game, while his shooting percentage (51 percent), 3-point percentage (35 percent) and free-throw percentage (68 percent) are all down from last season. He is still returning borderline top-15 value in standard leagues and owners can only hope he doesn’t suffer a setback.
Source: The Athletic