March 30, 2016, 3:16 pm
As always, you can consider us here at HOOP-BALL to be your fantasy meteorologists. The play of every player except for the elite will always have peaks and valleys throughout the course of the season. We will exclude the elite performing at high levels because otherwise we will have the same hot players weekly. Instead, we will focus on role players who can either make or break your championship run. Let’s dive in and find out WHO’S HOT and WHO’S COLD this week.
Hit me up either on twitter @giovannimusa or in the comments section and let me know what you think!
PG – J.J. Barea, Dallas Mavericks
The little ball of fire known as J.J. Barea – generously listed as 6’0” – has been as hot as can be over the past couple of weeks. He has taken advantage of a scheme switch to small ball, as well as an injury to star player Chandler Parsons. The Mavs find themselves in a fight for eight seed in the Western Conference, and aside from Dirk Nowitzki, Barea has arguably been the best player of late.
Over the past seven games, Barea is averaging 26.2 minutes, 15.6 points, 2.0 threes, 2.6 rebounds and 5.4 assists on 48.9% shooting from the field. Over that time span, Barea has gone from a top 230 player to a top 90/115 (8-cat/9-cat).
Taking a closer look at his stats shows that he has taken full advantage of the increased opportunity. As his role has increased, so have his efficiency and production. His usage rate has risen from 23.0 to 26.0. He is taking 4.1 more FGA per game, while seeing his FG% rise from 43.2% to 48.9%. He is taking nearly one more 3PTA per game, but has seen his 3PT% rise from 36.7% to 50.0%. He’s also attempting 3.2 more FG within 10 feet at the rim, but has maintained his 50% efficiency. Not stopping there, he is taking 1.3 more FGA in transition, and has seen his conversion rate rise from 47.2% to 54.5%. All of this while raising his assist percentage from 30.9% to 35.9% and maintaining a turnover percentage around 13.5.
Barea has been flaming hot and could arguably be the most influential pickup during the fantasy playoffs. He has taken full advantage of the opportunity presented to him and has shown no signs of slowing down. With Deron Williams suffering from a groin injury, expect Barea’s role to increase further. If by any chance you are still in the playoffs and Barea finds himself on your waiver, run and pick him up immediately.
SG – Avery Bradley, Boston Celtics
As Isaiah Thomas continues to light the world on fire, his flames seem to have spread out to his backcourt mate. Despite Avery Bradley suffering from illness the past few days, he has continued to produce at a high level for both his fantasy owners and the Celtics.
He has been producing at a top 45 level over the past seven games, posting up averages of 15.4 points, 1.4 threes, 4.3 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.9 steals on 45.7% shooting. Except for threes, those numbers are all slightly up over this stretch.
Now despite averaging fewer threes per game, he has made positive adjustments to his shot selection that have allowed him to maintain his scoring average but become slightly more efficient. With Jae Crowder out of lineup, Bradley has become more reliant on the 3PT and has become more of a slasher and finsher around the basket. His 3PT frequency has dropped from 40.7% to 28.3% despite his conversion rate slightly improving from 36% to 38.5%. He has substituted those 3PTA with FGA within 10 feet of the basket, increasing his frequency from 24.4% to 34.8%. His efficiency on such shots has also increased from an already impressive 66.5% to exceptional 78.1%. His increased movement and cutting has led to wide open layups and alley-oops.
Bradley has benefitted from the absence of Crowder, with another playmaker in Evan Turner entering the starting lineup. Turner has shown good chemistry with Bradley, hitting him on wide open cuts time and time again. Unfortunately Crowder is expected back very soon, which means Bradley won’t be this good much longer. But he remains a must-own and must-start player regardless of who is on the floor with him.
SF – Otto Porter, Washington Wizards
Just three weeks ago, Porter was featured in the “Who’s Cold?” section as he was so cold he was helping fight Global Warming. He should have been dropped in all but the deepest leagues and he simply wasn’t contributing. But as we have entered Spring, Porter has turned it up a few dozen notches and is playing extremely well as of late.
Over the past 10 games, Porter is averaging 34.6 minutes, 14.1 minutes, 1.8 threes, 6.5 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 1.5 steals and 0.8 blocks on 49.6% shooting. He has been absolutely fantastic with contributions across the board. Over this stretch, he has posted top 25/45 (9-cat/8-cat) value.
He was told by Randy Wittman to be more aggressive, and he has been just that. Unlike Porter’s cold stretch where he couldn’t hit an ocean with a beach ball, he sizzling hot right now. He shooting 50% from deep, up from his season average of 35.4%. He has increased his attempts from within 10 feet of the rime and in transition by almost one shot attempt per game while maintaining his efficiency.
But it hasn’t just been his scoring that has improved. He has been much more active on defense and on the boards, resulting in his across the board production. His minutes have increased and he will be getting all the playing time he can handle, as the Wizards need him for their playoff push. He is currently must-own and must-start. Make sure he is owned in your league.
PF – Julius Randle, Los Angeles Lakers
As another lost season for the Lakers winds down, Julius Randle is giving both the organization and the fan base hope with his recent play. In what is essentially his rookie season (he suffered a season ending injury just minutes into his rookie campaign), he is showing positive signs of growth as the season has progressed.
Over the past 14 games, Randle is averaging 12.9 points, 10.5 rebounds, 2.1 assists and 0.9 steals on 48.7% shooting from the field. He has been the Lakers’ most valuable fantasy player over that stretch, posting top 80 value.
The stats don’t tell the entire story. His shot selection remains relatively the same except for slight increase in transition opportunities. The increase in transition attempts coupled with his increase in his efficiency within 10 feet of the rim – up from 50.5% to 57.3% – have helped increase his efficiency. But it has been the evolution of his offensive game plus the increase in minutes that have helped boost his value the most.
Once a player who would rarely ever look for his teammates when touching the ball, he has become a much more willing passer. When the ball stops every time a player touches the ball, teammates are more hesitant to look their way. But as Randle has become a more willing passer (even recording a 18, 13 & 10 triple-double late last week), he has become more involved in the offense. He is never going to be a game-changer on the defensive end and in the defensive stats in fantasy, but if his assist totals and offensive efficiency continue to increase, so will his value to both the Lakers and fantasy owners. He is obviously must-own and has increased his appeal in keeper/dynasty leagues.
PF/C – Ed Davis, Portland Trail Blazers
A very common theme amongst NBA players considered to be hot is increased opportunity and playing time. As Meyers Leonard has missed time with an injury, Ed Davis’ playing time and opportunity have both increased. All he has done is go from a late-round value to an early-round value.
Over his past six games, Davis has averaged 22.2 minutes, 9.7 points, 9.3 rebounds, 1.0 assist, 1.5 steals and 1.7 blocks on 71% shooting from the field and 73.7% shooting from the charity stripe. He has been a per minute monster, posting top 25/30 (9-cat/8-cat) value over that stretch.
Considering most of Davis’ buckets are scored on put-backs and lobs, he will always be an efficient scorer. But those put-backs and lobs are created by his relentless motor, physical play and ability to always find himself in the right position. He has quickly become one of the NBA’s best big men off the bench, bringing value both offensively and defensively. He is great in pick-and-roll defense, and his physical ability allows him to stay in front of opponents and be a good rim protector.
He obviously won’t remain this good, but his work ethic and physical play will always make him a valuable player to the Blazers. As long as he continues to see an increase in minutes and opportunity with the Blazers, fantasy owners should expect him to be valuable for them as well.
July 13, 2020, 5:07 pmJae CrowderPF, Miami Heat
Jae Crowder's February trade to the Heat helped him finish the 2019-20 fantasy season with top-120 value in 8-category leagues.
Crowder actually cracked the top 100 in 9-category formats. He shot just 29.3 percent from deep in 45 games with the Grizzlies, but that jumped to 39.3 percent during 13 contests in a Heat uniform. Overall, Crowder averaged 10.4 points, 6.1 rebounds, 2.6 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. However, don't bank on him producing massive numbers if he plays for another contender next season.
July 13, 2020, 4:48 pmRichaun HolmesPF, Sacramento Kings
Richaun Holmes had to begin a 10-day quarantine period after leaving the Orlando bubble to pick up food.
Holmes was apparently expecting a delivery but left the Disney campus to get it. According to Shams Charania, there are eight days left in his quarantine. The Kings are slated to begin their schedule on July 31.
Source: Shams Charania on Twitter
July 13, 2020, 4:30 pmBam AdebayoC, Miami Heat
According to Goran Dragic, teammates Bam Adebayo and Kendrick Nunn are not practicing with the Heat on Monday.
Adebayo and Nunn missed practice on Friday as well. Derrick Jones Jr. previously tested positive for COVID-19 before being cleared for action. However, it's unknown why Adebayo and Nunn have still not appeared on the court.
Source: NBC Sports
July 13, 2020, 3:58 pmGoran DragicPG, Miami Heat
Goran Dragic bounced back nicely from an injury-plagued season to deliver top-140 value in 8-category leagues during 2019-20.
Dragic averaged 16.1 points, 3.1 rebounds, 5.1 assists, 0.6 assists, and 2.5 turnovers in 28.4 minutes per game while backing up Kendrick Nunn. Dragic only provided top-190 value for 9-category owners, but it's still a solid showing overall. 37.7 percent shooting from long range is a marked improvement from the 34.8 percent figure posted during his previous campaign.
July 13, 2020, 3:42 pmJustise WinslowSF, Memphis Grizzlies
Justise Winslow could only appear in 11 games all season as back issues prevented him from taking the court.
Winslow emerged as a viable point guard in 2018-19, finally finding a position that suited his strengths when the Heat were missing some bodies. Unfortunately he couldn't build on that momentum, as his numbers were down nearly across the board even when he was able to suit up. Winslow was a dreadful .388 from the field and .222 from deep, losing a full 3-pointer per game (1.5 to 0.5) despite an increase in minutes per game overall. Winslow's assists also took a slight dip with the Heat operating at full strength and his steals plummeted from 1.1 to 0.6. Winslow was unable to play with the Grizzlies after being traded, and he certainly won't be the team's starting PG, but we should find out his new fit in the Orlando session. The percentages have always been terrible, however, which likely caps him as a late-round type.
July 13, 2020, 3:38 pmTyus JonesPG, Memphis Grizzlies
Despite getting out of Minnesota, Tyus Jones was unable to carve out a larger role for himself this season, finishing with top-215 value.
Jones has always had the profile of someone who could chip in enough assists and steals to crack the top-150, even as a backup, but his minutes were limited with the Wolves. The Grizzlies were supposed to be a better spot for him to get minutes, but Jones actually saw his minutes cut from 22.9 to 19.0 this year. He still averaged 4.4 assists and 1.9 steals (as well as 0.7 triples and a low 0.8 turnovers for a PG) but De'Anthony Melton and his defensive prowess quickly got him above Jones on the depth chart. Jones is still a viable deep-league specialist but failed to capitalize on his new opportunity, limiting his overall fantasy appeal.
July 13, 2020, 3:32 pmJonathan IsaacPF, Orlando Magic
Steve Clifford has been pleased by Jonathan Isaac's progress in his rehab from a knee injury, but doesn't think the team will know whether Isaac can play for "2-to-3 weeks"
Isaac still can't play 5-on-5, though the Magic have barely started to play that with their healthy group anyway — they ran one quarter of full 5-on-5 in Monday's practice and did some halfcourt work, but that's been it so far. It's possible that Isaac is able to play in the league's restart but it sounds like he'll be cutting it close to the actual start date, and a return may come with minutes restrictions. We should get a better sense of a timeline once Isaac is able to go through full practices with his teammates.
Source: John Denton on Twitter
July 13, 2020, 3:28 pmKyle AndersonSF, Memphis Grizzlies
Kyle Anderson finished the 2019-20 fantasy season with top-230 value, averaging 5.7 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.5 blocks and 0.3 3-pointers in 19.3 mpg.
You can see SloMo's roto-friendly game, but there just wasn't enough to justify serious fantasy ownership this year. This was a far cry from last year's 29.8 mpg, and while Anderson did see his minutes increase after Jae Crowder was traded, it wasn't enough to undo the damage of a very slow start. Fantasy GMs should consider Anderson a potential late-round selection going forward, though it will largely depend on what the Grizzlies' forward rotation looks like around him.
July 13, 2020, 3:23 pmGorgui DiengC, Memphis Grizzlies
Gorgui Dieng had a few throwback weeks in 2019-20, posting middle-round value as a starter in place of Karl-Anthony Towns but finished with top-165/150 (8/9-cat) value overall.
Dieng was a legitimate top-100 option back in 2017 when he was getting big minutes, but since then he's been a depth player who gets minutes in the teens. A trade to a stacked Memphis frontcourt destroyed his fantasy appeal but we were able to see what type of production Dieng is still capable of. It's something to remember if he ever finds a larger role, but he'll only be a handcuff option until that happens. He averaged 7.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, 0.8 steals, 1.0 blocks and a career-high 0.9 triples in 17.5 mpg in total.
July 13, 2020, 3:09 pmMarko GuduricPG, Memphis Grizzlies
Marko Guduric mustered top-400 value in his first NBA season, averaging 4.0 points, 1.7 rebounds, 1.1 assists, 0.3 steals, 0.2 blocks and 0.6 triples per game.
Guduric was shaping up as a potential depth guard but only appeared in 42 games as De'Anthony Melton rocketed up the depth chart. He's not someone we'd expect to come into fantasy value in the coming years.