September 8, 2016, 10:31 pm
Ah, numbers. Those pesky integers that cause old schoolers to yell “NERDS” and for nerds to look down at old schoolers.
Fortunately, most of us fall in-between this made for Twitter argument about the eye test versus the spreadsheet.
But numbers do matter in fantasy leagues because duh. So understanding numbers is key to your success, and luckily it’s easier now than ever to get to the bottom of the numbers even if you’re not a numbers person.
Basketball Monster is our favorite place to do exactly that (hey Ken, free advertising!). They take the concepts of standard deviations and how a player’s production across eight or nine (or however many) categories relates to their overall value. In essence, somebody that theoretically scores 100 points per game but is league-worst in the other categories just isn’t good in standard fantasy leagues.
Their website calculates all of that on the spot and spits out a value. There are a few different ways one can evaluate that data, but the numbers are solid. And what they do is give us a context to talk about these players amidst all these different formats and here at Hoop Ball it allows us to be the best at what we do. We’re going to evaluate the stocks down to the penny and give you a professional analysis of what is happening.
Okay, to the terminology.
Top-150 player: A player performing in the top-150 (I know, we’re flying here)
Early-round player: Somebody performing in the top-50 give or take
Mid-round player: Top 50-100
Late-round player: Top 100-150
8- and 9-cat value, respectively: We’re giving you values for both of the two main formats
Must-add player: A player that you need to drop your worst player for. They need to be projected at a top-75 level for this recommendation to be made.
Must-own player: Somebody in the expressed league size should own the player.
Buy low: Reserved for players that have a strong probability of improving. Sell high is the obvious opposite of that.
Stop what you’re doing and run to the wire: Stop what you’re doing, really.
Low-level pickup: Corresponds to late-round value for the most part.
Mid-level pickup: Has a good chance to be a top-100 player. Upside can push a player with a late-round expectation into being a mid-level pickup.
High-level pickup: A shade below being a must-add player, because if they’re a must-add player we’re just going to say so. Think top 75-100 value.
Worth a look: Probably in the top 125-150 or even 175 range for a 12-team league.
Worth a flier: Something like less than 25 percent chance of hitting at a level that justifies the pickup.
Lottery ticket: A 5-10 percent chance of working out.
May 22, 2019, 12:27 amKyle Lowry - G - Toronto Raptors
Kyle Lowry went for 25 points (6-of-11 FGs, 10-of-10 FTs), five rebounds, six assists, three 3-pointers and just one turnover in 34 minutes in Tuesday's 120-102 win over the Bucks.
Lowry was feeling it and getting wherever he wanted most of the night. He's had a couple huge games in this series now and the Raptors will likely need another one if they're going to pull out a series win. Their next shot at the Bucks will come in Thursday night's Game 5 in Milwaukee.
May 22, 2019, 12:19 amSerge Ibaka - F/C - Toronto Raptors
Serge Ibaka double-doubled with 17 points (7-of-12 FGs, 3-of-3 FTs) and 13 rebounds in 24 minutes on Tuesday as the Raptors evened the series with a Game 4 home victory over the Bucks.
Ibaka provided some energy with some early dunks in traffic. This was his best game of the series by far, and it'll be interesting to see how the Bucks try to slow the Raptor's big men in Game 5 on Thursday.
May 22, 2019, 12:12 amMarc Gasol - C - Toronto Raptors
Marc Gasol had a great all-around performance with 17 points (6-of-11 FGs, 2-of-2 FTs), five rebounds, seven assists, one steal, two blocks, three treys, zero turnovers and some excellent defense over 31 minutes in Tuesday's win over the Bucks.
Gasol looked great out there, making life in the lane tough for Giannis Antetokounmpo and causing Bucks turnovers on the perimeter. That's two straight quality performances from Gasol after two duds to begin the series. We'll see if he can keep it up as the Raptors return to Milwaukee on Thursday night.
May 22, 2019, 12:04 amKawhi Leonard - F - Toronto Raptors
Kawhi Leonard toughed out 19 points on 13 shots in Tuesday's Game 4 win over the Bucks, adding seven rebounds, one assist, four steals, two blocks and a three in 34 minutes.
Leonard looked stiff and cautious for much of this game, though he still hit 6-of-13 from the field and 6-of-8 from the charity stripe. Kawhi said that he feels good in response to a question about fatigue and his apparent leg injury. He has until Thursday night to recover a bit, but the Raptors will need as much of him as they can get as the series returns to Milwaukee.
Source: Josh Lewenberg on Twitter
May 21, 2019, 11:55 pmNorman Powell - F/G - Toronto Raptors
Norman Powell scored 18 points with four threes, five rebounds, three assists and a steal in a big Game 4 victory over the Bucks on Tuesday.
Powell got big minutes again (32) and had it going early. His final line of 6-for-18 from the field (4-for-13 from deep) looks pretty inefficient, but Powell was a major factor in building tonight's big lead. With Kawhi Leonard hobbling a bit, the Raptors may need to continue leaning on Powell more than usual.
May 21, 2019, 11:47 pmMalcolm Brogdon - G - Milwaukee Bucks
Malcolm Brogdon shot just 2-for-11 from the field for four points in Tuesday's Game 4 road loss to the Raptors, adding just five rebounds and three assists in his 28 minutes.
Brogdon missed his only free throw attempt and all three of his shots from distance. It wouldn't have been so deflating if George Hill (five points on 1-for-2 shooting in 27 minutes) and Eric Bledsoe (five points on 2-for-7 shooting in 20 minutes) had produced, but the whole backcourt had a tough time getting going tonight.
May 21, 2019, 11:34 pmFred VanVleet - G - Toronto Raptors
Fred VanVleet was nearly perfect in Tuesday's Game 4 win over Bucks as he hit 5-of-6 from the field including all three of his triples for 13 points in 25 minutes.
Coming off of a 1-for-11 performance in Game 3, this was huge for the Raptors. VanVleet also had six assists, one rebound and one steal on the night. He'll look to keep it rolling in Milwaukee on Thursday.
May 21, 2019, 11:24 pmKhris Middleton - F - Milwaukee Bucks
Khris Middleton was on fire in Tuesday's 120-102 Game 4 loss on Tuesday in Toronto, shooting 11-for-15 from the field on his way to a game-high 30 points in 36 minutes.
Middleton drained 4-of-7 threes, 4-of-5 free throws, had six boards and seven assists with zero turnovers as well. The Bucks will need some supporting cast members to step up once again in Thursday's Game 4 back in Milwaukee. This series could easily go the distance, giving the Warriors an extra seven days of rest for the Finals.
May 21, 2019, 11:14 pmGiannis Antetokounmpo - F - Milwaukee Bucks
Giannis Antetokounmpo double-doubled with 25 points, 10 rebounds, five assists, a steal, three blocks and one 3-pointer in 34 minutes, but it was not enough in Tuesday's Game 4 loss to the Raptors.
Giannis hit 9-of-17 from the field but just 6-of-10 from the line in a minus 19 performance. He came out aggressive with some first quarter driving dunks, but the Raptors have been able to slow him down in the lane over the last couple of games. His next shot at them comes on Thursday in Milwaukee.
May 21, 2019, 11:06 pmEric Bledsoe - G - Milwaukee Bucks
Eric Bledsoe was nearly invisible in Tuesday's Game 4, going for just five points (2-of-7 FGs, 1-of-2 FTs), three rebounds and two assists in 20 minutes.
Bledsoe has been pretty abysmal in this series and it seems to be getting worse. George Hill and Malcolm Brogdon played more than him in this game (27 and 28 minutes, respectively) and there's a good chance that could continue with Bledsoe not being much of a threat on offense lately. Though, Hill and Brogdon did combine for just nine points in this game too.