September 8, 2016, 10:31 pm
Ah, numbers. Those pesky integers that cause old schoolers to yell “NERDS” and for nerds to look down at old schoolers.
Fortunately, most of us fall in-between this made for Twitter argument about the eye test versus the spreadsheet.
But numbers do matter in fantasy leagues because duh. So understanding numbers is key to your success, and luckily it’s easier now than ever to get to the bottom of the numbers even if you’re not a numbers person.
Basketball Monster is our favorite place to do exactly that (hey Ken, free advertising!). They take the concepts of standard deviations and how a player’s production across eight or nine (or however many) categories relates to their overall value. In essence, somebody that theoretically scores 100 points per game but is league-worst in the other categories just isn’t good in standard fantasy leagues.
Their website calculates all of that on the spot and spits out a value. There are a few different ways one can evaluate that data, but the numbers are solid. And what they do is give us a context to talk about these players amidst all these different formats and here at Hoop Ball it allows us to be the best at what we do. We’re going to evaluate the stocks down to the penny and give you a professional analysis of what is happening.
Okay, to the terminology.
Top-150 player: A player performing in the top-150 (I know, we’re flying here)
Early-round player: Somebody performing in the top-50 give or take
Mid-round player: Top 50-100
Late-round player: Top 100-150
8- and 9-cat value, respectively: We’re giving you values for both of the two main formats
Must-add player: A player that you need to drop your worst player for. They need to be projected at a top-75 level for this recommendation to be made.
Must-own player: Somebody in the expressed league size should own the player.
Buy low: Reserved for players that have a strong probability of improving. Sell high is the obvious opposite of that.
Stop what you’re doing and run to the wire: Stop what you’re doing, really.
Low-level pickup: Corresponds to late-round value for the most part.
Mid-level pickup: Has a good chance to be a top-100 player. Upside can push a player with a late-round expectation into being a mid-level pickup.
High-level pickup: A shade below being a must-add player, because if they’re a must-add player we’re just going to say so. Think top 75-100 value.
Worth a look: Probably in the top 125-150 or even 175 range for a 12-team league.
Worth a flier: Something like less than 25 percent chance of hitting at a level that justifies the pickup.
Lottery ticket: A 5-10 percent chance of working out.
October 19, 2019, 3:37 pmShaquille HarrisonPG, Chicago Bulls
Shaq Harrison (hamstring) was able to return to a full practice on Saturday.
Harrison battled the injury throughout preseason but he looks to be getting healthy at the right time. Consider him a viable option for steals in deep formats, though he won't play enough to impact standard-sized leagues outside of pure streaming situations.
Source: K.C. Johnson on Twitter
October 19, 2019, 3:33 pmDonte GranthamPF, Los Angeles Clippers
The Clippers have waived Donte Grantham.
Grantham, who was on a two-way contract with the Thunder last season, surfaced with LA but couldn't win a spot on the opening night roster. Expect him to head to the G League.
Source: Andrew Greif on Twitter
October 19, 2019, 3:32 pmCaleb MartinPG, Charlotte Hornets
The Hornets have given a two-way contract to Caleb Martin.
Martin is the brother of Hornets' draft pick Cody, and he's done well to crack the final roster after agreeing to a partially guaranteed deal in July. We wouldn't expect to see him log much time this season but Martin could find minutes if the Hornets start benching their veterans.
Source: Rick Bonnell on Twitter
October 19, 2019, 3:30 pmChandler HutchisonSF, Chicago Bulls
Chandler Hutchinson (left hamstring strain) is still not ready to be given an appropriate timetable to return.
Bulls head coach Jim Boylen said he has been encouraged by his progress over the past few days, but is not near returning. Hutchinson will be primarily backing up Otto Porter at small forward and does not need to be drafted in standard leagues.
Source: Cody Westerlund on Twitter
October 19, 2019, 3:29 pmAhmed HillPG, Charlotte Hornets
The Hornets have waived guard Ahmed Hill, who was on a two-way contract.
Charlotte opened up a two-way contract slot to give to Caleb Martin. Hill is likely headed for the G League, though he may land with another organization given the two-way contract shuffling that will happen in the next few days.
Source: Rick Bonnell on Twitter
October 19, 2019, 3:28 pmIvan RabbPF, Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies have waived Ivan Rabb, Miles Plumlee and Bennie Boatwright.
The most interesting name here is Rabb, who showed flashes of productivity whenever the Grizzlies were ravaged by injuries over his two seasons. The big man was once a top prospect despite his draft night slide two years back and it wouldn't be surprising to see another team take a chance on him. While Boatwright is headed to the G League, Plumlee's prospects are far murkier. There's no change to the fantasy landscape here.
Source: Grizzles PR on Twitter
October 19, 2019, 3:24 pmJarell MartinPF, Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cavs have reportedly waived Jarell Martin.
Cleveland is now down to a 13-man roster so expect a move that could actually impact the rotation in the coming days. Martin drew some preseason starts at center for the Cavs and should find a new home shortly as one of the better players currently available.
Source: Chris Fedor on Twitter
October 19, 2019, 3:22 pmKenny GabrielF, Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks have waived Kenny Gabriel and Mark Ogden Jr.
NBA teams are thinning out their rosters and Gabriel and Ogden did not make the cut. Gabriel spent his last season playing in Turkey and may look to explore playing overseas once again.
Source: Kevin Chouinard on Twitter
October 19, 2019, 3:22 pmTrae YoungPG, Atlanta Hawks
Trae Young sat out Saturday's practice as a result of some light back soreness.
The injury isn't thought to be serious and we'll only be concerned if Young isn't back at practice by Tuesday. If he does have to miss time at any point this season, guys like Evan Turner and Cam Reddish will take on an increased ball-handling load.
Source: Kevin Chouinard on Twitter
October 19, 2019, 2:21 pmPascal SiakamPF, Toronto Raptors
Adrian Wojnarowski reports that the Raptors and Pascal Siakam have agreed to a new, four-year maximum contract extension.
The deal is for four years, $130 million and does not include any player or team options. With this move the Raptors lock up their franchise cornerstone for the foreseeable future. Siakam, last season's Most Improved Player, was on the books for a paltry $2.3 million this season, but will now presumably be paid a per-year average closer to the top of his position. While early summer valuations of Siakam as a top 20 player are unrealistic, Spicy P remains a solid fantasy bet in the 3rd round, with some room to grow in the scoring categories. Those likely improvements offset concerns about decreased efficiency from the field and a lack of defensive stats in his new alpha role.
Source: Adrian Wojnarowski on Twitter