• Ah, numbers.  Those pesky integers that cause old schoolers to yell “NERDS” and for nerds to look down at old schoolers.

    Fortunately, most of us fall in-between this made for Twitter argument about the eye test versus the spreadsheet.

    But numbers do matter in fantasy leagues because duh.  So understanding numbers is key to your success, and luckily it’s easier now than ever to get to the bottom of the numbers even if you’re not a numbers person.

    Basketball Monster is our favorite place to do exactly that (hey Ken, free advertising!).  They take the concepts of standard deviations and how a player’s production across eight or nine (or however many) categories relates to their overall value.  In essence, somebody that theoretically scores 100 points per game but is league-worst in the other categories just isn’t good in standard fantasy leagues.

    Their website calculates all of that on the spot and spits out a value.  There are a few different ways one can evaluate that data, but the numbers are solid.  And what they do is give us a context to talk about these players amidst all these different formats and here at Hoop Ball it allows us to be the best at what we do.  We’re going to evaluate the stocks down to the penny and give you a professional analysis of what is happening.

    Okay, to the terminology.

    Top-150 player: A player performing in the top-150 (I know, we’re flying here)

    Early-round player: Somebody performing in the top-50 give or take

    Mid-round player: Top 50-100

    Late-round player: Top 100-150

    8- and 9-cat value, respectively: We’re giving you values for both of the two main formats

    Must-add player: A player that you need to drop your worst player for.  They need to be projected at a top-75 level for this recommendation to be made.

    Must-own player: Somebody in the expressed league size should own the player.

    Buy low: Reserved for players that have a strong probability of improving. Sell high is the obvious opposite of that.

    Stop what you’re doing and run to the wire: Stop what you’re doing, really.

    Low-level pickup: Corresponds to late-round value for the most part.

    Mid-level pickup: Has a good chance to be a top-100 player. Upside can push a player with a late-round expectation into being a mid-level pickup.

    High-level pickup: A shade below being a must-add player, because if they’re a must-add player we’re just going to say so.  Think top 75-100 value.

    Worth a look: Probably in the top 125-150 or even 175 range for a 12-team league.

    Worth a flier: Something like less than 25 percent chance of hitting at a level that justifies the pickup.

    Lottery ticket: A 5-10 percent chance of working out.

     

     

Fantasy News

  • Gorgui Dieng - C - Minnesota Timberwolves

    ESPN’s Zach Lowe reported that league sources indicate that the Timberwolves prefer to package Jimmy Butler with Gorgui Dieng and the $48 million he’s owed over the next three years.

    Dieng was routinely pulling in top-60 value in 9-cat before Taj Gibson vame to town so a trade to a better situation might do him some good. We’re sure there will be a lot more updates on the Jimmy Butler situation so stay tuned.

    Source: ESPN

  • Tyler Ulis - G - Golden State Warriors

    The Golden State Warriors have signed Tyler Ulis to an Exhibit 10 deal according to Anthony Slater at The Althletic.

    ESPN’s Marc J. Spears also reported that Ulis chose the Warriors over the Rockets and the Kings. Ulis will get to join the team for training camp and the Exhibit 10 deal offers a little more protection from the Warriors’ end, but it’s hard to see how Ulis will fit in their plans. If he sticks, he won’t have any fantasy value barring an injury, and if he ends up getting waived we’ll have to see if he signs with the Dubbs’ G-League squad or pursues other opportunities.

    Source: Anthony Slater on Twitter

  • Emeka Okafor - C - Philadelphia Sixers

    The Philadelphia Sixers have signed Emeka Okafor to a training camp deal one day before the start of camp.

    Even if the ancient Okafor manages to stick on the roster, he shouldn’t be anything more than a veteran presence.

    Source: Philadelphia Inquirer & Daily News

  • Bogdan Bogdanovic - G - Sacramento Kings

    The Sacramento Kings have announced that Bogdan Bogdanovic will have an arthroscopic procedure on his left knee on Monday.

    There was no time-table given but these usually have a recovery of 4-to-6 weeks. There should be an update after the surgery on Monday but it looks like Bogi will miss the beginning of the season. As we previously reported, this is the same left knee that he had surgery on earlier this summer to repair a slight medial meniscus tear. Two surgeries in the span of a few months doesn't sound good and this'll be a big red flag come draft time. It's good news for Buddy Hield however.

    Source: Marc J Spears on Twitter

  • Jimmy Butler - G - Minnesota Timberwolves

    Woj is reporting that despite rebuffs from Minnesota’s front office regarding Jimmy Butler, owner Glen Taylor informed participants of the NBA’s Board of Governors meeting that Butler is indeed available and that they should contact him personally if necessary.

    Wow. It looks like things are escalating behind the scenes with Taylor and Thibodeau issuing opposing directives regarding disgruntled Jimmy Butler. It seems like Butler is close to being moved and Thibs could be next to follow him out the door.

    Source: Adrian Wojnarowski on Twitter

  • DeAnthony Melton - G - Phoenix Suns

    The Phoenix Suns have signed newly obtained De’Anthony Melton to a two-year, $2.3 million rookie deal.

    The Suns obtained Melton from the Rockets for Ryan Anderson and Brandon Knight earlier this summer so this signing was always going to happen at some point. With Devin Booker (hand) probably out to start the season and not a whole lot of options to start at point guard, Melton could be a nice surprise. We’ll have to see what the preseason brings.

    Source: Shams Charania on Twitter

  • Adam Silver - Commissioner - Invalid Team

    The NBA’s Board of Governors has approved three changes to the rule book for this season dealing with resetting the shot-clock on an offensive rebound, simplifying the clear path rules and expanding the definition of a “hostile act.”

    The first tweak is that the shot-clock will reset reset to 14 seconds after an offensive rebound instead of the usual 24 seconds. The second change is to the clear-path rule- now, it is defined as a personal foul against any offensive player during his team’s transition scoring opportunity so refs won’t have to determine if the defender was in front of the ball or not, or if the defender beat the offensive player to the frontcourt. The last chance will be expanding the definition of a “hostile act” to allow for additional replay for off-ball or other altercations.

    Source: NBC Sports

  • Markelle Fultz - G - Philadelphia Sixers

    Markelle Fultz denied having the “yips” last season and said his struggles shooting the ball were due to his shoulder injury.

    This is the opposite of what shooting guru Drew Hanlen said over the summer when he asserted that Fultz had the “yips” and “completely forgot how to shoot.” We’re thinking as a young player, Fultz probably wants to protect his ego and maybe his image- despite recent headway made in the NBA dealing with mental health issues, nobody wants to admit to being psychologically ‘soft.’ At this stage it’s rather irrelevant as to why; we just want to see if Fultz can shoot it or not. Preseason games start soon and we’ll have the popcorn ready.

    Source: Philadelphia Inquirer and Daily News

  • Jimmy Butler - G - Minnesota Timberwolves

    According to Jon Krawczynski at The Athletic, Jimmy Butler might not show up to training camp if he isn't traded.

    We previously relayed Woj's report that the Wolves were not planning to trade Butler so it looks like both parties are ratcheting up their rhetoric before the season starts. Butler is a notoriously stubborn guy as is coach Thibs so we'll see who wins this head-butting battle. The writing's on the wall for Butler's time in Minnesota, so it's only a matter of when. Tom Thibodeau could be following him out the door as owner Glenn Taylor has been dissatisfied with his old-school tactics.

    Source: The Athletic

  • Carmelo Anthony - F - Houston Rockets

    Rockets coach Mike D’Antoni said he wants wants Carmelo Anthony on the floor when P.J. Tucker is off, and vice versa because he sees them both as power forwards.

    It was widely assumed that Melo and Tucker would start together but now it appear to not be the case so maybe James Ennis is the starter at the 3. We’ll have to see how his rotation shakes out and if Melo’s staggered minutes coincide with Chris Paul’s. Either way, Melo looks to have a decreased role on offense as James Harden and Chris Paul control the offense.

    Source: Kelly Iko on Twitter