April 25, 2017, 9:40 pm
There are only two games on tonight’s slate, and finding value is not easy. Players are relatively expensive tonight compared to their salaries throughout the year, but given their high minute totals, the price tags are sensible. With only two games and injury question marks, I am only writing up two players for tonight. One is a cash game play, and one is a tournament play. Let’s take a look at each.
Cash Game Play
John Wall ($10,400)
The Wizards looked lost in Game 4. Defensively, Washington blew assignments and could not contain Atlanta’s offense from start to finish. Offensively, the Wizards relied upon Wall and Beal for all of their offense. Unfortunately for Washington, nobody besides Wall and Beal seem to have any efficient scoring ability in this series.
From a DFS perspective, Wall is an excellent option. His 30.8% usage rate for the series is not going down any time soon. His quickness with the ball is unmatched, and Atlanta does not have a solution for his playmaking. Wall continues to slash through the Hawks defense, and when left unguarded, he has shot well from deep (7/12 for the series).
Washington needs Wall to play amazing basketball if they are going to advance. As current 5.5 point favorites tonight in a game with a projected total of 212.5 points, Wall is leading the charge on the team with the highest implied total tonight. His lowest scoring output for the series is 45.5 DraftKings points. Roll with him in cash games.
Bojan Bogdanovic ($3,200)
As mentioned above, the Wizards cannot really score which is a bit problematic. Oubre has not been strong offensively when given minutes off the bench, and Scott Brooks doesn’t have many options to turn to. Bogdanovic, however, has shown flashes of scoring since being traded to Washington, and his number should be called tonight.
His minutes have fluctuated, but he is averaging 20 minutes per game in this series with a 20.6% usage rate. He is averaging ~0.8 DraftKings points per minute despite awful shooting (3/14 from deep). If he continues to produce at the same rate in 20 minutes of play, he’d score 16 DraftKings points which would be enough production to justify his price. But we should anticipate better production since his shooting is due to improve.
Additionally, his minute total could creep upwards if Brooks gets desperate for an outside scoring threat. When Bogdanovic is hot, he is hot. This is a risky play since he may not see much floor time, but there is a lot of upside. I will have Bojan in many tournament lineups.
NOTE: Pay attention to the Rondo situation, but I would be very hesitant to roster any Chicago point guard if he plays.