December 2, 2019, 10:01 am
I hope you had a nice Thanksgiving break Hoop-Ballers but now it’s time to shake off your turkey and pumpkin pie hangovers and give yourself some reason to believe that you can get back to dominating your leagues. Hopefully you were able to successfully dodge any family drama and food poisoning to get back to strategizing toward victory as we head into a Long December. Time to break out the puffy coats and the heavy-duty undergarments as we try to heat up both our bodies and our teams throughout the winter.
Regardless of how you’re feeling about your team this Sunday night into Monday morning, you’re going to want to try to stay ahead of the curve or make more adjustments. As the season progresses, you’re going to need to get more creative with the moves you make and we hope it isn’t because you are running out of IR spots. Whether you’re taking that celebratory morning sip of coffee or covering your ears from all the Christmas music or trash talk at your expense, here are some pointers no matter what type of fantasy mood you’re in.
Add(s) of the Night
Delon Wright, PG/SG, Dallas Mavericks – 28 minutes, 17 points, nine assists, five rebounds, four steals, three 3-pointers, 7-of-12 FG
Delon Wright has easily been one of the more polarizing players this fantasy season. I’ve probably fielded more questions about what to do with him than any other healthy and active player. Many will look at his recent month or so of box scores and will run in the other direction. Others will look at the line he produced tonight and nod approvingly, knowing this is what he’s capable of delivering.
The truth lies somewhere in the middle with Wright as his minutes haven’t moved beyond the mid-20s and hasn’t really gotten going from deep this season. Rick Carlisle will heap praise on him one day, then bury him the next. You roto folks probably don’t mind the up and down knowing that he still has solid percentages and remains great on defense. The H2H crowd is probably thinking that they’ve seen this story before and knows exactly what happens next. Either way, if you can weather the storm, Wright can be a top-100 player. He’s going to keep being a thief and LukaMania hasn’t fully rubbed off on him yet so perhaps there’s still room for Wright to grow with Dallas.
Markelle Fultz, PG, Orlando Magic – 30 minutes, 14 points, nine assists, four rebounds, one steal, 6-of-12 FG
Well, you can’t say we don’t like gawking at Markelle Fultz. At the beginning of the season we looked at Fultz the same way we would look at Rex Chapman tweeting out a video of an adorable dog that needs wheels for its hind legs. We watched from afar and made an ‘oh you poor thing’ comment behind sad eyes every time we spotted a video of Fultz taking shots in practice. Now we’re watching him for entirely different reasons. Fultz no longer needs our sympathy, he needs our standard league recognition.
In a matter of weeks, Fultz has turned himself into one of the most consistent fantasy assets in the league. Like the aforementioned Delon Wright, Fultz is delivering great percentages and steals. He’s just doing that without any of the peaks and valleys that has plagued Wright all season. Fultz has made it a point to get to the basket and finish while taking less outside shots. He’s likely not going to be a great source of 3-pointers for that reason but that hasn’t stopped him from trending toward the top-100 over his last two weeks. And by the way, Sunday was the first time he topped the 30-minute mark all season. Here’s hoping Fultz can stay in that range now that he’s the both the present and future of the Magic franchise.
We’re not saying that you have to drop any of these guys, only that you should at least consider it depending who’s on your waiver wire. Your mileage may vary based on league size and team build, but for the most part we’ll try to cut dead weight in the 12-team range.
Theis had been a bit banged during Sunday’s game against the Knicks and while he tried to play through his knee issue, he wound up being mostly invisible during his 17 minutes of play. The injury is one thing but the other is that he’s remains in a timeshare with Enes Kanter and should see increasing competition from Grant and Robert Williams. Not to mention that Gordon Hayward will return sometime this month.
We like Theis because he’s got a nice all-around game and just needs the minutes in order to showcase that game. The issue remains that the Celtics frontcourt remains an odd rotation and no one from that group is taking complete control of starter-level minutes. Theis is simply involved in a situation to avoid altogether where what happens game by game is anyone’s guess.
Bowman had been a nice streamer when D’Angelo Russell was shelved with a thumb sprain. Bowman soaked up his minutes was able to put up some gaudy lines initially with a heavy amount of shooting volume, decent percentages and an outstanding number of steals. For a short while, a top-75 player was emerging, albeit for a brief window of time.
That window is now closing as Russell is due back soon and Bowman is bound to take the hit. His shooting has also been subpar in his last three outings and owners are now better off getting a jump on another hot pickup during the week rather than trying to hope and squeeze an extra decent game or two out of Bowman. It’s possible that Russell will miss further time or get dealt as the season progresses making Bowman a nice streamer but until that happens your better off looking elsewhere for the time being.
We begin with the news that Al-Farouq Aminu tore his meniscus and will be out indefinitely. It’s a tough blow to a Magic team that has been already been without their star center Nikola Vucevic.
Jonas Valanciunas missed Sunday’s game due to an illness so his absence will likely be short-term.
Reports say that CJ Miles is seeing a specialist for his wrist injury and that it could require season ending surgery. Miles wasn’t doing much with the Wizards, but his minutes could go to Troy Brown Jr. and Jordan McRae who could be speculative adds because of this news.
The Nets remain quiet on a potential return for Kyrie Irving as he missed Sunday’s game against the Heat. As well as the Nets have been playing while he’s dealing with his shoulder injury, they could still use a guy of his caliber to help close out games as they let the Heat get away with one.
Kyle Kuzma was dealing with an ankle sprain but that wasn’t enough to prevent him from playing 21 ineffective minutes off the Lakers bench. Kuzma has no business being on standard league rosters.
Marcus Morris was ruled out with neck spasms on Sunday but was a game-time decision so he might not be out that long.
Remember John Henson? Well, he’s back at practice for the Cavs and could be back in action for them on Tuesday. It’s been some time since we’ve seen him play and he’s capable of being a good defensive center, but only for you deep leaguers out there.
Both JaKarr Sampson and Edmond Sumner have been ruled out by the Pacers ahead on Monday’s game against the Grizzlies. Moving on.
Treveon Graham, Josh Okogie, and Shabazz Napier were all deemed healthy enough to play for the Wolves, which is fine and good, but that won’t have much if any effect on standard leagues.
Lonzo Ball returned from an illness for the Pelicans and went back to his starting role.
The miserable season for Derrick Favors got much worse for him with the passing of his mother. He remains out and basketball is probably the last thing on his mind during this difficult time for him.
Kenrich Williams had been a nice find with all of the Pelicans injuries but he picked one up of his own with an ankle sprain.
Moritz Wagner was ruled out of Sunday’s game against the Clippers with an ankle injury. We hope this isn’t something that will keep him out for too long since he’s been a gem of late.
Serge Ibaka returned to the Raptors and played 21 minutes off the bench. If he was dropped in your leagues, go grab him immediately.
Kyle Lowry didn’t play on Sunday but is inching closer to a return. The Raptors have been scorching hot and are also getting healthy right in time for a collective gulp from the rest of the league.
Marcus Smart left Sunday’s game with an injury to his abdomen and sounded like a guy who needs to heal. The Celtics have a two-game week so Smart owners should probably consider other options for their lineups.
Frank Ntilikina left Sunday’s game with a back injury that may cost him other games as well. With Elfrid Payton still hobbled by a hamstring injury, it may be now or never for Dennis Smith Jr.
Brandon Clarke has been banged up for a while now and had to leave his game against the Wolves with a hip injury. He’s been gutting it out most nights but he may need to rest for a bit.
Mikal Bridges and Cameron Johnson are both questionable for Monday when the Suns play the Hornets. Neither are having great seasons and the Suns starters will be pressed into more minutes as a result.
Cam Reddish is questionable for Monday after missing Saturday’s game with a wrist injury. It means more time for DeAndre Bembry, who is probable with a hip contusion.
Josh Richardson is being listed as doubtful by the 76ers with his hamstring injury and Richardson owners should make other plans for this week.
Wes Iwundu took an elbow above his eye and needed five stitches but was able to return to the game against the Warriors on Sunday. The Magic can’t afford to lose anyone else in their frontcourt.
Brook Lopez is doubtful for Monday as his back injury will look like it will keep him out of a second straight game. It’ll be time for Twin Magic again with brother Robin likely to get another start in his place.
Finally, Draymond Green is getting a rest day on Monday on the second night of a back-to-back. It’s been one injury after the next for Green and the Warriors have already made it clear they won’t play him heavy minutes during this lost season.
Gaming the System
It’s hard to believe but we’ve just about made it through a quarter of the NBA season. Crazy, right!? Most teams have now played in 20 game and we have a lot of information on what teams and players are doing that can help us fantasy players make informed decisions for our rosters. While that means we can look back and see who’s playing fast, who stinks on defense and all of that, now is also the time to look beyond season-long stats as well.
It may seem overly simplistic but because we have 20 games of information per team, you shouldn’t just rely on season long data. When making informed decisions about who to start or who to pick up, don’t just rely on the full season averages and totals. Take a look at what teams and players have been doing over certain periods of time like the last five or 10 games.
Don’t just rely on a single game to make judgements either. Take a look and see if someone’s big minutes were a result of a one-time instance or his this was a steadily growing trend. Also, check if a team has already played a certain opponent this season. That way you revisit those box scores and see if there’s any opportunity to exploit a matchup.
Some basic examples of digging a little deeper could be that you may see the Kings coming up on your players schedule and think ‘oh goodie, here’s a lousy defensive team to load up against.’ After all, the Kings have been a bottom-half defensive team all season, right? Except that if you look at their last five games, you’ll see that the Kings have actually been a top-10 defense and their games have mostly grinded to a halt.
You may also assume that the Nets are going to play fast and push the ball hard with their top-10 pace on the season. If you dig a little deeper, then you will see that they’ve been moving at a snail’s pace since Kyrie Irving has been sidelined with his shoulder injury and with no timetable for his return, that pace may stick around for a while.
The league is likely going to be littered with examples like these. All it means is that there’s a lot of data on the league now and the one who gets the edge will be the one who looks past all the season long averages and can spot an emerging trend rather than just random noise. There’s going to be even more shifts as the season progresses.
Not everyone is going to be able to score a hot pickup or pull off grand larceny via trade. So instead, a good owner will take a look at the information that’s right in front of them and make better decisions about their rosters by taking some extra steps and arming themselves with more knowledge then their opponents. Sometimes winning is all about who is going to be better prepared for battle.
December 15, 2019, 1:29 amDennis SchroderPG, Oklahoma City Thunder
Dennis Schroder knocked in four threes on Saturday on his way to scoring 22 points with five rebounds and four assists.
Schroder is just outside the top-120 on the season but is trending up over the past two weeks, averaging 21.0 points, 1.9 assists and 2.4 threes on .509 shooting from the floor. That's good for top-50 value over that stretch. Schroder's shooting will cool down and he will probably settle in around the top-100, but he is a strong hold in standard leagues and has upside if Chris Paul is traded or rests later in the season.
December 15, 2019, 1:25 amWill BartonSG, Denver Nuggets
Will Barton was his old reliable, thrilling self on Saturday as he posted 18 points (7-of-14 shooting) with six rebounds, one assist, one 3-pointer and two steals.
Barton has been the Nuggets' pillar of stability when it comes to the arena of fantasy basketball. He's as steady as they come and is locked in to flirt with top-50 value while sporting a top-75 floor all season long.
December 15, 2019, 1:21 amSteven AdamsC, Oklahoma City Thunder
Steven Adams double-doubled with 18 points, 14 rebounds and two blocks in 31 minutes on Saturday.
Adams is on a roll over his past seven games, averaging 15.1 points, 11.0 rebounds and 2.3 blocks while shooting .683 from the field. That's good for top-20 value over that stretch. Owners should try to sell high on Adams as the block numbers are unsustainable and his ROS outlook is murky with the possibility of being traded. Its hard to imagine him going to a better situation than OKC.
December 15, 2019, 1:21 amNikola JokicC, Denver Nuggets
Nikola Jokic was fantastic in Saturday's 110-102 win over the Thunder, triple-doubling for 28 points on 11-of-14 shooting with 14 rebounds, 12 assists, three treys and one steal.
Jokic is trending up and fast. His buy-low window was shut with extreme prejudice with this favorable-matchup performance. He's ramping up closer to the top-15 zone of last season with each passing game.
December 15, 2019, 1:17 amJerami GrantSF, Denver Nuggets
Jerami Grant started for Paul Millsap (right quadriceps strain) on Saturday and delivered as expected with 13 points (4-of-8 shooting), four rebounds, one assist, one steal and one block in 32 minutes.
It was just a matter of time until this scenario emerged and now here we are. Grant is a must-grab guy, while Millsap is sidelined. He's able to give your fantasy team a dazzling 1-1-1 production with other solid counting stats on a nightly basis.
December 15, 2019, 1:14 amAbdel NaderSF, Oklahoma City Thunder
Abdel Nader started on Saturday and scored 14 points on 5-of-7 shooting to go with two assists and one three in 26 minutes.
Nader is coming off of a 15 point and five threes performance on Wednesday and can be a streamer for threes while Terrence Ferguson is out of the lineup. Nader doesn't have much appeal though and there are probably better streaming options in standard-leagues.
December 15, 2019, 1:04 amBen McLemoreSG, Houston Rockets
Ben McLemore scored 13 points with three steals and one 3-pointer in a start on Saturday.
McLemore started for Russell Westbrook (rest) but was unable to do much with the opportunity. McLemore has been hot lately but will probably regress soon, especially when Eric Gordon returns. He can continue to be started until he goes cold, then he will return to being a 3-point streamer only.
December 15, 2019, 12:59 amAustin RiversPG, Houston Rockets
Austin Rivers scored 14 points with five assists in 28 minutes off the bench on Saturday.
Russell Westbrook (rest) sat out of this one opening more ball handling opportunities for Rivers. Rivers can be used as a streamer when Harden or Westbrook are out, but he should return to the waiver wire when the Rockets are at full strength.
December 15, 2019, 12:55 amChris ClemonsPG, Houston Rockets
Chris Clemons shot 5-of-11 from deep on his way to scoring 17 points in 16 minutes on Saturday.
Clemons isn't afraid to shoot when given the minutes and added two steals and one block in this game. Clemons can be left on waiver wires and is too unpredictable to deploy as a streamer.
December 15, 2019, 12:51 amMarkieff MorrisPF, Detroit Pistons
Markieff Morris just missed a double-double on Saturday with 15 points, eight rebounds and three 3-pointers in 27 minutes off the bench.
The Pistons needed scoring badly with Andre Drummond (eye) out and Blake Griffin (left knee soreness) exiting early. Morris should see a boost if Griffin misses time, but he is outside the top-150 on the season and has limited upside. He can be left on waiver wires.