November 5, 2018, 12:32 pm
Welcome, Hoop Ball readers, to another edition of The Week Ahead! The NBA season is a few weeks in and things are starting to take shape. Roles are solidifying and it is now the appropriate time to react on some players. For example, Kyle Anderson is a reasonable drop candidate despite being highly ranked in the offseason. This does not mean he will never come around and start getting more minutes, but he is not making any use of his minutes right now. It is no longer overreaction season, feel free to drop someone if there is a speculative add on the waiver wire or have a position open for streaming.
I will take this time to give a shoutout to Derrick Rose, who scored 50 points in a spot start for Jeff Teague on Wednesday night. He looked like the D-Rose of old and was extremely emotional after the game due to the huge ups and downs he’s had to fight through to even still be on the court at this point. Last season it looked like he was on the way out of the league and was then included as a pure salary dump, not to mention the major injuries that affected him earlier in his career. He turned back the clock for one night and reminded people of what he once was. He played 41 minutes and did not look tired or injured in the slightest. It was truly an amazing sight to see, especially for fans who were watching prime D-Rose in Chicago.
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Moving on to fantasy, Stephen Curry still looks like the unanimous MVP from 2015-2016 and has a firm hold on the top spot in the rankings right now. Surprises include Nikola Vucevic being top-10, Nikola Mirotic and JaVale McGee being top-20, and Nemanja Bjelica being top-35. As of late, Josh Richardson and Wendell Carter Jr. have been phenomenal as Richardson ranks No. 2 overall and Carter Jr. ranks No. 12 overall for the last seven days. Last Monday, Klay Thompson scored 52 points and broke Stephen Curry’s record for 3-pointers made in a game as he hit 14 of them. That was his breakout performance and it appears that he has returned to form, so congrats if you decided to buy-low on him.
Now here is an overview of the week ahead:
Weekly Schedule Breakdown
4 games: Bucks, Celtics, Hawks, Heat, Knicks, Magic, Nuggets, Pacers, Pistons, Rockets, Thunder
3 games: 76ers, Bulls, Cavs, Clippers, Grizzlies, Hornets, Jazz, Kings, Lakers, Mavs, Nets, Pelicans, Raptors, Suns, Timberwolves, Trail Blazers, Warriors, Wizards
2 games: Spurs
Best Schedule: Orlando Magic (4 games – Cavs, Wizards, Pistons, and at Knicks)
The Magic are not exactly a good team, but their schedule this week gives them a chance to improve their record. First they play the Cavs at home, who are arguably the worst team in the league. Then they play the Wizards at home, who have been underwhelming this season to say the least. Next they play the Pistons at home, who quickly went from 4-0 to 4-4 and are struggling mightily to get another win. Lastly, they play the Knicks on the road and the Knicks are struggling to find their rotation that plays well together. These four games are all winnable and should be high scoring, so deploy the players on the Magic that are worth owning in fantasy with confidence.
Worst Schedule: Brooklyn Nets (3 games – at Suns, at Nuggets, and at Warriors)
Although the Spurs only have two games this week, they play a home game against the Rockets, and a matchup with the Heat on the road so their schedule is not that bad. The Nets play the Suns on the road which is their easiest game of the week. Then, they have to play the Nuggets and Warriors on the road on a back-to-back set. This will be a tiring two games for the Nets and it is likely they lose both of those games badly. Do not expect a week of consistently good stats for any of the Nets if you own them in fantasy.
Game of the Week: Bucks at Warriors – Thursday November 8th at 10:30 PM ET
The Bucks and Warriors both have one loss on the season, so this game should be exciting and close. The Celtics just handed the Bucks their first loss of the season and the Warriors were handed their only loss by the Nuggets early in the season. Both of those teams are also at the top of the league, so clearly the Warriors and Bucks have handled their business against lesser opponents. It will be interesting to see who comes out on top in this one.
Waiver Wire Watch
Last week’s waiver wire watch candidates were Nemanja Bjelica, Zach Collins, and Damyean Dotson. Of those three, Nemanja Bjelica has remained fantasy relevant and likely will for the entirety of the season. However, he was a sell-high at his peak and congrats if you cashed in on that. Collins and Dotson have had consistent minutes and opportunities, but neither is making good use of them right now as Collins is barely inside the top-200 and Dotson is outside the top-200 over the past week. Hopefully they can get back on track and prove why they were two of my speculative adds for last week.
Here are this week’s Waiver Wire Watch players:
Joe Harris – I was hesitant to put Joe Harris in here last week because I was not sure if he was the real deal or playing over his head. However, he won the Brooklyn Baller of the Week in the Hoop Ball Nets podcast last week for his solid play and has had a phenomenal season as the starting small forward for them thus far. He is at a top-80 value right now and has great value in 3-pointers and efficiency categories as he is shooting 56 percent from the field on the season. Go ahead and add him if you need help in those categories because ol’ reliable Joe Harris will show up every game and give his all.
Shelvin Mack – The veteran point guard has never been able to string together a season where he averages more than 10 points per game, but he is currently doing that for the Grizzlies. They are playing surprisingly well and Mack is a big part of that success as he is at top-150 value on the season, but top-25 over his past three games. He is averaging 18 points on 65 perent shooting in those three games, so it is not likely he can keep that up. However, he is worth an add as his role should be steady for the Grizzlies, who are not that deep at the guard position.
Mitchell Robinson – The new starting Center for the New York Knicks, Mitchell Robinson, is definitely worth an add in most fantasy formats. He is at top-70 value over the past week as he is now starting and seeing 23 minutes per game in that span. He is averaging 8.5 points, 5.8 rebounds, 1 steal, and 1.3 blocks on efficient shooting numbers. His numbers should only go up as the season progresses, so add him now before people begin to take notice of his growing fantasy value.
Kevin Love (toe) had surgery on his toe and his status will be updated in approximately six weeks. He was the only chance the Cavs had to win any games and he was slated to put up big stats this season. His shooting was horrendous to start the season, so he currently sits just outside the top-100 in value.
Eric Gordon (hip) has a right adductor strain and is going to miss Monday’s game. He has a lengthy injury history, so seeing him get hurt is not a good sign. However, this does not seem like a significant injury and he should return to the court sometime this week.
Hassan Whiteside (knee) will sit out Monday’s game against the Pistons with a right knee injury. Whiteside is at top-80 value on the season and that should improve as his efficiency improves. Hopefully he’s not out long, though this is something to worry about.
Derrick Rose (ankle) did not play in Sunday’s game and updates will be available soon regarding his status for next game. After scoring 50 points in 41 minutes on Wednesday, Rose is likely taking it easy and sitting as a precaution so the injury does not become anything serious.
Elfrid Payton (ankle) is out for Monday’s game and this will be his fifth consecutive game sitting out. Hopefully, this injury does not keep him out for anything past Monday’s game. Look for updates prior to their game against the Bulls on Wednesday.
Kevin Knox (ankle) is likely sitting out for at least one more week before returning to action for the Knicks. He is a few games away from return and the Knicks will be as cautious as possible with Knox, as they are with Kristaps Porzingis. He will likely be on a minutes restriction upon return, so do not rush to pick him up in fantasy if he is available.
Rudy Gay (illness) missed Sunday night’s game against the Magic. He will likely return next game and may not be on a minutes restriction. He is currently inside the top-100 in fantasy value this season and could remain in that territory as the starting small forward between DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge.
Kawhi Leonard (ankle) jammed his left ankle and did not play in Sunday night’s game against the Lakers. He has been a top-5 player in fantasy this season so far and is meshing well with his new teammates in Toronto. Check for updates on his ankle prior to the Raptors game on Monday.
“Jimmy Butler” (rest) is going to let the team know when he can play in back-to-backs and when he has to sit. All of this is precautionary rest so he can be healthy and get traded to another team. He is playing very well in the games that he plays. However, he is not injured and is a headache for fantasy owners until he is able to be moved elsewhere.
January 17, 2019, 1:46 amLou Williams - G - Los Angeles Clippers
Lou Williams put up 23 points with six rebounds and six assists on 11-of-18 shooting in a loss to the Jazz on Wednesday.
He was easily the best player for the Clippers in this game and has provided late-round value this season after a career year last season. He should still be owned in all formats as he provides great value in points, assists and free-throw percentage. Avery Bradley was the only other Clippers' player to have a good performance in this one as he had 15 points on 6-of-10 shooting.
January 17, 2019, 1:35 amMontrezl Harrell - F/C - Los Angeles Clippers
Montrezl Harrell contributed 11 points with seven rebounds and four defensive stats in a loss to the Jazz on Wednesday.
He has been a pleasant surprise this season and is boasting middle-round value despite coming off the bench. He had five fouls in his 26 minutes of action and Marcin Gortat had four fouls in 15 minutes as Rudy Gobert was driving the Clippers' big men mad all night long.
January 17, 2019, 1:25 amDanilo Gallinari - F - Los Angeles Clippers
Danilo Gallinari shot 3-of-14 from the field to go for nine points with four rebounds in a loss to the Jazz on Wednesday.
Gallinari has been an early-round value this season, so chalk this performance up as a fluke. Tobias Harris, who is right next to Gallinari as an early-round guy, also had a less than stellar performance in this one with 17 points on 6-of-14 shooting. Both of these guys should bounce back next game and return to playing at a high level.
January 17, 2019, 1:21 amAnthony Davis - F/C - New Orleans Pelicans
Anthony Davis went for 30 points, 18 rebounds, seven assists, a steal, three blocks and a 3-pointer on Wednesday night but the Pelicans fell to the Warriors.
New Orleans was up by as many as 17 in the second half before Stephen Curry decided that playtime was over. AD was a bit off with an 11-of-26 mark from the field but obviously the counting stats were there. He'll remain fantasy's top player whenever he takes the floor, despite a miraculous charge from James Harden lately.
January 17, 2019, 1:18 amNikola Mirotic - F - New Orleans Pelicans
Nikola Mirotic looked like his old self in Wednesday's loss to the Warriors, popping off for 29 points on 9-of-14 from the field to go with five rebounds, three assists, a steal, a block and six 3-pointers in 29 minutes of action.
Mirotic probably had fantasy owners sweating after a 17-minute dud on Monday but everyone should be back on board tonight. The buy-low window is probably closed after this excellent performance so hopefully you were able to get him before this outburst. Mirotic will have a shot at early-round numbers from here on out.
January 17, 2019, 1:15 amJae Crowder - F - Utah Jazz
Jae Crowder put up 23 points on 8-of-15 shooting with five threes and three defensive stats in a big win over the Clippers on Wednesday.
Crowder is going to have his ups and downs, but he is ultimately their sixth man and will need to play well for them to make it to the playoffs. He is currently outside the top-150 value right now and is merely a 3-point specialist in deep leagues.
January 17, 2019, 1:15 amElfrid Payton - G - New Orleans Pelicans
Elfrid Payton finished Wednesday's loss with seven points, five rebounds, 12 assists, two steals, a 3-pointer and a 3-for-10 shooting line.
Payton also missed his only free throw and committed four turnovers, but this type of multi-cat line should drive him into the top-100 by season's end. You might be able to buy low in hopes that his minutes edge up above 30 going forward but he's not too far off the mark as is.
January 17, 2019, 1:13 amJulius Randle - F - New Orleans Pelicans
Julius Randle had issues with foul trouble on Wednesday, which limited him to 23 points, seven rebounds, three assists and three triples in 22 minutes.
Randle did well whenever he was on the court, hitting 6-of-8 from the field and 8-of-8 from the line, but availability was the big issue tonight. Niko Mirotic was also excellent tonight, which likely played a part. The line itself was fine but if you were wondering about the minutes, there you go.
January 17, 2019, 1:09 amRudy Gobert - C - Utah Jazz
Rudy Gobert put up a monster game on Wednesday as he had 23 points with 22 rebounds and four blocks in a 129-109 win over the Clippers.
He shot 7-of-10 form the field and went 9-of-10 from the line. The Jazz are on fire and it is due in large part to the stellar play of Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell. Both guys are top-20 over the past two weeks and Gobert is actually top-20 for the entire season.
January 17, 2019, 1:00 amDonovan Mitchell - G - Utah Jazz
Donovan Mitchell put up 28 points on 10-of-22 shooting with six assists and three steals in a win over the Clippers on Wednesday.
Mitchell had a shaky start to the season, but he still holds top-70 value and is steadily rising as he is inside the top-20 over the past two weeks. He has the potential to be an early-round guy, so fantasy owners should could only hope that this hot streak lasts for the rest of the season.