March 17, 2019, 2:33 pm
Phew! Last night was quite the stressful one; I couldn’t get to sleep at all.
I was streaming intently and in addition to my planned moves, guys like Jeff Teague, Marvin Williams, Moe Harkless, Richaun Holmes (whom I had), Kevin Durant, Larry Nance, Tyler Johnson, DSJ, Malcolm Brogdon, Derrick Rose and Andrew Wiggins (whom I didn’t) went down which gummed many streaming schedules (including a few duds for me) and made for some ugly weekly numbers.I hope you didn’t hang on and I know breaking up is hard to do but I’m not eating donuts from these guys.
Those awkward sequences mean I haven’t decisively won any yet and today is make or break time.
Hopefully, you’ve had some better luck than me and are already locked in for the Semis. May the Warrior song push you to great heights.
It sucks if you’ve already been bounced, but sometimes it bees like that; better luck next season and watch what the better teams are doing down the stretch regarding schedule streaming, stat chasing, etc.
Playoff Schedule & Notes
Weeks 23 & 24: 2, 4 and 5 game weeks in bold:
SEMI-FINALS (Week 23: 3/18 – 3/24)
Notes: The schedule is a little denser which means you and your opponent shouldn’t have a big spread between games played. My five H2H teams have 44, 46, 46, 48 and 48 games with one team having a +1 on Wednesday; another with too many guards and needing a SF.
5 Games: GSW (but how many do you really think they’ll suit up, especially with two sets of back-to-backs? Kevon Looney, anyone? Andre Iguodala? )
4 Games: BOS, CHA, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, HOU, IND, MIA, MIL, NYK, SAC, SAS, TOR, UTA, WAS (bolded teams have four games starting on Tuesday).
3 Games: ATL, CHI, LAC, LAL, MEM, MIN, NOR, OKC, PHI, PHO, POR
2 Games: BKN, ORL
Monday has 9 games: Pistons at Cavs, Jazz at Wiz, Nuggs at Celts, Knicks at Raptors, Heat at Thunder, Dubs at Spurs, Pels at Mavs, Bulls at Suns and Pacers at Blazers.
Tuesday has 8: Sixers at Hornets, Rockets at Hawks, Lakers at Bucks, Duns at Wolves, Nets at Kings and Pacers at Clippers.
Wednesday has 9: Bucks at Cavs, Pels at Magic, Celts at Sixers, Jazz at Knicks, Wiz at Bulls, Rockets at Grizz, Heat at Spurs, Raps at Thunder and Mavs at Blazers.
Thursday has 6: Wolves at Hornets, Nuggs at Wiz, Jazz at Hawks, Pistons at Suns, Mavs at Kings and Pacers at Dubs.
Friday has 7: Grizz at Magic, Clips at Cavs, Nuggs at Knicks, Thunder at Raptors, Spurs at Rockets, Heat at Bucks and Nets at Lakers.
Saturday has 8: Celts at Hornets, Heat at Wiz, Sixers at Hawks, Jazz at Bulls, Wolves at Griz, Mavs at Dubs, Pistons at Blazers and Suns at Kings.
Sunday has 8: Clips at Knicks, Cavs at Bucks, Nuggs at Pacers, Hornets at Raptors, Rockets at Pels, Spurs at Celts, Pistons at Dubs and Kings at Lakers.
For My Streamers
*all light schedule days in bold: Thursday and Friday are the only official light days- only Denver plays the back-to-back- but you should check your schedule ahead of time to see how it looks.
ATL: 3- Tu, Th, Sa
BRK: 2- Tu, F
BOS: 4- M, W, Sa, Su
CHA: 4- Tu, Th, Sa, Su
CHI: 3- M, W, Sa
CLE: 4- M, W, F, Su
DAL: 4- M, W, Th, Sa,
DEN: 4- M, Th, F, Su
DET: 4- M, Th, Sa, Su
GSW: 5- M, Tu, Th, Sa, Su
HOU: 4- Tu, W, F, Su
IND: 4- M, Tu, Th, Su
LAC: 3- Tu, F, Su
LAL: 3- Tu, F, Su
MEM: 3- W, F, Sa
MIA: 4- M, W, F, Sa
MIL: 4- Tu, W, F, Su
MIN: 3- Tu, Th, Sa
NOR: 3- M, W, Su
NYK: 4- M, W, F, Su
OKC: 3- M, W, F
ORL: 2- W, F
PHI: 3- Tu, W, Sa
PHO: 3- M, Th, Sa
POR: 3- M, W, Sa
SAC: 4- Tu, Th, Sa, Su
SAS: 4- M, W, F, Su
TOR: 4- M, W, F, Su
UTA: 4- M, W, Th, Sa
WAS: 4- M, W, Th, Sa
Sun of Week 22/Mon: CHI, DET, MIA, NYK, TOR
Mon/Tues: GSW, IND
Tues/Weds: HOU, MIL, PHI
Weds/Thurs: DAL, UTA, WAS
Fri/Sat: MEM, MIA
Sat/Sun: BOS, CHA, DET, GSW, SAC
Sun/Mon of week 24: none
3 games in 4 nights
Mon/Tues/Thurs: GSW, IND
Mon/Weds/Thurs: DAL, UTA, WAS
Tues/Weds/Fri: HOU, MIL,
Weds/Thurs/Sat: DAL, UTA, WAS
Weds/Fri/Sat: MEM, MIA
Thurs/Sat/Sun: CHA, DET, GSW, SAC
Tu/Thurs+ ATL, CHA, GSW, IND, MIN, SAC
FINALS (Week 24: 3/25 – 3/31)
Notes: This might be the tightest of all the weeks and the most likely you’ll have a full/overloaded day. My five H2H teams have 40, 43, 43, 46 and 46 games so there’s a big disparity there. Two teams are full on Tuesday. Additionally, with only seven games on Sunday there’s a decent chance you can stream 3 or 4 games if you’re able to hold on to your adds through the early part of the week.
4 Games: LAC, LAL, MEM, OKC, ORL, POR, SAC, WAS
3 Games: ATL, BRK, BOS, CHA, CHI, CLE, DAL, DET, GSW, HOU, IND, MIA, MIL, MIN, NOR, PHI, PHO, SAS, TOR, UTA
2 Games: NYK
Monday has 4 games: Sixers at Magic, Thunder at Grizz, Suns at Jazz and Nets and Blazers.
Tuesday has 10: Spurs at Hornets, Celts at Cavs, Magic at Heat, Bulls at Raps, Rockets at Bucks, Clips at Wolves, Hawks at Pels, Kings at Mavs, Pistons at Nuggs and Wiz at Lakers.
Wednesday has 5: Blazers at Bulls, Dubs at Grizz, Pacers at Thunder, Wiz at Suns and Lakers at Jazz.
Thursday has 8: Magic at Pistons, Nets at Sixers, Mavs at Heat, Raps at Knicks, Nuggs at Rockets, Clips at Bucks, Kings at Pels and Cavs at Spurs.
Friday has 6: Pacers at Celts, Blazers at Hawks, Dubs at Wolves, Nuggs at Thunder, Wiz at Jazz and Hornets at Lakers.
Saturday has 9: Cavs at Clips, Celts at Nets, Kings at Rockets, Blazers at Pistons, Magic at Pacers, Heat at Knicks, Raps at Bulls, Sixers at Wolves and Grizz at Suns.
Sunday has 7: Bucks at Hawks, Mavs at Thunder, Lakers at Pels, Kings at Spurs, Wiz at Nuggs, Hornets at Dubs and Grizz and Clips.
Sun of Week 23/Mon: none
Tues/Weds: LAL, WAS
Sat/Sun: LAC, MEM, SAC
Working the Wire
Outside of the following players, you never know who might be available – you might find desirable pieces that another owner had to let go of.
You might even find something better than a specialist – C.J. McCollum was dropped in one of my public leagues by a vindictive, hateful manager before news of his knee broke.
Marcus Smart stayed hitting last week, knocking down over 50% of his shots and averaging 13.0 points, 1.3 threes and 3.0 steals (top-25). Boston plays 4-3 with a B2B on Sat/Sun which puts Terry Rozier (top-130) in play.
Tyus Jones was top-55 last week with 11.3 points, 1.3 threes, 4.5 assists and 1.3 steals and he’s on fire, hitting 50% or better over his last 3 games. He should be owned as long as Jeff Teague (foot) is out despite his lackluster 3-3.
Jalen Brunson was straight balling last week and his 22.3 points, 2.3 threes, 4.8 assists and 0.5 steals on 59.3% from the field in 34 minutes a game. That was good for top-30 in 9-cat and while he won’t shoot this good, Dallas goes 4-3 and Luka Doncic (knee) is banged up.
Patrick Beverley’s steals dipped to 0.7 last week and his 9-cat rank dipped to No. 66 last week; he was still usable with 1.0 threes, 9.3 points, 5.3 rebounds, 6.7 assists, 0.3 blocks and 0.3 turnovers.
Shai Gorgeous kept it up at two spots behind Pet-Bev in 9-cat last week with 14.7 points, 1.0 threes, 4.7 rebounds, 4.7 assists, 2.0 steals and an ugly 2.7 turnovers. The Clips grind 3-4.
Delon Wright was top-90 over his last six games with 13.0 points, 0.5 threes, 4.5 rebounds, 4.3 dimes, 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocks in 29 minutes a game. He goes 3-4 with a B2B on Fri/Sat that will probably see Mike Conley sitting one.
Tyler Johnson: INJ
D.J. Augustin has 2 games. They’re on Weds/Fri. And thus, streams were born.
With Isaiah Thomas banished to the bench, Monte Morris resurfaced with top-100 value over his last four games, averaging 8.3 points. 1.3 threes, 4.0 assists, 1.3 steals and 1.2 turnovers in almost 28 minutes a game. Denver plays 4-4 and is the only team with a Thurs/Fri B2B.
Remember a few weeks ago I said I’m watching Brandon Knight? He’s been a top-110 play in 9-cat over his last four with 10.0 points, 1.3 threes, 1.8 assists and 1.5 steals on 45.7% from the field. The shooting and steals aren’t likely to hold but he goes 4-3 for you desperate deep-leaguers.
Ish Smith’s 59.3% shooting froze to death and so did his value as predicted and that’s the death of a salesman. Unfortunately, his assists also fell off. Detroit goes 4-3 with a B2B on Sat/Sun for a deep-league Hail-Mary for assists.
Kadeem Allen (no, not Kadeem Hardison) was dusted off on Friday as Fiz needed a backup for Emmanuel Mudiay, who was filling in for an injured Dennis Smith Jr. (sore back). Allen put up 16 points, two 3s, three boards, an assist and three steals against the Spurs. In a very limited sample size, he’s been 1000 times better in 9-cat than DSJ or Mudiay, but all this is contingent on so many variables, he’s more of a wish than an actual play. *sigh* The Knicks go 4-2 with no B2Bs.
Wayne Ellington stayed around the top-120 last week with 10.5 points, 3.0 threes and 1.0 steals. Luke Kennard’s .500-plus shooting finally regressed (30.6%) and it was ugly (outside the top-300). The Pistons battle 4-3. Langston Galloway (11.3 points and 2.8 threes) might be heating up if you want to throw a prayer at Sat/Sun’s B2B.
Avery Bradley lost some value but is till top-125 over his last six games. Memphis does it 3-4 although they start their week on Wednesday; it’ll suck getting donuts on Monday/Tuesday.
Kevin Huerter was back on the map with top-50 value over his last three games with 17.7 points, 3.3 threes, 4.7 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 1.0 steals. The Hawks fly 3-3 with no B2Bs.
Wes Matthews stayed out of the top-150 last week but still got 10.5 points, 1.8 threes, 2.3 assists and 0.8 steals in 33 minutes a game. Indy zooms 4-3 with a Mon/Tues B2B if you want to try to grab some 3s to start the week.
Landry Shamet was top-140 last week with 10.3 points, 3.0 threes, 3.7 assists and 0.7 stocks in 26 minutes a game. The Clips go 3-4 with no B2Bs.
Allonzo Trier (30.2% shooting) is ice-cold but Damyean Dotson was still tippin’ like the people’s champ with top-100 value over his last seven games with 16.1 points, 2.6 threes, 5.4 boards, 3.1 dimes and 0.9 steals. The Knicks go 4-2.
Dion Waiters snapped his broke streak with three games of 10-plus with 13.3 points, 3.0 threes, 2.7 assists, 3.0 boards and 1.0 steals on 46.9% from the field. You’re playing with fire, here. Derrick Jones Jr. and Rodney McGruder did nothing of note. Miami goes 4-3 with a Fri/Sat B2B this week.
Frank Jackson is still scoring with 16.8 points over his last four games but, 1.5 threes, 3.0 rebounds and 0.3 steals with negative value in FG% and FT% meant he landed outside the top-200 in 9-cat. The Pels tank 3-3.
Mikal Bridges shot 39.1% from the field and has quiet top-75 value in 9-cat over his last four but he wasn’t quite as helpful in H2H with 0.8 threes, 2.3 steals and zero blocks in 34 minutes a game.
Josh Jackson had 12.0 points, 1.8 threes, 1.0 blocks and 0.5 steals with the usual bad efficiency and landed outside the top-200. That’s how random rankings work. The Suns blink 3-3 and no B2Bs this week.
Moe Harkless missed a game with his bum knee and busted his B2B. Portland blazes 3-4 with no B2Bs of you’re hunting defense.
Jeff Green gave us a standard top-150ish line with a very efficient 13.5 points, 1.5 threes and half a stock in 30 minutes a game. He can’t seem to grab any boards now that Bobby Portis and Bari Parker are in town. The Wiz go 4-4 with a Weds/Thurs B2B.
Jae Crowder has now scored 11+ points for seven straight and he was top-100 over that span, but just top-160 over his last three as his shooting wanes again. Kyle Korver got 2.0 treys and 0.8 steals last week in a reduced 22 minutes so I guess Utah will let him idle a bit. Utah plays 4-3 with a including a Weds/Thurs B2B.
C.J. Miles: INJ?
Kenrich Williams is playing like a worse Mikal Bridges, i.e. he crapped out. The Pels go 3-3 in a front-loaded week.
Kelly Olynyk shot 22.2% over his last three and still managed to crack the top-150 while Bam Adebayo (top-50) was superb with 13.3 points, 7.3 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 1.0 steals and 0.3 blocks with great efficiency. Miami goes for it 4-3 with a Fri/Sat B2B if someone drops them early in the week.
Maxi Kleber must have eaten a bunch of spinach or at least some sauerbraten because he was back with a vengeance (not really cuz he’s been sucking) with 10.3 points, 1.0 threes, 9.5 rebounds and 1.0 blocks in 30 minutes a game over the last four. Dallas goes 4-3 with a Weds/Thurs B2B.
P.J. Tucker was Olynyk-like last week too with 27.8% shooting last week but like Olynyk he found a way to deliver value with 1.0 threes and 2.0 steals and 0.5 blocks. Houston runs 4-3 with a Tues/Weds B2Bs this week.
Al-Farouq Aminu was pretty meh. The Blazers flame 3-4 with no B2Bs.
Nemanja Bjelica is still starting but in the two games Marvin Bagley has been back, Bjelica has gotten 6.5 points and 6.0 rebounds and the streets have no name. I’m not touching him or Harry Giles unless I was overwhelmingly desperate for the Sat/Sun B2B. The Kings go 4-4.
Jakob Poeltl picked a fine time to make a fantasy splash – unless you were on the receiving end of his barrage of blocks. Over the last four games he’s been a top-20 guy largely based on 2.8 blocks, 8.0 points on 80% from the field and 7.5 rebounds. That includes a whopping 10 blocks over his last two games which won quite a few weeks I should imagine. The Spurs go 4-3 with no B2Bs.
Robin Lopez stayed excellent with 17.0 points, 7.0 boards and a still-respectable 1.3 blocks, literally what he got two weeks ago! Lol, I didn’t have to change a thing. He was ranked a lot higher (top-40) due to better efficiency. Team Boylen rolls 3-3 without a B2B.
Cody Zeller: INJ, but shouldn’t be out too much longer. His back up, Frank Kaminsky, averaged 11.5 points, 1.5 threes and 4.0 rebounds on 40% from the field. Not so hot. The Hornets go 4-3 with a Sat/Sun B2B.
Joakim Noah put up a top-130 useful line over his last three with 12.3 points, 7.0 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 0.7 blocks and 0.3 steals on 68.2% from the field. He goes 3-4 and his week starts on Wednesday.
Thomas Bryant was top-70 last week, but like Mikal Bridges, his efficient line of 9.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.3 blocks was a little soft for H2H. The Wiz go 4-4, he has a Weds/Thurs B2B and as Dan says, if only we could predict which game he’ll snap out of every four or five. I wonder if my opponent (not this past week) in two leagues, John’s Algo Team, is working on that.
Alex Len has standard-league value over his last seven with 14.6 points, 1.9 threes, 6.4 boards and 1.0 blocks. His FT shooting still sucks but he’s hit at least one trey and gotten at least one block in five of those. He plays 3-3.
Another guy who will hurt your FT% is Mason Plumlee and Plumdog was in typical form last week at 28.6% from the line. He also got 2.0 blocks and 5.0 assists and shout out to you if you figured out how to work that into your lineup. He goes 4-4 and Denver is the only team with a Thurs/Fri B2B against the Wiz and Knicks if you’re hunting blocks, FT% be damned.
Ivica Zubac got 11.0 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists last week but didn’t record a block. The Clips go 3-4 and those three games are spaced out this week.
Mo Wagner and Johnathan Williams were hot garbage as we saw Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Alex #$@*%! Caruso delivering last week. Oh well, it’s okay if you don’t know everything. The Lakers go 3-4 and have no B2Bs.
Ed Davis got 10.2 boards over his last three which was very boss. The 38.9% from the field and two games next week is so not.
Cheick Diallo and Jah Okafor were mostly bad except for their Saturday performances vs. the Suns. Diallo (1.3 blocks over the last four) is the better of the two but both are pretty uninspiring as they’ve jagged their opportunities with no Brow and they go 3-3 in a front-loaded week with better options likely available.
Richaun Holmes: INJ and also messed up my Fri/Sat B2B attempt where I really needed both games.
Nerlens Noel was a bust. He goes 3-4 with no B2Bs this week.
–I’ve heard a few Porzingis homage tracks from Europe but finally heard one from Finland dedicated to Lauri Bird; not what I’m looking for in hip-hop (which is very little these days) but it’s still better than that Mo Bamba track (but not better than the original Porzingis track).
–H2H Team update:
Team Floppy Divac enjoyed the bye week while waiting for Marvin Bagley to get back.
Team “and then there was 1” also enjoyed the bye week.
Team Splash Robinson – my assists and efficiency squad – took some dings to the stream (Richaun Holmes and Moe Harkless), some sub-par play (Mikal), some bad FT shooting from Kawhi (44.4 %) and his Jakob Poeltl out-blocking my Mitch Rob. And I’m still missing Jrue. It’ll come down to today.
Team Diva took some of the similar hits as Splash Rob but add Jeff Teague and Luka Doncic’s barftastic efficiency and now the margin for winning is extra-small since I was almost instantly out in 3-cats. Then Luka missed Saturday’s game. Gee, thanks. I’m only in it because my opponent is still unnecessarily holding Jrue in an active roster spot. D’oh! It’ll come down to how many 3s Harden hits and how many blocks Mitch Rob can get me.
In the Hoop-Ball league, I’m really salty I had to abort my tank-job last week. Instead of a really nice matchup and an easy win imo, I’m up against Adrian Benjamins, who has had my number all season. It’ll come down to the last games where both of our shaky shooting squads are neck and neck (Brodie, ugh) along with the defensive stats. I’m not sweating it that much cuz if I squeeze though, friend of the WTW, VP, is up next with his loaded-schedule juggernaut of a squad, and Westy is down to two games with a suspension looming. VP also picked up my old man Marv *me shaking my fist like Grampa Simpson*
Longing to live,