October 25, 2017, 12:39 pm
Today’s slate features 10 games including the Thunder vs. the Pacers, two teams who were trade partners for one of the offseason’s biggest deals. Tonight there are a few teams coming off playing last night and as always back-to-backs are something to monitor but it really shouldn’t affect anyone this early in the year. Also follow me on twitter @awalia100. Let’s get started.
John Wall ($10,200 FD/DK) – Wizards center Marcin Gortat has already guaranteed that John Wall will torture Lonzo Ball for 48 minutes so if we take Gortat for his word Wall will be in for a big night. The Wizards are favored by only 6 points in a game with a high over/under of 226.5 so if Vegas has it right, we are looking at a fairly competitive, high scoring game which makes Wall my top point guard play of the night.
D’Angelo Russell ($7,800 FD/DK) – D’Angelo Russell hasn’t disappointed ever since Jeremy Lin’s injury which made him the unquestioned lead guard of a Nets team that plays at one of the fastest paces in the league. Russell has gone over 30 fantasy points in each game of the year and gets a Cavaliers team tonight that struggles on the defensive side and is fresh off giving up 112 points to the Chicago Bulls. This game has an over/under of 227.5 and should remain close enough for Russell to get his full allotment of minutes. This all hinges on whether or not Russell plays through his doubtful tag, however.
Lonzo Ball ($7,400 FD, $7,000 DK) – Someone who may have something to say about Wall torturing him for 48 minutes is Lonzo Ball himself. As stated this game is expected to be high scoring which should allow Ball plenty of opportunities. Ball’s minutes, despite being a rookie, look to be locked in around the mid 30’s at least and has been a constant triple-double threat the first few games of the year and tonight should be no different.
Dejounte Murray ($5,900 FD, $5,800 DK) – Dejounte Murray has excelled in his second year taking over lead point duties in Tony Parker’s absence. Murray makes for a fine play if you need to go for a mid-level option due to his ability to fill up the stat sheet in different ways as he showed with his 15 rebound outing against the Raptors on Monday.
Mike James ($4,300 FD, $4,400 DK) – Mike James has taken over the starting point guard job with Eric Bledsoe being dismissed for the team. James will probably be one of the most popular plays due to his price and high usage rate. There is some risk with James as he will be facing a tough defensive-minded Jazz team but with Utah coming off a game last night and his cheap price, the risk with James is mitigated.
James Harden ($11,600 FD/DK) – James Harden has been solid so far this year but he hasn’t had that fantasy outburst yet that he was so prone to last year. Tonight, that may change as he gets the 76ers in what should be a fun match-up. Vegas has this as a close game as the Rockets are favored by less than 4 points in a game that has a high over/under at 220 so this seems like a good game for Harden to break out and justify his high price.
Victor Oladipo ($7,800 FD, $7,200 DK) – I’m all about narratives so I’m all in on a Victor Oladipo revenge game as he returns to OKC after being traded away by the Thunder for Paul George. However, you don’t need a narrative to justify playing Oladipo as he’s been great so far in his role on his new team. The Pacers are coming off a blowout of the Timberwolves last night in which Oladipo played only 28 minutes so he should be fresh and ready to build off his great play to start the year.
Jeremy Lamb ($5,600 FD/DK) – Jeremy Lamb is in a good spot at home tonight against a Denver team that plays at a high pace. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist will return tonight but will be on a minutes restriction so Lamb should still be able to get enough minutes to allow him to hit value at his mid-level price.
Donovan Mitchell ($4,100 FD, $3,800) – Rodney Hood has a calf injury and Joe Ingles is dealing with an illness. If both were to miss tonight’s game against the Suns, Donovan Mitchell would make for a great play against what may be the worst defensive team in the league. Mitchell dropped 19 points on the Clippers last night in Hood’s absence but carries risk as most line-ups lock at 7pm and the Jazz don’t pay until 10pm so we may not have any news on Hood or Ingles until after line-ups lock.
J.R. Smith ($3,900 FD, $4,000 DK) – J.R. Smith is purely a dart throw for me and an option only if you need to go relatively cheap at the position. There is definitely risk attached to Smith but my recommendation of him is based off Smith getting 32 minutes last night and the Nets ability to give up big fantasy nights to even the most obscure players.
LeBron James ($10,700 FD, $10,400 DK) –LeBron James at point guard for the foreseeable future is going to be fun to watch, especially for those who play him in DFS. James controlled the ball for a lot of the game anyway but now it’s going to be for all of the game which should help his assist numbers. He looked like he tweaked his ankle last night but has already been declared a go for tonight in a golden match up with the Nets.
Paul George ($8,700 FD, $8,000 DK) – Like I said I’m all about the narratives. Paul George faces off against his old team tonight and will be looking to show he’s better off without them. However, narratives aside George has put up good fantasy numbers through the first three games and the Pacers are a high pace team so George is a good bet to hit value tonight.
Josh Richardson ($6,300 FD, $5,400 DK) – Dion Waiters is questionable for tonight and if he sits then Josh Richardson should be the main beneficiary on the Heat. Richardson filled up the stat sheet last time he played with 21 points, 4 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks and 2 steals.
DeMarre Carroll ($5,800 FD, $4,200 DK) –DeMarre Carroll has been a great addition to the Nets through the first four games of the season. He has hit the 30 point mark in three straight games while also scoring 17 points in each of the last three games so if you’re looking for a safe play at the mid-level, Carroll is your guy.
Shabazz Muhammad ($3,000 FD/DK) – With Jimmy Butler being declared out again tonight, Shabazz Muhammad will enter the starting line-up for the second night in a row and makes for a good play. Listed at the minimum on both sites, Muhammad should get close to 30 minutes like he did against the Pacers last night which makes him a good play despite his limited upside.
LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,900 FD, $8,800 DK) – LaMarcus Aldridge has shown so far that the changes coach Popovich has made to make him more comfortable are working. Tonight, Aldridge gets a Heat team without Hassan Whiteside so look for him to continue his hot start as the offensive center piece.
Ben Simmons ($8,800 FD) – It was just a week ago where I wrote up Ben Simmons as a good play at his $5,600 FanDuel price and now even though he’s over $3,000 more expensive, Simmons still makes for a great play tonight in a great match-up with the Rockets. This should be a high scoring game and Simmons should be able to keep building off his early season success. Simmons is listed as PG/SF eligible on DraftKings for the same price where he is a recommended play as well.
Otto Porter ($7,500 FD, $5,900 DK) – Otto Porter gets a great match-up against the Lakers tonight where I think pretty much every Wizard getting heavy minutes can make for a good play. Porter is one of my favorite plays of the night, especially his DraftKings price. Porter is averaging nine rebounds per game and is always a candidate to score over 20 points. Throw in his defensive stats and a game with a high over/under Porter makes for an excellent play.
Kyle Kuzma ($5,100 FD, $4,700 DK) – On the other side of that match-up is Kyle Kuzma, who has parlayed his strong summer league and preseason into an important role. He has gotten 28 and 30 minutes the past two games and has done well with his opportunity, hitting 15 and 20 points respectively in the two games. There’s risk here given how his minutes aren’t guaranteed but Kuzma has shown so far his summer league and preseason performance was no fluke.
Domantas Sabonis ($4,800 FD, $5,000 DK) – Another player in a revenge spot is Domantas Sabonis but just like with Oladipo and George, you don’t need a narrative to play Sabonis. With Tuner slated to miss another game Sabonis will again get extended run and he’s done well with his added opportunity so far with Turner out, hitting a double-double in each of the last two games.
Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,100 FD, $8,600 DK) – Karl-Anthony Towns is the highest priced center on FanDuel and the second highest on DraftKings for good reason as he is as consistent as you can get in fantasy. Without Jimmy Butler for the second night in a row look for Towns to assert himself against another premier big man in Andre Drummond.
Joel Embiid ($8,600 FD, $8,000 DK) – Tonight, Joel Embiid will be back playing in front of the home crown in Philadelphia. Even with Embiid still at a minutes restriction which places him under 30 minutes per game, Embiid is still putting up fantasy numbers that warrant a write up. Tonight, he gets a Rockets team without Nene in a game in which Embiid has plenty of blow up potential.
Dwight Howard ($7,900 FD, $7,100 DK) – Dwight Howard has been on a rebounding tear to star the year. He’s averaging over 17 rebounds per game through his first three games and will look to continue his dominance on the glass against Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets tonight.
Jakob Poeltl ($4,900 FD, $4,500 DK) – Jakob Poeltl may be in for some serious minutes tonight as both Jonas Valanciunas and Lucas Nogueira have been declared out. Poeltl has stepped up when he’s gotten the opportunity as he went for a double-double in his last game in 25 minutes. The risk of a blowout here doesn’t apply to him as he still should be able to get minutes no matter what the score is.