April 20, 2018, 2:48 pm
Welcome back to another Friday edition of Hoop-Ball’s DraftKings DFS breakdown. I will be going through the three playoff games on tonight’s slate picking out my favorite value plays to target. Tonight is a little different than any other playoff slate we have had thus far as we seem to have an abundance of possible value. I am here to help decipher which of these value plays are safe and which ones we will be using in our GPP’s. Right now, it looks like we have enough value to fit two studs, but we will have to wait and see if the news falls our way. Let’s not waste any more time and jump right into my favorite plays.
Ty Lawson $3,500– There is a ton of risk that comes with Lawson, as he only saw his first action with the Wizards last game. What puts him in play is that he played a whopping 31 minutes and was the main guard playing behind both John Wall and Bradley Beal. It seems like the Wizards are trying to get some veteran experience off of the bench and even if he only plays in the twenties he is still in play. Like I said I wouldn’t go locking in Lawson 100 percent, but he is definitely one of the more intriguing value plays available and I will have a fair share.
Darren Collison $5,300– I have been riding Collison this whole series waiting for that 40-point game. He has now had back-to-back games with six assists and five rebounds and played over 30 minutes in both. Collison has a solid floor in this matchup, with the upside to win a GPP at his price.
Kyle Korver/J.R. Smith $4,000/$4,100– The Cavs switched up their staring lineup last game and placed better shooters around LeBron James. Korver and J.R. Smith both played over thirty minutes, with Korver having the better game. Tonight they are both very much in play and only $100 apart. The Cavs should run out the same starting lineup and with Kevin Love nursing a sore thumb (X-rays came back negative) I expect players like Korver and Smith to be relied upon even more. I wouldn’t play both in the same lineup; while they could both get hot they eat into each other’s value.
Eric Bledsoe $6,300– After talking a bunch of junk about Terry Rozier we have to imagine Bledsoe comes out ready to back it up tonight. He is severely underpriced after a string of rough performances, but the Bucks are down 2-0 and I expect their stars to come out and log heavy minutes with high usage. Bledsoe has looked slightly off lately, but at this price he makes for a strong GPP option.
C.J. Miles $3,700- Throughout his career Miles has been that GPP dart throw that could win you a contest. Fred VanVleet is currently being treated as questionable heading into the game and I would not be surprised to see him sit this one out. If he does I expect more run for Miles and Delon Wright, especially if Wizards head coach Scott Brooks intends on playing small like he hinted following the Game 2 loss. This would bode well for both Miles and Wright as we have seen the Raptors run plenty of three-guard lineups throughout the season. We are going to have to monitor the situation as best as possible and Miles is by no means a safe play, but he is cheap enough to take a shot on and provides elite value when he gets hot from three. Ill say it again, GPP play only.
Otto Porter $5,300– Porter is another guy who is underpriced in a must win game. Wizards’ head coach Scott Brooks hinted at lineup changes after Tuesday’s loss and the primary move would be starting Mike Scott over Marcin Gortat. Porter thrives in small ball lineups and while I would prefer to spend up for one of the studs I wouldn’t be upset if Porter was the final guy to round out my lineup.
Giannis Antetokounmpo $10,600– The spectacular play from LeBron has overshadowed how great the Greek Freak has been this series. The Bucks are trailing in the series and Giannis has shown in the past he could go full LeBron mode and take over a game. John Henson is being listed as doubtful and that may earn Giannis some minutes at center. It looks like we will have some value on the slate to fool around with and spending up with the Greek Freak feels like the way to go.
Mike Scott $3,800– As mentioned before, Brooks hinted at a change to the starting lineup heading into Game 3 and the move would be Scott starting at center for Gortat. He would immediately be one of the primary sources of value on the slate. The game doesn’t start until 8 p.m. EST and lineups lock at 7 p.m. EST, which means we are not guaranteed to have the news ahead of lock. To me, this is good news. I would rather take the shot and hope he goes low-owned in a situation that he could absolutely crush value. Even if Scott does not start the implication that Brooks hinted at the change bodes well for his playing time. If we do not have the news I would only limit my exposure to GPP’s.
LeBron James $11,600-It’s LeBron James and he is mad. Do I really need to say more? He is proving why he is the best in basketball and he has no problem taking control of this series. I have no problem locking LeBron into lineups tonight, but the way Giannis has been playing at a slightly discounted salary makes me think contemplate it; then again we may have enough value for both.
Tyler Zeller $2,800– With John Henson (back) being listed as doubtful we have to look at the next rim protector in line. Zeller falls below $3,000 and if he can log even 20 minutes should be a lock for value. The Bucks may opt to run smaller lineups which makes Jabari Parker viable at $4,400, but Parker has also been in the doghouse and I doubt his recent comments to the media help his case. As of now I m leaning toward playing Zeller for the discount, but I will have some shares of Parker in the lineups that do not.
Myles Turner-$5,700– The Cavs have not really had an answer for Turner thus far and it seems like they are okay with that. They have been trotting out small ball lineups and the only person who could really put a body on Turner, Tristan Thompson, has played 1.6 minutes in the past two games. I think I’d prefer the floor of Henson to Turner, but if I have the extra money I would shoot for Turner’s upside.
Malcolm Brogdon $4,800– Henson has been listed as doubtful and while I think Zeller makes for a fantastic value play at $2,800 and listed Parker as the alternative if the Bucks decide to play small, Brogdon is another player who also benefits from Henson’s absence. We have seen Brogdon get plenty of run in the smaller lineups and the Celtics will have no problem playing small themselves. If Parker is indeed in the doghouse we could some starter-like minutes from Brogdon. Again, a GPP option only unless we get news before the game.
Thanks you for reading and as always you can find me on Twitter @MikeApotria with any questions or comments.
April 22, 2019, 12:42 amRussell Westbrook - G - Oklahoma City Thunder
Russell Westbrook went 5-for-21 from the field to finish with 14 points, nine rebounds, seven assists and two treys in Sunday's 98-111 Game 4 loss to the Blazers.
Time and again in this series, it's been evident that Damian Lillard has been playing at a higher level than Westbrook and tonight was a fine example. Lillard was able to shake off his early shooting struggles and come up big in the second half, but Westbrook was still forcing shots and appeared to be on the back foot for most of the game. He's best when he's the one taking it to his opponents. A reactive Westbrook is simply not the star the Thunder need right now, if they want to salvage any hopes of coming back in this first-round series.
April 22, 2019, 12:36 amDennis Schroder - G - Oklahoma City Thunder
Dennis Schroder mirrored his 17-point performance from Friday with another 17-point game in Sunday's loss to the Blazers.
Schroder shot 6-of-12 from the field and added three rebounds, three assists, two 3s and one steal to the box score tonight. Aside from him though, the Thunder's bench was deafeningly quiet. He cannot carry the load of the second unit's scoring output by his lonesome, especially when they're faced up against a team with multiple weapons like the Blazers. For now, the Thunder can only hope he keeps this up and that the other reserves will follow suit.
April 22, 2019, 12:32 amJerami Grant - F - Oklahoma City Thunder
Jerami Grant made just 4-of-10 shots from the field on Sunday to finish with 11 points, nine rebounds, two assists, three triples and two steals in 34 minutes.
Grant's impact on the defensive end has been invaluable to the Thunder in this series and it was nice to see him active on the glass tonight, especially with Steven Adams being relatively quiet on that front with seven boards while adding six points, one assist, one steal and one block. Unfortunately for the Thunder, Portland's forwards, Maurice Harkless and Al-Farouq Aminu outplayed and out-hustled them on both ends of the floor.
April 22, 2019, 12:27 amPaul George - F - Oklahoma City Thunder
Despite being slowed down by turnovers and foul trouble, Paul George still managed to light up the box score in Sunday's loss to the Blazers with 32 points on 8-of-21 shooting, 10 rebounds, six assists, four 3s, one steal and one block.
George has been banged up as early as March and he's been such a trooper, powering through a bothersome shoulder to lead the Thunder in this first-round playoff series. Unfortunately, Damian Lillard and company have been far too much for OKC to handle and George's big nights have come and gone with a lack of ample support to properly contest for the win.
April 22, 2019, 12:23 amMaurice Harkless - F - Trail Blazers
Maurice Harkless had a swell two-way performance in the Blazers' 111-98 Game 4 win over the Thunder on Sunday, posting 15 points on 5-of-13 shooting, adding 10 rebounds, one triple, two steals and three blocks in 34 minutes.
Harkless was mostly a non-factor in fantasy during the regular season due to injuries. He's clearly feeling much better now and is delivering for the Blazers at the right time. If he can keep up posting performances like this, the Blazers could emerge as a dark horse to upset favorites in the west.
April 22, 2019, 12:18 amAl-Farouq Aminu - F - Trail Blazers
Al-Farouq Aminu was feeling it on Sunday, hitting 4-of-9 shots from downtown to help secure a Game 4 win over the Thunder via his 19 points (7-of-16 shooting), nine rebounds, one steal and one block.
The Blazers found an extra kick from Aminu tonight thanks to his hot hand. He's capable of explosions like this from time to time but they're not very consistent, making him a tough player to bank on in playoff DFS. Enes Kanter was relatively quiet as he put up eight points, 10 rebounds, three assists, two steals and one block.
April 22, 2019, 12:15 amCJ McCollum - G - Trail Blazers
CJ McCollum kept his foot on the gas pedal on Sunday, raining down five 3s on the Thunder en route to his team-high 27 points on 10-of-20 shooting, while adding four rebounds, three assists, one steal and two blocks.
McCollum is heating up at just the right time for the Blazers and he picked up some of the slack while Damian Lillard was struggling early in the first half. When he and multiple Blazers are able to put up full lines like this, Portland becomes a devastating opponent, even if the opposing team has name-brand superstars in the form of Russell Westbrook and Paul George.
April 22, 2019, 12:09 amDamian Lillard - G - Trail Blazers
Damian Lillard overcame a rough start in Sunday's game vs. the Thunder, found his game in the second half and was able to wind up finishing with 24 points on 7-of-19 shooting from the field and 6-of-6 shooting from the line.
Lillard has proven to be a true superstar in this series, managing to shake off a slow start to be able to deliver when his team needed the jolt on offense. He added four 3s, three rebounds, eight dimes and one steal to round out his line for the night. Despite Oklahoma City's best efforts, Lillard would not be denied. His ability to turn on a switch and take over a game makes him one of the Western Conference's most dangerous players.
April 21, 2019, 10:15 pmTerrence Ross - G/F - Orlando Magic
Terrence Ross could not get it going offensively in Sunday's 85-107 Game 4 loss to the Raptors on Sunday, recording just five points on 1-of-5 shooting (1-of-4 from deep) with two rebounds, three assists and one steal in 31 minutes.
This was a big blow for both the Magic and Ross' owners in DFS. He was coming off a solid 24-point gem on Friday, so this dud came as a bit of a surprise. In the end, costly turnovers and ill-timed fouls helped keep Ross from exploding like he's done in the past. Evan Fournier helped pick up the slack with 19 points (8-of-16 shooting), four rebounds, two 3s, two dimes and one steal in 35 minutes, but it still was not enough to go toe-to-toe with Kawhi Leonard and company in this crucial Game 4.
April 21, 2019, 10:10 pmAaron Gordon - F - Orlando Magic
Aaron Gordon shot 10-of-17 from the field to finish with 25 points, seven rebounds, five dimes, two 3s and one steal in Sunday's Game 4 loss to the Raptors.
Gordon was limited in the first half but turned up the heat in the third quarter where he scored 16 of his team-high 25 points. Unfortunately, his spirited play was not enough to mount a serious enough rally to challenge the Raptor's control over the game. The 23-year-old Gordon has displayed a fresh level of maturity in this series and finally looks prepared to make a significant leap forward in 2019-20.