April 20, 2018, 2:48 pm
Welcome back to another Friday edition of Hoop-Ball’s DraftKings DFS breakdown. I will be going through the three playoff games on tonight’s slate picking out my favorite value plays to target. Tonight is a little different than any other playoff slate we have had thus far as we seem to have an abundance of possible value. I am here to help decipher which of these value plays are safe and which ones we will be using in our GPP’s. Right now, it looks like we have enough value to fit two studs, but we will have to wait and see if the news falls our way. Let’s not waste any more time and jump right into my favorite plays.
Ty Lawson $3,500– There is a ton of risk that comes with Lawson, as he only saw his first action with the Wizards last game. What puts him in play is that he played a whopping 31 minutes and was the main guard playing behind both John Wall and Bradley Beal. It seems like the Wizards are trying to get some veteran experience off of the bench and even if he only plays in the twenties he is still in play. Like I said I wouldn’t go locking in Lawson 100 percent, but he is definitely one of the more intriguing value plays available and I will have a fair share.
Darren Collison $5,300– I have been riding Collison this whole series waiting for that 40-point game. He has now had back-to-back games with six assists and five rebounds and played over 30 minutes in both. Collison has a solid floor in this matchup, with the upside to win a GPP at his price.
Kyle Korver/J.R. Smith $4,000/$4,100– The Cavs switched up their staring lineup last game and placed better shooters around LeBron James. Korver and J.R. Smith both played over thirty minutes, with Korver having the better game. Tonight they are both very much in play and only $100 apart. The Cavs should run out the same starting lineup and with Kevin Love nursing a sore thumb (X-rays came back negative) I expect players like Korver and Smith to be relied upon even more. I wouldn’t play both in the same lineup; while they could both get hot they eat into each other’s value.
Eric Bledsoe $6,300– After talking a bunch of junk about Terry Rozier we have to imagine Bledsoe comes out ready to back it up tonight. He is severely underpriced after a string of rough performances, but the Bucks are down 2-0 and I expect their stars to come out and log heavy minutes with high usage. Bledsoe has looked slightly off lately, but at this price he makes for a strong GPP option.
C.J. Miles $3,700- Throughout his career Miles has been that GPP dart throw that could win you a contest. Fred VanVleet is currently being treated as questionable heading into the game and I would not be surprised to see him sit this one out. If he does I expect more run for Miles and Delon Wright, especially if Wizards head coach Scott Brooks intends on playing small like he hinted following the Game 2 loss. This would bode well for both Miles and Wright as we have seen the Raptors run plenty of three-guard lineups throughout the season. We are going to have to monitor the situation as best as possible and Miles is by no means a safe play, but he is cheap enough to take a shot on and provides elite value when he gets hot from three. Ill say it again, GPP play only.
Otto Porter $5,300– Porter is another guy who is underpriced in a must win game. Wizards’ head coach Scott Brooks hinted at lineup changes after Tuesday’s loss and the primary move would be starting Mike Scott over Marcin Gortat. Porter thrives in small ball lineups and while I would prefer to spend up for one of the studs I wouldn’t be upset if Porter was the final guy to round out my lineup.
Giannis Antetokounmpo $10,600– The spectacular play from LeBron has overshadowed how great the Greek Freak has been this series. The Bucks are trailing in the series and Giannis has shown in the past he could go full LeBron mode and take over a game. John Henson is being listed as doubtful and that may earn Giannis some minutes at center. It looks like we will have some value on the slate to fool around with and spending up with the Greek Freak feels like the way to go.
Mike Scott $3,800– As mentioned before, Brooks hinted at a change to the starting lineup heading into Game 3 and the move would be Scott starting at center for Gortat. He would immediately be one of the primary sources of value on the slate. The game doesn’t start until 8 p.m. EST and lineups lock at 7 p.m. EST, which means we are not guaranteed to have the news ahead of lock. To me, this is good news. I would rather take the shot and hope he goes low-owned in a situation that he could absolutely crush value. Even if Scott does not start the implication that Brooks hinted at the change bodes well for his playing time. If we do not have the news I would only limit my exposure to GPP’s.
LeBron James $11,600-It’s LeBron James and he is mad. Do I really need to say more? He is proving why he is the best in basketball and he has no problem taking control of this series. I have no problem locking LeBron into lineups tonight, but the way Giannis has been playing at a slightly discounted salary makes me think contemplate it; then again we may have enough value for both.
Tyler Zeller $2,800– With John Henson (back) being listed as doubtful we have to look at the next rim protector in line. Zeller falls below $3,000 and if he can log even 20 minutes should be a lock for value. The Bucks may opt to run smaller lineups which makes Jabari Parker viable at $4,400, but Parker has also been in the doghouse and I doubt his recent comments to the media help his case. As of now I m leaning toward playing Zeller for the discount, but I will have some shares of Parker in the lineups that do not.
Myles Turner-$5,700– The Cavs have not really had an answer for Turner thus far and it seems like they are okay with that. They have been trotting out small ball lineups and the only person who could really put a body on Turner, Tristan Thompson, has played 1.6 minutes in the past two games. I think I’d prefer the floor of Henson to Turner, but if I have the extra money I would shoot for Turner’s upside.
Malcolm Brogdon $4,800– Henson has been listed as doubtful and while I think Zeller makes for a fantastic value play at $2,800 and listed Parker as the alternative if the Bucks decide to play small, Brogdon is another player who also benefits from Henson’s absence. We have seen Brogdon get plenty of run in the smaller lineups and the Celtics will have no problem playing small themselves. If Parker is indeed in the doghouse we could some starter-like minutes from Brogdon. Again, a GPP option only unless we get news before the game.
Thanks you for reading and as always you can find me on Twitter @MikeApotria with any questions or comments.
December 13, 2019, 10:53 pmZach LaVinePG, Chicago Bulls
Zach LaVine could not buy a bucket on Friday, going 4-of-19 from the field for 12 points, eight rebounds, one 3-pointer, two dimes and one steal.
LaVine is dealing with a right shoulder strain, which may or may not have contributed to his poor showing. Keep an eye on his performances moving forward.
December 13, 2019, 10:51 pmDillon BrooksSF, Memphis Grizzlies
Dillon Brooks finished Friday's loss against the Bucks with 19 points (6-for-17 shooting), four triples, three assists, two rebounds and a block.
Brooks logged a team-high 35 minutes and his usage on a nightly basis for this Memphis team keeps him relevant in standard leagues. He will occasionally catch fire from beyond the arc like he did tonight.
December 13, 2019, 10:47 pmJae CrowderPF, Memphis Grizzlies
Jae Crowder finished with 15 points (3-for-11 shooting), 11 rebounds, three threes, four assists, one steal and one block as the Grizzlies fell to the Bucks.
Crowder's rebounding was nice, but the shooting performance from the field was less than stellar. The shooting keeps him from being an option in every league, but he can be relied on for some cheap counting stats when needed.
December 13, 2019, 10:39 pmCody ZellerC, Charlotte Hornets
Cody Zeller double-doubled off the bench on Friday with 11 points (4-of-8 shooting), 10 rebounds, one 3-pointer and two assists.
Zeller has been playing well enough to warrant a pickup in 12-team leagues. Bismack Biyombo, who started but left the game briefly with right groin soreness, was equally effective with 12 points (4-of-6 shooting), nine rebounds, one assist and one block. Zeller remains the preferred big man to own in Charlotte.
December 13, 2019, 10:32 pmDevonte' GrahamPG, Charlotte Hornets
Devonte' Graham struggled on Friday, making just 4-of-14 shots from the field for a team-high 16 points, five rebounds, seven dimes, two 3s, three steals and seven turnovers.
It's a testament to how good Graham is this season, when you consider a team-high 16 points, a poor showing. It's just a bad game, which was shared by the whole team, so there's no cause for serious concern here. Keep deploying Graham with confidence.
December 13, 2019, 10:25 pmPJ WashingtonPF, Charlotte Hornets
P.J. Washington looked good in Friday's 83-73 win over the Bulls, recording 13 points on 6-of-17 shooting with 10 rebounds, two dimes, one steal and three blocks in a team-high 38 minutes.
Marvin Williams (right knee soreness) was out in this game, so Washington had a few more minutes to snack on for value. Washington's role is officially carved in stone and is a safe long-term hold in standard leagues.
December 13, 2019, 10:24 pmDerrick Jones Jr.SF, Miami Heat
Derrick Jones Jr. logged 28 minutes on Friday, adding 17 points (4-for-6 shooting), four assists, four rebounds, two triples and two steals
It was a nice night for Jones, who recently returned from injury and is showing he can handle a full load of minutes. The shooting was unsustainable in this one, but Jones is someone that can provide threes and defense and is well worth a look in deeper leagues.
December 13, 2019, 10:22 pmBam AdebayoC, Miami Heat
Bam Adebayo notched 12 points (5-for-11 shooting), 12 rebounds, five assists and a block in Friday's 110-113 loss to the Lakers.
Adebayo continues to look impressive this season and doesn't seem to be slowed down by the recent groin issue that was popping up for him. He's a safe bet for great rebounding, defense, scoring and assists. The next step for him will be becoming more consistent at the free throw line where he was 2-for-5 tonight.
December 13, 2019, 10:17 pmJimmy ButlerSG, Miami Heat
Jimmy Butler contributed 23 points (9-for-20 shooting), three rebounds, three assists and four steals in Friday's loss to the Lakers.
Butler went 0-for-5 from beyond the arc on Friday, but still provided a good fantasy line. He is the undisputed leader of this young Heat team and a good bet for all-around production most nights.
December 13, 2019, 10:14 pmKendrick NunnPG, Miami Heat
Kendrick Nunn had 16 points (7-for-15 shooting), seven assists, two steals, two rebounds and two threes in Friday's loss to the Lakers.
With 36 minutes in this one, Nunn continues to start and be a featured member of the Heat rotation. While they've been dealing with injuries all season long, it seems Nunn's role is safer than anyone not named Jimmy Butler or Bam Adebayo for this Heat team.