December 1, 2017, 12:52 pm
It is Friday, December 1 and there are eight games on the slate. We will be waiting on a lot of injury news to open up some value, but lets jump right into dissecting the value and top plays for tonight as though we have that information.
Michael Carter-Williams $4,200– MCW drew the start last game when Kemba Walker sat out with shoulder soreness (I expect him to sit once again). It is not my favorite spot, but after seeing him play 32 minutes last game it will be hard to avoid him. MCW offers a high tournament ceiling and if getting minutes upwards of 30, should also provide a decent floor. Last game he put up 21.5 DK at points on 1-of-10 shooting and zero steals. He is not known to be a scorer, but It is hard to see him shooting that poorly again and not utilizing his length.
Tyus Jones $4,500– Similar to MCW, we will be waiting on the news to find out if Jones will be in play again. Jones has filled in admirably for Jeff Teague the past three games and should continue to hit value if he sits once again. He is not much of a scorer, but he racks up assists and steals quickly and in a game with a fast pace and versus a high turnover prone point guard (Russell Westbrook), Jones should be able to continue doing so.
Kyle Lowry $8,100– He seems to finally be in a good grove. In his last four games Lowry is averaging 52 DK points. Tonight they draw the Pacers, a matchup we just witnessed him thrive in last week (57 DK points). In that game Victor Oladipo locked down DeMar Derozan and that has been the case this season for Oladipo with opposing shooting guards. The price is fair and may be just enough to make people think twice. Point per Dollar, one of my favorite plays on the slate.
Stephen Curry $9,900– Klay Thompson is questionable heading into the game and has not rested yet this season. This leads me to believe he sits out tonight making this game quite simple to figure out. If you think this game stays intact, play Curry. This game will have one of the fastest paces of the night and should be high scoring as well. High usage point guards tend to do well against the Magic and we just saw Westbrook drop 69 DK points the other night.
Alec Burks $3,600– Burks won me the money last night after dropping 53 DK points in 29 minutes. If Rodney Hood is forced to sit out again I am ok with firing Burks right back up. It is a back-to-back for the Jazz and the starters may need a little more rest, but Burks’ minutes seem secure in a high-usage bench role. There is not a ton of value on the slate and Burks looks like a top option if you are trying to save.
Tomas Satoranksy $3,800- His minutes have been up the past two games, while Tim Frazier’s have dipped. Having Satoransky on the floor offers another shooting option for a Wizards team searching for scoring. I would like the play a lot more if we hear he is starting, which is defiantly a possibility with the Pistons using a tradition point guard, unlike the Sixers. I would strictly limit him to tournaments.
Jonothan Simmons $5,100– With Terrence Ross sidelined we know Simmons minutes are secure. I look at Simmons as an option to pair with someone on the Golden State side of the ball. Simmons thrives in the up-tempo games and I can see him getting few easy steals and transition dunks. Again, I am mostly limiting him to tournaments with someone from the Warriors on the other side.
Otto Porter $6,500– This is a great spot for Porter. He will likely draw the weaker in Stanley Johnson with Avery Bradley guarding Bradley Beal. He is averaging 16 shot attempts since John Wall has sat out and provides double-double upside in a matchup against the Pistons. Point per Dollar, Porter is looking like my favorite Small forward option on the slate.
Paul George $8,200– After reaching almost a $9,000 salary two games ago, Pg-13’s price is back down to earth. He is a strong option if you have the money and love the fact that he can be slotted in Power Forward on DraftKings. His floor is safe and can offer 50 point DK upside. He can be a valuable option in both GPP’s and cash games
Kevin Durant $9,600– Like I said with Curry, you are either playing players from both sides or none at all. It could be either one on any given night and while I like Curry a tad more, Durant still offers huge tournament upside and what could be low ownership. I expect a few people to be scared off by his questionable tag and the fact that he missed a few games last week, but he looked fine in the game against the Lakers and played 42 minutes. I will repeat again for the skimmers, only if Klay Thompson sits and only if you think this game stays close, I am avoiding one-offs from this game in my lineups.
Domantas Sabonis $5,300– Myles Turner (knee) is entering the day questionable. So here is to hoping everyone forgot about what Sabonis did when Myles Turner missed a few games early in the season. With Turner off of the floor, Sabonis is averaging 1.11 DK points per minute. If he sees 30 minutes he is a sure lock for value. I am all over a Lowry-Sabonis pairing to get some exposure on both sides.
Carmelo Anthony $6,700– It is Anthony and Paul George who I think will be the difference makers in this game. The problem is you can’t play both. Anthony is at a great price point, but has yet to show us that 50-point upside he once possessed in New York. He still poises tournament appeal at his price, but makes for a much safer cash option.
LaMarcus Aldridge $8,500– This man is on a tear. We literally just saw this matchup last game and LMA posted 41 actual points. I do not expect 41 points again, but I also don’t expect only 6 rebounds. Until Aldridge reaches 9k I am going to keep giving him a look during my builds.
Steven Adams $5,800– It may seem a little weird that I have listed three guys from the Thunder and none of them being Russell Westbook, but Adams draws another the weak defense again Karl-Anthony Towns. In the past we have seen centers have some of their better games against KAT and last game we expected DeMarcus Cousins to take advantage but due to Anthony Davis getting ejected, Taj Gibson slid over to guard Boogie. I can’t see this happening again, as Gibson will have his hands full chasing down Melo beyond the arc. On that same scenario, if the Thunder space the floor it will leave Adams with more opportunities to be near the basket with one less big man for a few extra boards. I wish the price was closer to $5,300, but I think Adams has 35 point upside tonight.
Dwight Howard $7,500– Mr.Consistant is finally seeing a price increase, but in this matchup it may not be enough. The Heat will be without Hassan Whiteside leaving them with very little size to compete with Howard down low. Howard has averaged 43 DK points over his last 5 games and should be in line for another big rebounding game tonight. Following Friday’s shoot around Steve Clifford said how the Heat will be vulnerable inside without Whiteside. I mean that’s kind of obvious, but it is always reassuring when you and the coach are on the same page.
DeMarcus Cousins $10,900– Boogie is priced as the second most expensive guy on the slate next the Westbrook. The Pelicans get to the Jazz with a weak front court on the second half of a back-to-back. Favors will likely guard Boogie and should have his way with him all over the court. Derrick Favors is not a terrible defender, but he can not chase Cousins out to the 3-point line. It is a toss up between Boogie and Davis on any given night, I tend to play more Boogie simply because Davis has burned in the past and the huge upside he offers. Nonetheless, Anthony Davis is a great play as well. The Jazz have no one that can guard him and may even opt to start Ekpe Udoh (min salary GPP punt if he starts) over Jonas Jerebko for the size. Either way neither would be able to defend Davis in the slightest. A blowout somewhat worries me with this game because of the back-to-back, but with the Jazz are home and I will defiantly have some shares of Boogie.
Of course, this is an early look into the slate and some value better or more reliable value may be available later on in the day. Keep your Hoop-Ball browser open for all of the news and updates. As always good luck tonight in your various contests and if you have any questions or comments you can find me on Twitter @Apottreeuh