February 2, 2018, 4:24 pm
Take a deep breath. Now exhale. It is Friday and time to shake off the weekday jitters. It is time to earn ourselves some weekend cash. Unfortunately we still have to keep our eyes out for last-minute scratches and trade rumors, but we have a lot of the injury news early,; that’s the glass half full approach. Generally I pick three players per position I am targeting, but on this Friday I narrowed it down to the two per position. Of course I am getting some action on the 11k studs, but I did not feel the need t express love for the guys who score 60-plus DK points a game.
Terry Rozier $6,600 – He is nowhere near a must-play, but if the Celtics are without Kyrie Irving and Shane Larkin again, it is pretty close. Rozier put up a triple-double in his first career start earlier this week and now draws one of the best matchups a point guard can have – the Hawks. The price bump is out of this world, but if Rozier is the only point guard on the roster, he becomes worth it.
Damian Lillard $8,500 – Lillard received a $400 discount after C.J. McCollum’s 50-point explosion. Lillard’s has not scored less than 30 DK points in his last 10 games, the lowest being the last game. Throw that game out, McCollum will not score like that often and Lillard will never shoot less than 10 times again. For me it comes down to lineup construction. I like him more than Kemba Walker at a similar price range, but I may find myself spending up for the top dog at point guard.
Marco Belinelli $3,900 – We are already keeping an eye out of the statuses of Irving and Larkin, but on the other side we have another point guard to monitor. Dennis Schroeder is questionable with a sore shoulder and if he cannot give it a go we have some value that opens up. In the last game Schroder sat out, Marco Bellinelli started and Kent Bazemore handled the ball, rather than starting the traditional back up point guard. This is an option for the Hawks again, but either way if Schroder sits Belinelli will see increased usage and minutes.
Donovan Mitchell $7,800 – The man deserves Rookie of the Year, but the polls came out this morning and Ben Simmons is still favored over Mitchell. The matchup could not be any sweeter against the Suns. Mitchell can score in bunches, and even in a blowout against the Warriors we saw him play a full workload of minutes. I believe a lot of people will be scared off and pivot down to Ricky Rubio at $6,200. Obviously the matchup is just as good for Rubio and he is much cheaper, but his minutes can be all over the place and if we can get Mitchell at a lower ownership, sign me up.
Khris Middleton $7,300 – We have a lot of injury news we need to monitor before this game tips off. As of Friday morning, Eric Bledsoe, Giannis Antetoukonmpo and Malcolm Brogdon are all questionable. Brogdon is more on the doubtful side, but we also have Jabari Parker making his season debut. He is only expected to play around 15 minutes, so he is not on our radar. The news I am really waiting on is Giannis’. The Greek freak twisted his ankle late in the fourth quarter and was reported to have trouble putting weight on it after the game. The Bucks are on a back-to-back and their superstar just rested for a few games with a sore knee. Moral of the story, do not be surprised to see him rest this one. If he does I am all of Middleton at this price. The usage that goes around with Giannis off of the floor is insane and in the past we have seen Middleton capitalize and work himself up to a salary of $8,700 on DraftKings. I would still have moderate interest in Middleton even if Giannis plays, but he becomes elite if the event of rest.
Paul George $7,400 – One thing is for certain; the Thunder’s offense runs through Westbrook and George. I generally only give George a look when he is below $7,600; tonight is one of those nights. Like Lillard, George offers a safe floor and as we just saw, 60 DK point upside. I would not expect another offensive explosion like last night, but I love this game and if I am getting exposure on both sides it is much easier to fit George with either Anthony Davis or Jrue Holiday than it is Westbrook.
DeMarre Carroll $5,800 – We are going to want some exposure in this game and I am looking at Carroll on the Brooklyn side. The Nets having been playing deeper and without Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, Carroll seems like one of the few players locked into 30-plus minutes. The matchup suits him well against the Lakers and he should be in line for an uptick in rebounding.
Enes Kanter $6,900 – His price is getting up there, but the man is on a tear. He comes into another great matchup against the Bucks; a team that struggles to rebound. There is always risk associated in playing Kanter, his minutes can be all over this place, but we have seen him smash plenty of times playing less than 30. I would consider him to be a GPP play, as he is most nights.
Brook Lopez $4,700 – Revenge game versus the Nets. I never bury the lead when it comes to revenge narratives. This one is a big one. Lopez has struggled to see the court for significant minutes all season long, but for some reason played 30 minutes versus the Nets in their first meeting and he shot 23 times. You did not misread that, it said 23. Even if they give him his usual 20 minutes, I’d expect at least 12 shots and at this price could be elite value.
Al Horford $7,600 – Revenge game versus the Hawks. He is a little expensive, but the price takes into account that Irving may not play. If he does in fact sit out, Horford becomes a superb play. It is a great matchup on paper and the narrative is there, but if we know the offense will flow through him as well; stone lock.