March 15, 2019, 12:59 pm
Welcome back to another edition of my Friday DFS picks on DraftKings! It is March 15 and we have eight games on tonight’s slate to break down. It is going to be an interesting night with all of the value that should be available, but a lot of the news needs to be monitored throughout the day. This is an early look and we have to be able to adjust to the news.
A big thanks to everyone who came out and competed in our Wednesday “Beat the Expert” contest. It is always a ton of fun and the community we have here at HoopBall is no joke.
I listed some of my favorite plays by position, but to be honest I love the guys in the “Honorable Mention” section as much as I do the guys at their positions. We have plenty of point guards to choose from and the mid-tier price range is where I am looking to attack tonight.
Let’s jump right into this!
Ish Smith vs. Lakers $3,900 – Reggie Jackson rolled his ankle in the Pistons’ last game, the same ankle that had been nagging him all season. He is currently being considered questionable and while Jackson downplayed the injury, these ankle injuries tend to blow up the following day or after the game once a player takes his shoe off. If Jackson sits Smith would vault into chalky, free-space territory.
Emmanuel Mudiay vs. Spurs $4,200 – Dennis Smith Jr. is out, so iit seems safe to assume Mudiay will play 32+ minutes. I do my best to avoid the Knicks at all cost, but this may be a spot to give a second look.
Kemba Walker vs. Wizards $8,200 – We got burned in this spot not too long ago by Walker, but I am not afraid to go back to the well. Hopefully the sour taste he left people with lowers his ownership. He is by no means a must-play because of the other guard options we have on this slate and the other options we have to play on the Hornets side of the ball.
Devin Booker vs. Rockets $8,100 – I have a rule when it comes to Booker. When they are facing a good team I completely avoid him, unless I am playing a few players on the other side. I never one-off play Booker because any game involving the Suns could get out of hand. That being said, the Suns have been competitive lately and in any game they are, it is safe to assume that it is because of Booker’s play. So if I am playing any James Harden, Chris Paul or Clint Capela, I will likely have Booker in there as well.
Lou Williams vs. Bulls $7,100 – Sweet Lou is always a fantastic tournament play. He comes off of the bench with a massive usage and draws one of the better matchups for the day. For some odd reason, people tend to shy away from players who come off of the bench and I try to take advantage of that. These teams met up earlier in the season and Williams dropped 31 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists for 66.5 DK points. I by no means expect another triple-double, but the 30 real life points could be in play again. Danilo Gallinari is currently questionable and if he were forced to sit out than Williams vaults up my board even more.
Kyle Kuzma vs. Pistons $6,200 –If you are asking me if I feel comfortable playing any Lakers the answer is no, but if I have to choose one it’s Kuzma. The minutes should be secure and the shot attempts should be there for him. You could say the same for Rajon Rondo, but he needs others to hit their shots to really get his assist value and Lakers do not seem like a team with a ton of scorers surrounding Rondo. I am not forcing Kuzma into lineups, but I will have some shares of him at small forward.
Marvin Williams vs. Wizards $4,600 – This is a game that will be worth targeting. We already know Kemba Walker is in play in this matchup, but he isn’t the only one playing in a pace-up spot. With (likely) no Zeller I am expecting Williams to see a few extra rebounds. He missed the last game due to an illness so he may fly under the radar, but the price is fair and he offers some eligibility at a position I am not to fond of.
JaMychal Green vs. Bulls $3,600 – Green started for Gallo last game and did pretty well with the minutes. If we hear Gallo is out again than Green may be one of the best value plays on the board. Problem with that is this game is the last one of the night and we may not have the news by then.
Blake Griffin vs. Lakers $7,700 – This is simply because of price. I think Andre Drummond has the better matchup on paper, but how is Griffin only $7,700 in this matchup? He is by no means a must-play, but there is a lot worse you could pick than Griffin at under $8,000.
Bobby Portis vs. Hornets $6,100 – Portis has some risk involved, but that is what makes him great for tournaments. He has dropped at least 40 DK points in three of his last four games and the Hornets will be without their best frontcourt defender in Cody Zeller. This game will have a high total and we already know the Wizards need to win games to keep their playoff hopes alive. I am not going overboard, but a few shares of Portis seems right in the spot.
Nemanja Bjelica vs. Sixers $4,600 – We are going to want all the news before considering Bjelica. Marvin Bagley made his return last game, but Bjelica was inserted into the starting lineup. We could see the same lineup today with the Sixers playing with a little more size. This is also a back-to-back for the Kings and we could see them rest or limit Bagley.
Joel Embiid vs. Kings $9,900 – Embiid is in a great spot and has a great price. This is a matchup he should crush and as of now Ben Simmons is currently being considered questionable. If Simmons were to miss we would see everyone one the Sixers get a boost. We have another great center we could spend our money on, but I am not shying away from Embiid.
Andre Drummond vs. Lakers $8,800 – This is just a smash spot for Drummond. The price tag is more than fair and they Lakers have an abysmal frontcourt. The only thing that is stopping me from locking in Drummond is Griffin’s price tag and the other centers we have available.
Willy Hernangomez vs. Wizards $3,200 – No Zeller and we saw Hernangomez start in his place last game. This is a dream matchup on paper versus the Wizards and what it comes down to is Hernangomez’s minutes. He is generally a point per dollar smasher and even in 24 minutes he could produce some pretty solid production.
More than Honorable Mentions
Chris Paul vs. Suns $6,900, Jusuf Nurkic vs. Pelicans $7,400, Elfrid Payton vs. Blazers $6,600
As always you can find me on Twitter @MikeApotria with any of your questions or comments. Now go crush tonight!
December 10, 2019, 12:08 amDaniel GaffordPF, Chicago Bulls
Daniel Gafford hit 7-of-9 field goal attempts in 20 minutes off the bench on Monday on his way to 14 points, three rebounds, one assist, one steal and three blocks.
Outside of steaming for field goal percentage and blocks, Gafford is currently off the standard league radar. If the Bulls were to lose Wendell Carter Jr. or Lauri Markkanen for any length of time, though, Gafford could be a Jarrett Allen-type as a fill-in.
December 10, 2019, 12:02 amDenzel ValentineSF, Chicago Bulls
Denzel Valentine played 23 minutes off the bench and had 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting, two rebounds, two assists and three triples on Monday in a loss to the Raptors.
Valentine has been a part of the rotation once again for a few weeks. It seems like he's played himself back into shape after missing all of last season. However, the Bulls will be getting Otto Porter and Chandler Hutchison back before too long. So, this deep-league value that Valentine is providing will likely be short-lived. Meanwhile, Coby White went 0-for-7 from the field (0-for-5 from deep) with eight rebounds and six assists in 30 minutes for a strange stat line.
December 9, 2019, 11:53 pmTomas SatoranskyPG, Chicago Bulls
Tomas Satoransky had a double-double on Monday night in a close loss to the Raptors as he put up 10 points on 4-of-8 shooting, three rebounds, 11 assists, two steals and two 3-pointers in 38 minutes.
That's a great game from Satoransky, who has been trending up lately. He's a very safe, late-round point guard with good assists, steals and free throw percentage. He also has a history of strong field goal percentage for a guard, so there's hope for improvement there, too.
December 9, 2019, 11:52 pmRicky RubioPG, Phoenix Suns
Ricky Rubio double-doubled with 16 points on 6-of-16 shooting with four rebounds, 14 dimes and two 3s in Monday's 125-109 win over the Wolves.
Rubio is on a bit of a heater with tonight's performance being his third straight double-double. As long as he's healthy the Spaniard should continue to be a strong source of assists, with and reliable peripherals moving forward.
December 9, 2019, 11:49 pmZach LaVinePG, Chicago Bulls
Zach LaVine started hot on Monday, scoring 20 first-half points but couldn't add to the total in the second half while Bulls lost 92-93 to the Raptors.
LaVine ended up shooting just 6-for-18 (5-for-7 FTs), but he added 11 rebounds, six assists, one steal, one block and three 3-pointers. LaVine is now very close to where he was ranked last season (40s/60s in 8-cat/9-cat) with the only differences being more threes in exchange for worse efficiency.
December 9, 2019, 11:48 pmAron BaynesC, Phoenix Suns
Aron Baynes returned to action on Monday after missing more than a handful of games with a left calf strain and produced 12 points on 5-of-10 shooting with four rebounds, two 3s, one assist and one block in 15 minutes.
This was a nice first game back for Baynes, who was in the midst of the season of his career prior to getting stifled by injury. He should still be a strong play moving forward, but will see a dip once Deandre Ayton (suspension) gets back to the hardwood.
December 9, 2019, 11:43 pmMikal BridgesSF, Phoenix Suns
Mikal Bridges (left finger sprain) logged 32 minutes off the bench on Monday and stuffed the stat sheet with nine points (3-of-7 shooting) with eight rebounds, four assists, three steals, two blocks and one 3-pointer.
After a slow-ish start to the season, it appears that Bridges has found his groove in recent games. He's worth an add in standard leagues on the strength of his recent run.
December 9, 2019, 11:36 pmKarl-Anthony TownsC, Minnesota Timberwolves
Karl-Anthony Towns posted another big line to the tune of 33 points, 15 boards, two assists, two blocks and two triples, but it wasn't enough as the Wolves lost 109-125 to the Suns on Monday.
KAT continues to churn out insane value in fantasy as the No. 3 player in 9-cat leagues on teh year. He gets it done everywhere and is one of the best offensive players in the league.
December 9, 2019, 11:34 pmAndrew WigginsSF, Minnesota Timberwolves
Andrew Wiggins played through a thumb sprain against the Suns on Monday and scored 23 points on 8-of-18 shooting while adding four rebounds, four assists, two blocks and a 3-pointer.
Wiggins has been a pleasant surprise in fantasy circles this season and the two blocks tonight have actually been the norm for him. He's supplementing his 24.5 points with 3.4 assists, 1.3 blocks and 2.2 3s on .453 shooting which have him nested inside the top-75.
December 9, 2019, 11:33 pmJJ RedickSG, New Orleans Pelicans
J.J. Redick was awful in a loss to the Pistons on Monday, going 1-for10 from the field (1-for-8 from deep) with two rebounds and four assists.
This is as bad as it gets for the veteran sharpshooter. The only way is up for him after this abysmal performance. He should deliver a more serviceable line in his next game.