March 2, 2018, 3:32 pm
Good afternoon Hoop-Ballers, it is Friday, March 2 and we have a 10 games on tonight’s slate to get ready for. It looks like we are going to have a ton of value hours before lock and the opportunity for even more with players still questionable and game-time decisions. That being said, we do not see a lot of expensive options to pay up for with the Warriors in a likely blowout spot against the tanking Hawks. We are going to keep an eye out for the news and starting lineup over in Memphis. Let’s not waste any more time and look at some of my favorite plays on tonight’s DraftKings slate.
Mario Chalmers $3,500– Chalmers has a chance of being the chalk of the night if Andrew Harrison cannot suit up. The Grizzlies have a plethora of injured and questionable players and without Harrison they would only have one true point guard in Chalmers. There should be a ton of value on the board tonight, but few have the opportunity to handle the point guard position for 30+ minutes.
Kris Dunn $6,400– This is a solid price and an even better matchup for Dunn. A lot will turn to the point guard on the other side of the ball in Dennis Smith Jr., but I think Dunn is the way to go. I like a ton of Bulls and would probably only play two of them so lineup construction will be key, but DSJ has been one of the NBA’s worst defenders at the point guard position and even though Dunn has been struggling with his shot, he is still taking double-digit attempts in his last three games. If he can come up with a few steals and close to eight assists this could easily be a 40-point spot for Dunn.
Russell Westbrook $11,800– We have enough value on this slate to pay up for Westbrook if we want. The matchup is a great one against the Suns and if this game can stay competitive it is hard to argue against Westbrook having a good game. There are not a lot of high-price options on the board tonight and Westbrook seems to be in his own category.
Denzel Valentine $4,800– He has played at least 26 minutes and is averaging 25 DK points over his last four games. Valentine has become one of the key cogs for the Bulls second unit. He has shown that he can produce in multiple ways whether it is rebounding, scoring or dropping dimes. This price is just still too cheap for Valentine as long as he is getting this usage off of the bench.
Trey Burke $5,100-Burke has been hot coming off of the bench for the Knicks. He has scored at least 30 DK points over his last three games and the Clippers are a premier matchup for bench guards. He will see plenty of Lou Williams’ weak defense and has shown he is not shy shooting with the second unit.
Tim Hardaway Jr. $6,200– I am going to be looking at getting some exposure to Hardaway for that late game hammer. He is fairly priced and has shown that he can have 50 DK point upside. The Clippers have been one of the league’s worst teams at defending the 3-point line and over his last five games Hardaway Jr. has taken 37 threes. There is always risk when playing Hardaway Jr., but he’s in a great GPP spot.
Nemanja Bjelica $5,400– This may be a pace down spot for the Timberwolves, but this seems like a great spot on paper for Bjelica. He will likely start the game with Joe Ingles on him, but at times he will play power forward and he can stretch Favors out to the point line with ease. His price is still fair and leaves opportunity for him go hit 7X value. It looks like Taj Gibson is going to be questionable and if he is forced to sit Bjelica should be a lock for at least 25 DK points.
DeMar DeRozan $7,500-I do not normally play DeRozan. In fact, I try to avoid the Raptors as a whole. But this is a good spot for DeRozan and we need to give him a look when he is under $8,000. He has played well against the Wizards in meetings earlier this season and is averaging 45 DK points. At $7,500 that is a great value.
Devin Booker $8,400– It looks like we are going to have to target this game somewhere. If it happens to stay close it would have a lot to do with Booker and his scoring. Over his last three games he has taken at least a whopping 28 shots per game. That is insane. We know he will not be dealing with Andre Roberson’s defense anymore and seems like the optimal pairing if you are looking to throw Russell Westbrook in your lineup.
Jarell Martin $4,500– Martin could be another Grizzly who winds up being chalk by the lock of the slate. Martin has been seeing his minutes in the thirties and with JaMychal Green (illness) questionable, could be pressing for even more. He has seen his fair share of time at small forward and power forward and if Green is in fact out, we could see Martin play some backup center as well.
Lauri Markkanen $6,000– I think this is the time to jump back on Markkanen. He has been ice cold for the past four games but a matchup against the Mavericks is the perfect one for him to get back on track. He matches up well against all of the Mavs’ bigs and the price is still fair at $6,000. There is a chance that the game goes small and Markkanen sees time guarding Dirk Nowitzki at center. If that is the case then he should be in line for a few extra rebounds.
Tobias Harris $7,500– Again we are going to want to have some exposure in this late game hammer and Harris seems to be the safest option in the game. Not only is he safe, he has flashed 60-point upside just three games ago against the Suns. We are going to be waiting to hear if the Clippers bring back Tyrone Wallace, if so he becomes an immediate must play, but if not Harris should have plenty of opportunity playing the three as well as the four.
Rudy Gobert $6,900- I love targeting centers against Karl-Anthony Towns. Gobert is not a scoring center in any way, but KAT takes plenty of shots and that could equal more Gobert blocks. KAT’s defense is also virtually non-existent so there will be plenty of opportunity for pick and rolls and put back dunks. The price tag is just too low for the upside Gobert can produce. This could be one of his 15-15 games.
Nikola Vucevic $7,600– Vucevic’s price tag hasn’t really budged since returning. He hasn’t had one of those monstrous games that he was producing in the beginning of the year, but one is definitely coming. He will draw Andre Drummond as a matchup, and while Drummond is a solid defender, Vucevic has shown that he can out-rebound and out-maneuver these bigger-bodied centers. In a meeting earlier this season Vucevic dropped 60.5 DK points in 36 minutes against the Pistons.
Andre Drummond $9,900– On the other side it is also a fantastic matchup for Drummond. We should have plenty of money to spend with all of the value available tonight. He checks in at $9,900, but the Magic are one of the league’s worst defensive teams across the board. The pace should be solid and one of the centers is going to have a monster game. It could be both.