May 4, 2018, 3:38 pm
Welcome back and May the fourth be with you on another two-game playoff slate. Tonight is not like your regular DFS night. On DraftKings we see an insane discount on almost every star player. This means you are going to need a high-scoring lineup and fitting in as many studs as you can in may be the wisest. In order to do so we need to find the safest value plays, but ones that still have some upside for GPP’s. Let’s not waste anymore time and jump right into some of my favorite value plays for tonight’s slate.
Andre Iguodala $4,500– A lot of people will forget all about Iggy now that Steph Curry is in the starting lineup. Even with Curry coming back, Iggy still played 33 minutes and provided his owners with over 30 DK points. Curry is expected to start tonight, but that does not mean we won’t see a hefty dose of Iguodala as well.
Rajon Rondo $7,300– I have been expecting Rondo to have a tough time accumulating stats during this series, but so far I have been wrong. I should stick to my guns on this, but Rondo has been in a different form during this playoff run. Jrue Holiday is similarly priced and will provide more scoring on more shot attempts, but Rondo offers us the triple-double upside that could crack this slate.
Eric Gordon- $4,400– I have been smashing in Gordon this whole series and I will say it again, he is just too cheap. The shot attempts are there every game and he is only $200 more expensive than Alec Burks, who is coming off of a big game and will likely be highly owned. He has taken double digit shot attempts in every game during playoffs expect for one. He has been cold, but even being cold and shooting this much will provide value.
Joe Ingles $5,700– Ingles went bananas last game and it shouldn’t come as a surprise after absorbing a ton of usage from Ricky Rubio sitting out and having ample opportunity to play point. I would not expect him to shoot 10-of-13 again, but Ingles has scored at least 32 DK points over the last three games.
Jae Crowder $4,700– My strategy this entire series will be to target the cheaper Jazz players while fitting in the studs from the other games. I love Donovan Mitchell just as much as the next guy, but we have so many other guard options for less or we can go up to Harden.
P.J. Tucker $3,800– Ryan Anderson who? The Rockets have been playing Tucker a full complement of minutes over the last three games. Like Royce O’Neale, he is not someone we are expecting to score double-digit points, but Tucker has shown he can grab rebounds and get those defensive stats to make value at $3,800
Draymond Green $8,200– He is going to be the highest priced player I am going to mention simply because we already know how good of plays Kevin Durant, James Harden and Anthony Davis are, but Green has been just as good for a significant discount. When it comes to playing the Warriors’ scorers it is a crap shoot for who is going to have the big game. A lot of people may be on Curry in his first game returning to the starting lineup, but we have Durant for only $600 more and Green for $500 less. Yes, Curry is one of the best GPP plays of all time, but he could easily see limited minutes, especially if this game gets out of hand early.
Clint Capela $6,700– You have to play Capela or Gobert tonight. They are both solid options, but I am going with the guy who has dominated in past matchups. Gobert is coming off of a big game, but in the past his big games against the Rockets have not been the norm. The Rockets are a three-point shooting team and that increases the odds of long rebounds, thus limiting Gobert’s upside.
Thanks for the read and if you have any questions or comments you could find me on Twitter @MikeApotria.