March 28, 2017, 10:31 am
It appears that we will have one incredible slate to create the greatest roster in the history of DFS. Many people will inevitably fall into the same trap tonight and blur the line of skill. Vegas is projecting some massive totals and several competitive games that feature teams in excellent pace-up spots. Will you grab yourself a nice piece of chalk and create chalky team on the chalkiest of nights or will you rise above the rest and have your name echoed for eternity in the Hall of Champions? Put down the chalk, grab your apple fritter, and let’s get to work.
Steph Curry, $9,900 FD, GS@HOU
This is going to be a tough fade for a lot of fish tonight. He is in a pace-up spot, a highly competitive game, and has a Vegas implied score of 116 points. This game will absolutely have a playoff atmosphere and hopefully will be more fun to watch that the Spurs vs. Cavs game, or should I say bloodbath, that was on last night. This is a nationally televised game and a lot of people will want a piece of action while watching this game. For ownership purposes I think Steph Curry is a fantastic, albeit frightening FADE.
Damian Lillard, $9,400 FD, DEN@POR
Dame is the reason why I am fading Steph Curry tonight. He is the best price point pivot in recent memory. Not only does Damian have the best DvP match-up on the night against the Nuggets backcourt, he also has a +6 implied team total compared to their season average. The Blazers have a team implied total of 114 points, which is only two points less than the Warriors. Dame has a better match-up, similar team total, and is in a pace-up game. He is a lock tonight and absolute FIRE tonight at the point guard position.
Klay Thompson, $7,000 FD, GS@HOU
Klay is in an excellent spot here tonight. He has a good chance to make value tonight and score 5x his salary which results in 35 FanDuel points. That is nothing to scoff at, but hardly what we are looking for in our GPP approach. Even if he does exceed that he might top off at 40 points while carrying 25% ownership. I am not impressed. If he fails to reach value tonight you could leap a quarter of the field by deciding to FADE Klay.
Tim Hardaway Jr., $5,900 FD, PHO@ATL
Hardaway Jr. is in an excellent spot tonight against the defensively deficient backcourt of the Suns. The Hawks have a massive projected team total that is +8 above their season average and rounds off at 111 points. They are in a pace-up game and Hardaway has been shooting between 16-20 shots per night over the past week. At his current price he has exceeded value in two of his last three games. He recently popped off for 42 FanDuel points and the Hawks are still injured up and down the roster. Lock him in tonight and hope that this FIRE pivot doesn’t gain traction as the day progresses.
Paul George, $8,700 FD, MIN@IND
PG13 is the highest priced SF tonight and for good reason. In the DFS world, he is known as a player who lacks consistency. Over the past six games he has scored over 40 points four times with three of those totals being between 48-52. That is excellent production. However, there are choices at this position tonight at lower price points that offer similar upside and are locked into massive minutes. He’s an easy FADE.
T.J. Warren, $6,400 FD, PHO@ATL
T.J. has been serving as the number two scoring option for the Suns over the past two weeks ever since the team shut down Eric Bledsoe. He is playing massive minutes now as the Suns are rolling out an incredibly young lineup and letting them play until their wheels fall off. Over Warren’s past five games he has played 37+ minutes in four of them and has scored between 33 and 44 in each of those games. With his current situation he is almost guaranteed to make value at 5x and offers 7x upside by scoring in the mid 40’s. He’s easily a FIRE pick and don’t overthink this position.
Nikola Jokic, $10,300 FD, DEN@POR
Jokic has been gaining some serious popularity in the DFS and social media world with his fancy passes and smooth presence with the basketball. The Nuggets are getting healthier and Jokic has played under 30 minutes in three of his last five games. At his current price point and with the concern of playing time, he is an easy popularity FADE tonight.
Richaun Holmes, $5,700 FD, PHI@BKN
Richaun has the opportunity to shine vs the Nets. They are an incredibly fast paced team and turn the ball over frequently. Holmes is incredibly athletic and Jahlil Okafor has already been ruled out of this one, meaning Holmes should be locked into 30-ish minutes. In three out of his last four games, when playing 29+ minutes, Richaun has scored 31, 37, and 51 fantasy points. That type of massive upside at a sub-6k price is exactly what we are looking for in our GPP approach. Holmes is a great guy to FIRE up tonight.
Jusuf Nurkic, $6,700 FD, DEN@POR
Jusuf is playing the team that traded him at the deadline and has a feel of the ultimate narrative street pick. I encourage you to avoid falling into this trap. Nurkic has played less than 30 minutes in the past five games and the foul prone center has a difficult match-up tonight. He does possess massive upside and still could easily make value tonight, but we want more for our GPP build. He’s a FADE.
Cody Zeller, $5,300 FD, MIL@CHA
This is a FIRE pick tonight. In four out of his last five games Zeller has played 29+ minutes and scored 29-37 points. In his one down game he scored 18 points, which at $5,300 will not sink your lineup. He is safe, has upside, and is consistent. Lock and load the best of the Zeller family.
Best of luck to all of you tonight. You can find me on Twitter @DFSnDONUTS and send me screen shots of all of your winnings, I have a feeling tonight is our night!
July 4, 2020, 2:39 pmJimmy ButlerSG, Miami Heat
Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald is reporting that a third Heat player has tested positive for COVID-19.
Derrick Jones Jr. is the only known player, though Jackson adds that the two latest cases are both rotation players. Florida is in terrible shape at the moment and the Heat may need to enter the bubble without three of their rotation options — those players may still join the team later but will miss out on valuable practice time. The NBA is going full steam ahead on their restart plans but the virus is going to determine whether or not things actually unfold according to plan.
Source: Barry Jackson on Twitter
July 4, 2020, 1:21 pmLandry ShametSG, Los Angeles Clippers
Shams Charania reports that Landry Shamet has tested positive for COVID-19 and is unlikely to join the Clippers for their trip to Orlando this week.
That leaves the door open for Shamet to rejoin the team closer to the season's restart, assuming he is feeling okay. Just yesterday it was announced that the Clippers closed their facilities after a positive test, so it appears Shamet's case was the culprit. The sharpshooter is averaging 27.5 minutes per game this season so if he's forced to sit out the Orlando restart it could have big ramifications on LA's backcourt rotation.
Source: Shams Charania on Twitter
July 4, 2020, 12:18 pmLeBron JamesSF, Los Angeles Lakers
The NBA has released its schedule of scrimmages for the Orlando restart, with games beginning on July 22.
The league has tried to match up teams that are unlikely opponents for these scrimmages so nobody gets a really good look at what a potential playoff matchup might want to run. For example, the first day of scrimmages will see the Nuggets face the Wizards, the Nets take on the Pelicans, the Clippers against the Magic and the Kings vs. the Heat. Scrimmages will run through July 28.
Source: Chris Haynes on Twitter
July 4, 2020, 9:35 amCaris LeVertPG-SG, Brooklyn Nets
Caris LeVert embraces challenge of being a leader.
LeVert has been an active participant in the racial inequality protests and admitted that basketball is very minor right now compared to everything else going on in the world but is ready for the NBA restart saying, "For me, it’s just taking on that challenge of being a leader, being the leader of that group, going down there with some of the most experience on the team, playoff experience." In the 16 games since rejoining the starting lineup, LeVert has put up All-Star numbers with 24.1 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.3 assists, while shooting 41.7 percent from three-point range and leading the Nets to a 9-7 record over that span. The upward trajectory continues for the Nets' 20th overall pick in the 2016 draft.
July 4, 2020, 9:16 amJordan CrawfordSG, Free Agent
Jordan Crawford has agreed to a deal with Russia's Lokomotiv Kuban.
Crawford last played in the NBA for the Pelicans in 2018 with career averages of 12.2 points, 2.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists in 24.4 minutes. The career journeyman has played for five NBA teams since 2010 with a few stints with China in between. Since the beginning of 2019, he has played in Israel, China, Germany and now we can add Russia to that list.
July 4, 2020, 8:13 amLance StephensonSG, Free Agent
Lance Stephenson is ineligible to sign with the Pacers according to Scott Agness.
Stephenson to the Pacers was being discussed in early March and made sense now with Victor Oladipo choosing to sit out the remainder of the season but this move apparently will not happen. The 29-year old Stephenson spent this past season in China where he averaged 26.7 points, 7.4 rebounds and 3.8 assists for the CBA's Flying Leopards.
Source: Scott Agness on Twitter
July 3, 2020, 10:10 pmAnthony DavisPF-C, Los Angeles Lakers
Anthony Davis has high expectations for the Lakers when they resume play later in July in Orlando, citing the long layoff as a favorable development for his squad.
As if the Lakers weren't already squarely in the hunt for an NBA championship. When speaking to ESPN's Dave McMenamin, Davis said that he believes their "chances are higher just because we’re all rested and we’re all ready to go.” Depth seems to be the most glaring issue potentially facing the Lakers as they prepare to make the trip to Disney World, as defensive stalwart Avery Bradley recently opted out of the remainder of the season. Bradley was subsequently replaced by well-traveled veteran guard J.R. Smith (who has a long history of playoff runs alongside LeBron James with the Cavs), but the team is still unsure of veteran center Dwight Howard's status the rest of the way. Other than Howard, the Lakers' roster is seemingly set for Orlando. Davis sounds like he's ready to rock, however.
July 3, 2020, 8:28 pmDeng AdelPF, Brooklyn Nets
Deng Adel, who played 19 games for the Cavs last season as a two-way player, is being pursued by the Illawara Hawks of Australia's NBL, which, notably was the team 18-year-old LaMelo Ball played for last season (and has attempted to purchase).
Adel had two short stints before last season with the Rockets and Nets in the Summer League and the preseason, respectively. He was originally a standout at Louisville but went undrafted in 2018 before hitching on with the Cavs on a two-way pact. This season he had been playing for the Long Island Nets, the Nets' G League affiliate, prior to the pause and ultimately the end of the G League season. Adel had registered averages of 11.1 points, 4.2 boards and 2.6 assists to that point. Also of note, Adel spent the lion's share of his childhood in Australia after his family moved from South Sudan around the time he was eight.
July 3, 2020, 4:35 pmDarius MillerSF, New Orleans Pelicans
Darius Miller is unsure if he will be able to play in Orlando, as he continues to recover from a torn a ruptured right Achillies.
Due to the lockdown, Miller has been unable to participate in any live-action, or else he would have played in 3-on-3 or 5-on-5 by now. At this point, it would be surprising for the Pelicans to risk his health by pushing for him to participate in the eight-game regular season.
Source: Will Guillory on Twitter
July 3, 2020, 4:26 pmJJ RedickSG, New Orleans Pelicans
J.J. Redick has intentionally lost 10 pounds since the quarantine began.
Redick's goal was to get back to his playing weight during his college days at Duke, and it's not a surprise that one of the most dedicated workers in the league was able to drop weight during the coronavirus pandemic. Redick's shooting will be sorely needed when the Pelicans try to chase down the Grizzlies for a playoff spot, but if he does not come out of the gates making an impact the Pelicans are likely to shift to another hot hand on their deep roster. Redick has only seen 26.4 minutes per game this season, and that is going to limit his impact to strictly 3-pointers (2.9 per game).
Source: Daniel Sallerson on Twitter