April 24, 2018, 2:44 pm
Damian Lillard, unsurprisingly, hasn’t stopped believing in the Portland Trail Blazers. Less than a day after his team was eliminated from the playoffs by the underdog New Orleans Pelicans in a shocking four-game sweep, Lillard, at the exit-interview podium, was asked what the Blazers are missing.
“I’m not sure,” he said, “because you look around and you say, ‘Okay Golden State won the championship in 2015. They had Steph, they had Klay, Draymond had a great season, and then they just had really complementary pieces. They just had guys that came in and did a little bit of this, little bit of that, and it was really done by committee.’ I honestly believe our team is capable of something like that.”
No one will fault Lillard’s confidence. It’s what turned him from a low-major recruit into an NBA All-Star over the short span of six years, and serves as the foundation for the crunch-time heroics that have so frequently stolen or saved victories for Portland since his rookie season. Openly questioning Neil Olshey’s ability to construct the right roster around him would have strayed far from Lillard’s ingrained identity as a leader, too. He’s one-for-all rather than all-for-one, acutely aware that the whole of a team should be bigger than the sum of its parts.
That purest tenet of basketball idealism didn’t come to fruition for the Blazers in the first round. The Pelicans made sure that Lillard, and to a lesser extent C.J. McCollum, wouldn’t beat them, playing aggressive pick-and-roll coverage, abandoning normal help responsibilities and throwing semi-frequent double-teams at Portland’s star guards to force the ball from their hands. It wasn’t a surprising strategy. Opponents presented a similar defensive outline to the Blazers more and more as the season came to a close, after Lillard vaulted into MVP contention by setting nets ablaze during Portland’s 13-game winning streak. New Orleans was just more effective executing it than anyone else.
It would be remiss to gloss over the importance of the Pelicans’ personnel while assessing that reality. Anthony Davis might as well be two defenders all by himself, and Jrue Holiday, finally fully healthy, gets into opposing ball handlers like few other players in the league. Both should garner All-Defense honors this season. Lillard was checked by Holiday on 150 possessions against New Orleans, over twice as many as any other defender, shooting just of 8-of-31 and managing a paltry nine-to-eight assist-to-turnover ratio, per NBA.com/stats. Lillard was noticeably intimidated when in the remote vicinity of Davis, on multiple occasions even willingly deciding against attacking him after a switch on the perimeter.
Struggles to create efficient offense against Holiday and Davis aren’t necessarily an indictment of Lillard’s continued ascent up the league’s individual hierarchy. Holiday is a magnet and Davis is a monster; they’ll continue posing headaches for top-tier players throughout the postseason. The bigger problem for Lillard is that his teammates were unable to take consistent advantage of the hyper attention the Pelicans paid him.
New Orleans routinely broke longstanding rules of NBA defense to neutralize Lillard and McCollum. While that development was most often manifested when either player was handling the ball, it also extended to instances in which Terry Stotts, hoping to find his overworked playmakers some room to breathe, moved them off of it. Gentry toggled the matchups after Game 1 of this series, putting Nikola Mirotic on Jusuf Nurkic and Davis on Al-Farouq Aminu. The reasons for that switch were layered, but had more to do with Davis’ looming threat as a help defender than anything else, a trump card in the truest sense of the term that maximized his defense influence.
This possession, from the second quarter of Game 4, begins with Lillard and Nurkic setting staggered ball screens for Evan Turner coming middle. Lillard continues to the weak corner after setting his pick, hoping to space the floor for the two-man game immediately to follow – especially with McCollum stationed in the strong corner. With Aminu, the definition of a streaky shooter, waiting on the right wing, it’s Davis who sinks to the middle of the floor to account for Nurkic’s roll. That help responsibility would normally fall to Rajon Rondo, but the Pelicans would much rather let Aminu fly from above-the-break than give Lillard air space – even if the resulting shot attempt falls.
Aminu, Turner, Maurice Harkless, Pat Connaughton and more weren’t going to shoot New Orleans out of this series. Lillard and McCollum certainly could have, though, and the Blazers were defended accordingly.
In Game 4, the Pelicans were even more aggressive trapping the ball and sending an extra defender toward Lillard and McCollum than they were during the first three games of the series. More often than not, especially in the first three quarters, the Blazers’ supporting cast again failed to win that numbers game. Of course, winning it is a task far easier said than done when a world-wrecker like Davis is the last line of defense at the rim.
Stotts has taken a lot of flak for his team getting swept. The New York Times’ Marc Stein reported minutes after the series was over that there were “murmurs” in coaching circles regarding his job security, and a vocal set of Portland fans want to see a change on the sideline. But the players are firmly behind Stotts, and Olshey mostly praised the veteran coach during his own exit interview on Sunday.
None of that absolves Stotts of blame for Portland’s collapse. The Blazers were at the Pelicans’ mercy in terms of pace all series long. They didn’t exploit Nurkic’s mismatch in the post on Mirotic or shift Aminu onto Holiday until the final quarter of Game 4, and Portland, despite its best efforts, never solved the riddle of New Orleans committing two defenders to the ball.
The Blazers tried. Other than letting Turner handle and running Lillard and McCollum off screens, less than a full-time fix, Portland made a concerted attempt to use New Orleans’ aggressiveness against it after the first two games by “shorting” pick-and-rolls – passing to the offensive player on the strong-side wing immediately after going over the screen, using him as a conduit to find the roll man.
Even that gambit has its limits. Gregg Popovich and Steve Kerr routinely stress to their players the value of passing up the first open shot to create a better one – going from “good to great.” The Blazers’ problem is that there are few spots on the floor where those “great” attempts materialize when Lillard and McCollum aren’t taking them. Look how hard Turner and Aminu work here, after Portland “shorts” a McCollum-Nurkic ball screen, to produce a look that the latter had already decided wasn’t good enough.
Aminu shot a scorching 52 percent from the right corner during the regular season, per NBA.com/stats. Portland would be hard-pressed to produce a more efficient shot than that, but it’s also not one that can be manufactured with the frequency needed to mitigate the impact of the Pelicans selling out to stop Lillard and McCollum. Worse? New Orleans would be perfectly happy living and dying on a diet of open 3-point attempts by Aminu anyway.
Earlier in his exit interview Lillard was asked if it was hard for him to shoulder the burden of the Blazers’ abject postseason failure.
“Just understanding that position, you gotta be able to handle the negative side, too,” he said. “When things don’t go well, and maybe it’s not your fault, or maybe people aren’t watching it and dealing in reality of what’s actually happening. Like in this series, they say ‘Dame didn’t do this and Dame didn’t do that,’ and the reality of it is their gameplan was to take me out. I come across halfcourt and there’s two guys guarding me, and the third guy waiting to help.”
Lillard wasn’t done.
“I just understand that you gotta take the good with the bad, and just like I can accept the credit when I do great things, I accept the criticism and all the, I guess bad, things people might have to say about me when it doesn’t go well because that’s part of my responsibility as the franchise player, and being an All-Star, and all the things that I call myself. I accept it. It won’t break me down, it won’t shake me mentally, it won’t change who I am, it won’t change how I feel about myself. I accept it.”
But can the Blazers accept that they just aren’t good enough? Acknowledging that reality is one thing. Making significantly beneficial changes to a roster that’s already capped-out for the next three seasons, unfortunately, is something else entirely.
October 15, 2019, 1:30 amDamion LeeSG, Golden State Warriors
Damion Lee scored 18 points on 7-of-11 shooting with nine boards, two assists and three steals in Monday's preseason game against the Lakers.
Lee had a solid game and should find himself into some rotational minutes, but Jordan Poole (eight points, one rebound, three assists and two triples) is a more intriguing prospect while both are irrelevant in fantasy.
October 15, 2019, 1:04 amDwight HowardC, Los Angeles Lakers
Dwight Howard double-doubled with 12 points and 13 rebounds to go with six assists, four steals and a block in Monday's 104-98 win over the Warriors.
He went 2-for-4 from the field and a solid 8-for-10 at the line. Howard outplayed JaVale McGee (11 points, one 3-pointer, five rebounds, one assist and three blocks) tonight and with DeMarcus Cousins (ACL) out for the season, we expect a timeshare at the center position. McGee is the more attractive option due to his high block rate, but Howard makes for a good rebounding specialist for fantasy owners.
October 15, 2019, 1:03 amZach NorvellPG, Los Angeles Lakers
Zach Norvell scored 22 points on 6-of-13 shooting with three triples, four rebounds, an assist and a steal in Monday's game against the Warriors.
Norvell looked great tonight, shooting without hesitation and scoring efficiently. It's still difficult to envision him playing consistent and meaningful minutes, but performances like tonight can't hurt.
October 15, 2019, 1:03 amMarquese ChrissPF, Golden State Warriors
Marquese Chriss scored 14 points with 11 rebounds, four assists, a steal and three blocks in Monday's game against the Lakers.
Warriors players and coaches have been voicing their admiration for Chriss and his game this preseason and it actually looks like he has a solid chance to make the final roster. There are still plenty of things getting in the way of Chriss being a strong fantasy asset and we've seen this hype train plenty of times so for now he's a guy to watch.
October 15, 2019, 1:02 amStephen CurryPG, Golden State Warriors
Steph Curry scored 17 points on 6-of-17 shooting with three 3-pointers, a rebound, three assists, two steals and two blocks in Monday's preseason game against the Lakers.
Curry didn't shoot the ball well, but we're not worried at all about him. He dropped 40 points a few nights ago and the Warriors are going to let their MVP run wild this year.
October 15, 2019, 12:31 amFrank KaminskyPF, Phoenix Suns
Frank Kaminsky led the Suns in scoring with 22 points on 6-of-10 shooting to go with two triples, six boards, three assists and a block in Monday's 102-107 loss to the Nuggets.
Kaminsky won't beat out Deandre Ayton (14 points, four rebounds, one assist and a block) but if the Suns are willing to play him at power forward, he might be a fringe standard-league guy.
October 15, 2019, 12:31 amKelly Oubre Jr.SF, Phoenix Suns
Kelly Oubre Jr. scored 11 points on 3-of-11 shooting with four rebounds, an assist, a steal and a block on Monday.
Oubre Jr. went 3-for-11 from the field but 5-for-6 at the line. He's not going to be an efficient shooter from the field, but he gets to the line frequently and puts up counting stats which makes him an appealing fantasy option.
October 15, 2019, 12:31 amMichael Porter Jr.PF, Denver Nuggets
Michael Porter Jr. scored 11 points on 5-of-10 shooting with five rebounds, a steal, two blocks and a 3-pointer against the Suns on Monday.
Porter Jr. looks great out there and right now the only real fear is whether or not he can stay healthy. Nuggets fans have waited a while, but Porter has looked fluid and athletic during the preseason as a forward that can do a little bit of everything. He's definitely someone you'll want to watch closely.
October 15, 2019, 12:30 amJamal MurrayPG, Denver Nuggets
Jamal Murray scored 16 points on 6-of-16 shooting with eight rebounds, six assists and two triples in Monday's game against the Suns.
Murray is the clear No. 2 guy in Denver behind Nikola Jokic (four points, four rebounds, four assists, a steal and a block) and leads a high powered Nuggets offense which has given him a clear green light. Gary Harris (18 points, two triples, two rebounds, two assists and a steal) is going to have to battle his way into production as the Nuggets have plenty of guards that can play.
October 15, 2019, 12:30 amJerami GrantSF, Denver Nuggets
Jerami Grant scored 22 points on 6-of-8 shooting with two triples, two rebounds and three steals in Monday's preseason game against the Suns.
Grant got the starting nod with Paul Millsap (DNP-CD) sitting out and should contribute solid minutes to a deep Nuggets team. There's too much depth on the team for him to make a fantasy dent like he did last year, but if Millsap misses time. Grant should post standard-league value as a fill-in.