June 6, 2018, 11:22 am
The Cleveland Cavaliers left halftime of the biggest game in franchise history trailing by seven points, and with LeBron James “pissed off.” Not at the prospect of a second consecutive loss to the Golden State Warriors in June, but because Tyronn Lue had just called him out for failing to rise to the occasion of a Game 7, with the Larry O’Brien Trophy awaiting its winner. Few teams could withstand that level of pressure and live to tell the stories of a title won some hour or so later, but the Cavaliers turned out to be one of them – and couldn’t have done it without J.R. Smith.
Two years later, Smith has become the personification of everything “wrong” with an overachieving, undermanned and wildly inconsistent Cleveland team, one on verge of getting swept by Golden State after losing the first two games in Oakland of another championship rematch. His late-game gaffe in regulation of the opener didn’t cost the Cavaliers a win all by itself; basketball has isn’t a sport decided by a single possession, even at its highest level. But considering his retched performance throughout the postseason and the first leg of these Finals, that all-time mistake, in maybe the finest performance of James’ career, has made it easy to forget just how crucial Smith was to the Cavaliers helping James keep his promise.
Smith scored 12 points on 13 shots over 39 minutes of court time in Game 7 of the 2016 Finals. He went 2-of-8 from three, and 3-of-7 on uncontested field goal attempts, per NBA.com/stats. Needless to say, no one remembers Smith’s overall impact like they do that of James, nor his game-saving chase-down block on Andre Iguodala or Kyrie Irving‘s go-ahead step-back 3-pointer in Steph Curry’s face. But without Smith, Cleveland’s superstars would have been unlikely to shine brightest when their team needed it most.
Especially significant were the first three minutes of the third quarter, when the Cavaliers easily could have been consumed by Lue’s locker-room criticism of James and the magic the Warriors play with at Oracle Arena. Instead, Smith scored a quick eight points on three jumpers, including two three, leading Cleveland on a 12-5 run that forced a timeout by Steve Kerr with the score suddenly tied at 54-54.
Smith celebrated his role in the Cavaliers’ historic triumph the way only he could. The “Summer of J.R.” was spent bare-chested and proud, indoors and outdoors, thoroughly enjoying the lavish lifestyle to which all players are entitled after winning the title. One potentially complicating factor that barely cast a pall over all of Smith’s hard-earned fun: his contract situation.
On October 15, 2016, Smith signed a four-year, $57 million contract to remain in Cleveland. Though the final year of his deal is not fully guaranteed, it will reportedly become so unless the Cavaliers waive him shortly after the 2018-19 season comes to a close – an increasing possibility given both the unknown status of James’ future, and precipitous decline of Smith’s game.
Anyone paying attention knew it was highly unlikely Smith would live up to the terms of his contract. A 30-year-old shooting guard whose career was once on the precipice due to his questionable work ethic and overall commitment to the game couldn’t exactly be counted on to age well, especially in the exultant afterglow of a championship. But James fought for Smith, and perhaps more importantly, the cash-strapped Cavaliers had no other means of securing an eight-figure salary slot. Former general manager David Griffin waited out Smith as long as he could, but his hands were ultimately tied.
The offseason departure of Kyrie Irving affected no one on Cleveland’s roster more than James, but it’s Smith whose performance has suffered most. Absent another star ball handler next to the best player in the world, the Cavaliers have been searching all season long for ways to account for that glaring weakness. For Smith, that means he’s forced to stretch himself as a playmaker to an extent he’s never had to in wine and gold before this season.
The ugly results of that reality have been on full display so far in the playoffs. Smith is averaging 8.4 points per game on 34.5 percent from the field, numbers that pale in comparison to those previous three postseasons. If there’s a silver lining, it’s that 5.3 of his 8.3 attempts per game come from beyond the arc, where he’s shooting a respectable 36.3 percent – after connecting on an even 50 percent of his threes this time last year, and 43.0 percent in that triumphant run to the championship.
Smith isn’t shooting the ball all that well, but it’s his floor game that’s really killed Cleveland. In last year’s playoffs, 66.7 percent of Smith’s shot attempts came without taking a dribble, per NBA.com/stats. That ratio has dipped all the way down to 51.5 percent in 2018, as Smith’s usage has spiked 3.5 percentage points to 13.9 by virtue of taking an additional 2.8 shots per game. Just as bad, he’s shot 7-of-23 on 51 total drives to the basket.
In the first two games of the Finals, Smith’s complete discomfort putting the ball on the floor or making a play for his teammates reared its ugly head on multiple occasions. Each of the possessions below are from the first half of Game 2.
Smith just doesn’t have the feel to be anything more than a shooter at this point in his career, and the Cavaliers probably know it, but limits of their roster ensure he finds himself in far more situations that require high-level reads on a game-by-game basis. Maybe that wouldn’t be the case if Cleveland’s trade-deadline acquisitions lived up to their reputations.
George Hill, after giving Smith the chance to create a meme for the ages by missing the second of two free throws in the waning moments of Game 1, was far better on Sunday night. But he’s hardly Irving as a penetrator or shot-maker, and has settled in nicely of late as a ball-screen partner for James and opportunistic 3-point shooter who has the juice to burn hard close-outs. Hill is a valuable player; he just can’t do much to assuage the extra responsibility that’s been so hard for Smith to handle.
Rodney Hood should be that guy in theory, and Lue says he’ll finally get the chance to do so in Game 3. He’s been an abject disaster in Cleveland since March, though. If playing Hood next to Smith on the wing was a realistic answer to some of what plagues the Cavaliers, it goes without saying Lue wouldn’t wait until June to give that lineup rotation minutes. The expectation by some that Jordan Clarkson could make a real impact was always foolhardy, and becomes more and more laughable as he continues jacking, and missing, two after two.
Unfortunately, offense is only half of Smith’s issue – and that might be generous.
After briefly experimenting with Kevin Love trapping Steph Curry when he’s involved in ball-screen action, Cleveland has decided its best hope of keeping the Warriors in check is switching one through five. That development should make life easier for Smith. Against their ideal judgment, the Cavaliers have routinely used him as their designated “stopper” on opposing perimeter stars over the last three years. Smith would surely assume that role again in the Finals, and has actually guarded Curry on the opening possession of both games, but Golden State’s star power combined with Cleveland’s glaring lack of defense on the wing (with the exception of an engaged James) has led to a defensive strategy that toggles Smith and his teammates through whoever is on the floor wearing blue and gold.
The Cavaliers, unlike the Houston Rockets, didn’t play that way all season long, and don’t have the ultra-physical, like-sized horses to do it effectively. That much has been clear while watching Golden State run up a 123.6 offensive rating through the first two games of the Finals. Just as plain to see, though, is that Smith as the biggest culprit in the many, many Cleveland defensive breakdowns that have led to Golden State’s revolving door of layups and threes.
In Game 2, the Warriors opened with JaVale McGee, new starter, sprinting into a high ball screen from Curry and quickly slipping out of it, confident Smith would get confused at that high-speed misdirection. The result was a dunk on the game’s first possession, and the Warriors relentlessly attacking Smith over the ensuing four quarters.
The good news: Smith has been better all season long playing at Quicken Loans Arena, and so have the Cavaliers. Golden State’s +16.8 net rating, not a typo at home in the playoffs plummets all the way down to +2.3 on the road, too. But just like there’s no cure-all for the layers of problems Cleveland faces against the defending champions, it doesn’t seem like there’s one for Smith, either.
That’s not necessarily his fault. Smith, who made his name as Sixth Man of the Year with the New York Knicks in 2013, was never brought to the Cavaliers to be a starter or receive a multi-year contract worth starter-level money. The 2016 Finals changed everything for Smith and his team, and they’re still better off for it in the long run. Championship rings never lose their luster.
But today, an aging Smith is being asked to do more than he ever has, on the game’s biggest stage against a juggernaut opponent, and we’re seeing the consequences play out in real time. James is essentially a one-man band compared to the Warriors, but it’s Smith who embodies the Cavaliers’ fleetingly glorious past and potentially doomed short- and long-term future more than anyone else.
December 9, 2018, 10:22 pmFrank Ntilikina - G - New York Knicks
Frank Ntilikina scored 18 points on 7-of-11 shooting with four 3-pointers as the Knicks lost to the Hornets on Sunday.
He outplayed starter Emmanuel Mudiay, who scored six points with three rebounds and four assists on 3-of-9 shooting. The Knicks’ point guard situation is a mess and minutes change frequently, so neither of them are worth owning in fantasy.
December 9, 2018, 10:19 pmNoah Vonleh - F - New York Knicks
Noah Vonleh did not play well against the Hornets on Sunday with only three points on 1-of-5 shooting, but he did contribute 10 rebounds and a career-high nine assists.
Vonleh has seen consistent minutes as the starting power forward for the Knicks and his value currently sits right outside the top-100. He is a must-own in deep leagues and will provide solid late-middle round value this season. However, head coach David Fizdale's rotations can change at any moment, which means Vonleh's minutes can change so keep an eye on the Knicks' rotation from game-to-game.
December 9, 2018, 10:15 pmKyle Lowry - G - Toronto Raptors
Kyle Lowry fell to a new low with his 0-for-5 shooting night on Sunday against the Bucks.
This is the first time in Lowry's career that he's been held under 10 points for five straight games. To call this a slump would be unfair. Luckily as a point guard, Lowry does more than just score and has been returning top-120 value over his last four games despite shooting under 15 percent during that stretch. Lowry finished tonight's game with zero points, five boards, seven assists and a block in 34 minutes.
Source: Chris Black on Twitter
December 9, 2018, 10:14 pmTrevor Ariza - F - Phoenix Suns
The Lakers are one of the teams making a run at Trevor Ariza, they're currently in discussions to swing a three-team deal.
Ariza might struggle as a fantasy asset in Los Angeles given how many swingmen they have. If you own Ariza you're hoping that he finds his way back to the Rockets. The Suns are hoping to get a young guard and a draft pick in any deal for Ariza and the Lakers seem to be searching for a suitor willing to take on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.
Source: Adrian Wojnarowski on Twitter
December 9, 2018, 10:14 pmMitchell Robinson - C - New York Knicks
It was reported that Mitchell Robinson suffered a shoulder injury on Suday before halftime of the Knicks game.
Robinson has played his regular allotment of minutes in the second half and hasn't looked hurt at all. Maybe we'll learn more on this after the game.
Source: Stefan Bondy on Twitter
December 9, 2018, 10:13 pmEnes Kanter - C - New York Knicks
Enes Kanter did not play well on Sunday with six points and four rebounds on 3-of-6 shooting in 18 minutes in a loss to the Hornets.
He is the best player to own on the Knicks roster right now at top-70 value, but people were hoping for more from Kanter and David Fizdale's rotations are crushing those hopes. He will have inconsistent performances due to varying minutes, but he will still provide middle-round value as long as he is typically seeing minutes in the 20's.
December 9, 2018, 10:10 pmKevin Knox - F - New York Knicks
Kevin Knox saw 41 minutes on Sunday and put up 26 points and 15 rebounds on 10-of-25 shooting in a loss to the Hornets.
He made four 3-pointers and added on steal to the box score as well. This is one of his best games of the season, but he is still not worth owning in fantasy due to the possibility that head coach David Fizdale could play him low minutes next game. The rotations are inconsistent for the Knicks and makes owning any player a difficult task. Mario Hezonja was awful in this game with zero points on 0-of-3 shooting in five minutes. Look to see if Fizdale starts Knox over Hezonja going forward.
December 9, 2018, 10:05 pmJeremy Lamb - G - Charlotte Hornets
Jeremy Lamb scored 19 points on 8-of-12 shooting in 28 minutes as the Hornets beat the Knicks on Sunday.
Lamb continues to play well and is cruising to top-50 value on the season. He appeared a bit shaky to start the season, but his buy-low window quickly closed and he started returning early-middle round value. Credit to owners who bought low on him or remained patient after his rocky start as his solid play is definitely paying off.
December 9, 2018, 10:01 pmCody Zeller - F/C - Charlotte Hornets
Cody Zeller had an all-around good game on Sunday with 12 points, seven rebounds and four defensive stats on 5-of-5 shooting as the Hornets beat the Knicks.
The four defensive stats were three steals and one block, and he was also able to add two assists as well as shoot a perfect 2-of-2 from the line. Marvin Williams added 13 points and five rebounds on 4-of-9 shooting. Both of these guys will have to be on top of their games for the Hornets to stay competitive in the East. Zeller is the preferred option to own in fantasy as of right now.
December 9, 2018, 9:57 pmKemba Walker - G - Charlotte Hornets
Kemba Walker scored 25 points with six rebounds, six assists and four steals as the Hornets beat the Knicks 119-107 on Sunday.
He shot 8-of-20 from the field and added four 3-pointers to his solid stat line. He is a very safe top-20 play as the Hornets are still competitive in a lopsided Eastern Conference and have no reason to trade him yet. As long as he is on the Hornets he will be playing above his ADP and was worth the pick for fantasy owners.