January 22, 2018, 3:25 pm
OPPONENT: Denver Nuggets
RECORD: 23-23 (16-6 at home, 4-6 last 10 games)
MEASURABLES: 106.4 offensive rating (11th), 106.6 defensive rating (20th), -.2 net rating (15th)
PROJECTED STARTING LINEUP: PG Jamal Murray, SG Gary Harris, SF Wilson Chandler, PF Trey Lyles, C Nikola Jokic
The Denver Nuggets deserve far more credit for staying afloat without Paul Millsap. The two-month absence of a player his caliber would doom most young teams with hopeful playoff aspirations, especially given that Denver traded Danilo Gallinari to create the cap space needed to sign him. Millsap, glut of Nuggets bigs notwithstanding, was supposed to be one of the most irreplaceable players on this roster.
There’s a chance that’s still the case, of course, but no one would know it considering how Denver has played since he broke his wrist on November 19. The Nuggets are 14-16 with a -1.1 net rating in the interim, keeping pace with the Portland Trail Blazers and other members of the Western Conference middle class despite missing the only player on their roster with All-Star experience and legitimate two-way acumen.
Each of the players Malone has called upon to pick up Millsap’s slack warrant praise, but none more so than Trey Lyles. After becoming a punchline early in the season amid a string of DNP-CDs while Donovan Mitchell, the player for whom he was traded on draft night, made it easier and easier for Utah Jazz fans to forget about Gordon Hayward, Lyles has played the best basketball of his career since Malone gave him a chance to shine. He’s averaging 14.5 points and 6.6 rebounds in 26.9 minutes per game dating back to December 1, shooting a sterling 42.9 percent from 3-point range on just over four attempts a night.
Still, Malone has been slow to make Lyles the primary replacement for Millsap, a coaching choice that’s left many Nuggets fans scratching their heads. The chief justification for that hesitance is defense, but numbers don’t support the notion that playing Plumlee next to Nikola Jokic makes their team worse on that side of the ball. Since Millsap’s injury, Denver has actually allowed six fewer points per 100 possessions with Lyles beside Jokic than it has Plumlee, per NBA.com/stats. One of the Nuggets’ greatest strengths, two-way rebounding, isn’t adversely affected by the presence of Lyles, either, a more perimeter-oriented power forward who’s faced criticism for a lack of physicality in the past.
Given Portland’s personnel and his increasingly strong play, expect Lyles to get the start over Plumlee on Saturday night, just his third of the season but second in a row. Like Lyles, Jokic is versatile enough offensively to hurt the Blazers from both beyond the arc and in the post. His playmaking prowess is among basketball’s rarest, too, and promotes the kind of quick-hitting, side-to-side ball movement that pushed Denver to the most efficient offense in the league over the second half of last season.
The Nuggets haven’t been quite so dynamic this season, but through no lack of individual development among their young core. Jamal Murray, entrenched as his team’s point guard of the present and future, has shrugged off an abysmal start shooting the ball to consistently show off the elite shot-making skill, improved finishing ability and burgeoning court sense that makes him a potential star down the line. Gary Harris has maintained his efficiency while upping his 3-point rate and overall usage, and, most importantly, grown more comfortable making plays with the ball in his hands. The fourth-year wing still doesn’t draw enough fouls and probably won’t ever be a primary offensive option, but has almost every skill a team could ask of a supporting scorer – and is only getting better. Will Barton, now a full-fledged backup point guard, is having a career year, too.
Defense is Denver’s bugaboo, and the side of the ball Millsap was supposed to make his biggest impact. The Nuggets have trouble containing the ball at the point of attack, a deficiency that puts an onus on their big men to stymie ball handlers who turn the corner unencumbered after screens. Jokic isn’t a sieve, but lacks the foot speed to be an effective back-line helper or rim-protector. Plumlee, as Portland fans know all too well, isn’t that type of defender despite his quick-twitch athleticism, either. The result: Denver allows 33.1 percent of opponents’ shot to come at the rim and 65.9 percent shooting on those attempts, seventh-highest and third-worst in the league, respectively, according to Cleaning the Glass.
Keeping the Nuggets off the offensive glass and making it hard for them to grab clean defensive boards and ignite fast breaks will be of utmost importance to Portland on Saturday night. If Jusuf Nurkic had only one job to do against his old team, that would be it: Making it hard for Denver to grab rebounds on both sides of the floor. But guarding Jokic isn’t anywhere close to that easy, of course, especially for a player who’s spent most of his time patrolling the paint rather than recovering to shooters at the arc. Nurkic must stay engaged against the Nuggets, which should be easy considering the frustrating nature of his diminished role under Malone.
Portland beat Denver 99-82 on November 13, and the teams will finish the season series with another matchup in Denver on April 9, the Blazers penultimate regular-season game. What a coup it would be for Portland to win this potential tie-breaker now, not just because of playoff ramifications to come, but also because this team finally has a sense of real momentum its lacked all season long.
Doing so won’t be easy, though. Pepsi Center, at one mile high, is a very difficult place to play, and the Nuggets fully understand big-picture the importance of this mid-January matchup, too.
November 12, 2019, 6:39 pmCory JosephPG, Sacramento Kings
Cory Joseph is expected to start in place of De'Aaron Fox against the Blazers on Tuesday.
Joseph and Bogdan Bogdanovic will pick up most of the slack while Fox is out for the forseeable future, with Yogi Ferrell seeing some added run as well.
Source: James Ham on Twitter
November 12, 2019, 6:34 pmJoel EmbiidC, Philadelphia Sixers
Joel Embiid is available to play against the Cavs on Tuesday.
Feel free to get the superstar big man in your lineups. The Sixers play again on Wednesday and it is very likely that Embiid sits in the backend of the back-to-back.
Source: Derek Bodner on Twitter
November 12, 2019, 6:30 pmCristiano FelicioC, Chicago Bulls
Cristiano Felicio (wrist) will be out for the next 4-8 weeks with a broken wrist after falling in practice on Monday.
This is a tough blow for Felicio. Daniel Gafford and Luke Kornet will continue to run as the backup C's behind starter Wendell Carter Jr.
Source: K.C. Johnson on Twitter
November 12, 2019, 6:24 pmBruce BrownSG, Detroit Pistons
Bruce Brown Jr. (right knee contusion) is being listed as available and will be the starting PG for Tuesday's matchup against the Heat,
Brown is set to see heavy usage on Tuesday with Blake Griffin and Derrick Rose both out. Brown would make for a nice cheap DFS option and a streaming option if he was dropped in your league.
Source: Tim Reynolds on Twitter
November 12, 2019, 6:20 pmVictor OladipoSG, Indiana Pacers
Coach Nate McMillan said that Victor Oladipo played "a little full-court" 5-on-5 for the first time during his rehab in Tuesday's practice with the Mad Ants.
Oladipo is inching closer and closer towards getting back to game action with a return in December being very realistic. The buy-low window for the All-Star guard is starting to close with each positive report.
Source: Pacers on Twitter
November 12, 2019, 6:09 pmShabazz NapierPG, Minnesota Timberwolves
Shabazz Napier (right hamstring strain) is being listed as doubtful to play against the Spurs on Wednesday.
Napier's return is murky at the moment, as there hasn't been a timeline for when he will be back as of yet. Jarrett Culver will continue to log heavy minutes at PG, at least untill Jeff Teague (illness) can retunr.
Source: NBA Inujury Report
November 12, 2019, 6:06 pmJordan BellPF, Minnesota Timberwolves
Jordan Bell (right shoulder sprain) is being listed as doubtful for Wednesday's game against the Spurs.
When Bell has been healthy, he hasn't seen the court time fantasy owners had hoped for and should remain on waiver wires.
Source: NBA Injury report
November 12, 2019, 6:02 pmCristiano FelicioC, Chicago Bulls
Cristiano Felicio (wrist) has been ruled out of Tuesday's game against the Knicks.
Even when active, Felicio has minimal fantasy value for as long as Wendell Carter Jr. remains healthy.
Source: NBA Injury Report
November 12, 2019, 5:57 pmKelly OlynykC, Miami Heat
Kelly Olynyk (knee) is being listed as available to play against the Pistons on Tuesday.
Olynyk should resume his role as the first big off the bench in what is a thin available roster for the Heat.
Source: Ira Winderman on Twitter
November 12, 2019, 5:54 pmTyler HerroPG, Miami Heat
Tyler Herro (ankle) is being ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Pistons.
The Heat have a laundry list of unavailable players for Tuesday's game. Duncan Robinson and the newly called up Daryl Macon are going to see a lot of the bench minutes in this one.
Source: Ira Winderman on Twitter