Buy Low

  • Karl-Anthony Towns plays just 21 minutes in win over Kings

    Karl-Anthony Towns played just 21 minutes in the Wolves’ road win over the Kings on Friday, scoring seven points on 3-of-5 shooting (including a three) with eight rebounds and two blocks.

    This was interesting. Sam Mitchell said after the game that he was trying to get his rookie rest in the midst of a long season. Well-regarded analyst/coach Jim Petersen seems to have bought that in various tweets, so maybe that was actually Mitchell’s plan.  The brash coach is known for playing time quirks and he has been pretty stubborn this season, and to further confuse matters KAT was playing pretty darn well tonight.  Whatever the reasons may be it highlights how we can’t go nuts with Towns’ upside, while at the same time recognizing he has no real ceiling.  So many contradictions.

  • Andrew Wiggins shuts down Rudy Gay and scores 22 points

    Andrew Wiggins looked great in Friday’s win over the Kings, scoring 22 points on 8-of-17 shooting (1-of-3 3PTs, 5-of-6 FTs) with six rebounds, one assist and one block.

    Wiggins isn’t as bad in fantasy as everybody says he is but we understand the concerns. We rated him at No. 58/79 (8/9 cat) in the Bruski 150 and he has been a top-75 player over the last two weeks, but his value is much lower than that over the course of the year.  There’s some room for buying low here and as a young, more durable player if he can do what he has done over the last two weeks he’ll be right on pace.

  • Gorgui Dieng posts low-end line in 27 minutes

    Gorgui Dieng didn’t do a ton for his backers (us) in Friday’s win over the Kings, scoring eight points on 2-of-4 shooting (4-of-4 FTs) with eight rebounds, two assists and two steals in 27 minutes off the bench.

    This isn’t a bad line but we were hoping for more that might catch Sam Mitchell’s old school evaluation eye.  Dieng is already a top 90-110 player in 20 mpg despite the slow start, and he’s a prime buy low candidate with other major sites fading him big time.

  • Danny Green still confounding owners with slow start

    Danny Green scored nine points on 3-of-9 shooting (3-of-6 from deep) with four rebounds and one steal over 27 minutes on Friday against the Nuggets.

    Green would have played a tad more had the game been close but cutting to the chase he has been bad for owners spending a fourth to sixth round pick on the guy.  He is hitting just 33.8 percent of his shots and his fantasy value is on the wrong side of the cut line in 12-team formats, but we’re still calling this the ultimate buy low moment.  It makes sense that he’s the last guy that will feel the impact of the LaMarcus Aldridge integration, and when his shot straightens out he’s going to win owners weekly matchups with the explosion.  We’re not even taking him out of lineups because we don’t want to be on the wrong end of the chasing equation.

  • Jeff Teague goes for 20 and seven with four 3-pointers

    Jeff Teague scored 20 points on 5-of-7 shooting (4-of-6 3PTs, 6-of-6 FTs) with two rebounds, seven assists and one steal in Friday’s win over the Grizzlies.

    Teague isn’t meeting our lofty expectations just yet but this is a reminder that he can easily get there.  He might have some buy low value but not a ton after a night like this.

  • Terrence Jones getting lost in the Rockets’ jet wash

    Terrence Jones was moved to the bench on Friday against the Sixers, scoring five points on 2-of-5 shooting with one three, eight boards and one block in 24 minutes.

    Jones has not been good for owners this year and based on his waiver wire numbers one could theoretically think about a drop.  But we don’t want to make that move just yet and we’re willing to write the beginning of this year off as simple ‘disaster.’  Clint Capela’s rise definitely is an issue and Donatas Motiejunas will put the frontcourt into more of the normal disposition we attributed to it over the summer.  Overall we want to bet on Jones’ considerable talent and say it’s time to either hold or buy low, but the leash on that sentiment is getting shorter.

  • George Hill grabs 10 rebounds but still not shooting much

    George Hill grabbed a career-high tying 10 rebounds in the Pacers’ 104-92 win over the Bulls on Friday, but still managed just six points on 3-of-8 shooting with three assists, one steal and one block in 32 minutes.

    We’re not sure if his hand is still bothering him or not but if it is then it would make sense that he’s focusing on other aspects of his game.  He’s a mid-round value despite some slow nights and the low 13.3-point scoring average might make him a buy low target.  Paul George went for 33 and eight with four treys and 7-of-7 hits from the foul line, and C.J. Miles kept his foot on the gas pedal with 16 points and three triples in the win.

  • Goran Dragic still not getting it done in fantasy leagues

    Goran Dragic’s nightmare start continued in Friday’s easy win over the Knicks, as he hit 3-of-8 shots for nine points, four rebounds, three assists and one steal in 30 minutes.

    Dragic just doesn’t look the same and he’s most certainly not engaged in the offense the way many thought he would be.  There are reasons here — including the birth of his child and some questions over how in shape he was to start the year.  There’s also the bigger issues of Dwyane Wade (17 points, 7-of-17 FGs, five boards, three assists) taking the ball out of his hands and a system that seems to send him to the corner quite a bit.  The bottom line is that he’s a great buy low value with some risk, but eventually something has to give here — whether it takes an injury to a teammate or not.  It’s almost better to view him as a stash until the inevitable top-50 explosion.

  • Marcin Gortat still struggling for owners in blowout loss

    Marcin Gortat hit just 1-of-8 shots in Friday’s blowout loss to the Celtics, finising with four points to go with nine boards, four assists and no steals or blocks.

    After considerable hype on some bigger name websites it just hasn’t happened this season.  We expect him to turn it around but there’s also something weird lingering around the Wizards and we can’t put a finger on it.  Don’t act on that hunch but file it away for later in case we see further signs of inconsistency down the road.

  • Nikola Vucevic plays just 21 minutes in blowout win

    Nikola Vucevic played just 21 minutes in Friday’s blowout win over the Bucks, scoring nine points on 4-of-8 shooting with six rebounds, one steal and one block.

    Vooch’s minutes and production have been down amidst the lineup changes in Orlando, and one has to wonder if Scott Skiles is also trying to decrease the big man’s minutes after a knee injury that might be lingering.  We don’t think Skiles is going to completely ruin his big man so this is a bona fide buy low moment, but it could be bumpy for a little bit.

  • Victor Oladipo doing just fine off the bench for the Magic

    Victor Oladipo came off the bench again in Friday’s blowout win over the Bucks, scoring 17 points on 7-of-12 shooting with six rebounds, nine assists and one steal in 24 minutes.

    The move to the bench works just fine for both Oladipo and the Magic, as Scott Skiles isn’t going to cut his minutes any more than he would if Oladipo was starting, and off the bench he gets better usage and production opportunities.  The 24 minutes tonight were a direct result of the score, and with all the shade on the net about him coming off the bench this is a big buy low chance on an early round player.

  • Khris Middleton posts quality line in loss to the Magic

    Khris Middleton scored 15 points on 4-of-7 shooting (3-of-5 from deep, 4-of-4 from the line) with three rebounds, four assists and three steals in Friday’s loss to the Magic.

    Middleton started off a bit slow but his numbers have been among the most consistent in the NBA so it was very likely that he would bounce back.  His name value isn’t that great right now so he might have a small amount of buy low appeal if his current owner feels screwed still.

  • Nerlens Noel (knee) a late scratch on Friday

    Nerlens Noel (knee) was a late scratch for Friday’s game against the Rockets.

    Noel has a ton of promise but it hasn’t worked out yet for owners this year.  Unless there’s more to this knee issue than we know, and there’s nothing out there to suggest that’s the case, this is a nice buy low moment for him.

  • Klay Thompson goes for 21 and seven with four threes vs. DEN

    Klay Thompson scored 21 points on 7-of-16 shooting (including four threes) with three rebounds, seven assists and one block in Sunday’s win over the Nuggets.

    Thompson’s value is nowhere near his ADP and this past week’s splits aren’t great because he has just 0.5 combined steals and blocks in the last four games.  But his scoring is up to 20.0 points per game in that span and everything is pointing in the right direction. That’s a long-winded way to say he’s a buy low candidate, but owners paying a top 12-15 price for him are probably still entertaining offers.  A buy low deal with a top-20 player as bait should be considered.

  • Gordon Hayward posts 22-7-4 line with two treys

    Gordon Hayward scored 22 points on 8-of-14 shooting (including two treys) with seven rebounds, four assists and one steal in Friday’s loss to the Mavs.

    The idea that Hayward is just going to go away because Alec Burks (30 minutes, 15 points, five boards, 4-of-14 FGs) and Rodney Hood (13 points, four assists, one steal, 36 minutes) are good players is pretty laughable — especially as Captain America hits his prime.  It’s more likely that the Jazz are figuring out what to do with their new young talent and Hayward is the malleable one, ready to resume big-time usage duties when the action is way more serious.  Factor in his usual streakiness and this is one of the best buy low values in the fantasy landscape today.