October 9, 2019, 8:49 pm
Aaand we’re back! Yes, subscribers and Hoobers, I’m back with the latest installment of the ADP report.
The ADP data was as of October 9, 2019. I’ve added a column to the original sheet, embedded below, beside the September 26th ADP data. This way you can easily eye-ball the upward or downward trends of the players you want to target or want to fall to you in drafts.
Among the elite players, Kawhi Leonard is a notable mover, now flirting as a top-10 pick (13.4 previous ADP) based on recent trends. This new-found confidence in Leonard stems from the news coming out that he “hopes to play in more games” than he did with the Raptors last season. This is still something that needs to be validated come the regular season because the Clippers have been very cautious with him and have been giving him light loads in camp. Still, the sentiment has been rather bullish on him lately, so take note of this.
Who has fallen out of the first round of standard leagues? Well, it’s none other than Kawhi’s teammate and planned “partner in crime,” Paul George. His shoulder injury, which is expected to keep him sidelined for all of October and some of November, has been a drag on his appeal. George is still just doing 5-on-0 work at practice, meaning no contact, meaning no return anytime soon.
Speaking of falling in the rankings, one of the more notable fallers as far as ADP is concerned is Mitchell Robinson, who is now sporting an ADP of 28.4, down 8.5 spots from his previously tracked ADP of 20.9. Likely a result of his lack of scoring and his being on a Knicks team with a coach notorious for over-tinkering with lineup combinations, much to the chagrin of fantasy managers all over. Robinson is still projected to be an elite shot-blocker. There’s no question there. People are now looking at whether he will be able to make significant leaps in his other categories.
Rising significantly in the ADPs are Russell Westbrook (Now: 16.7, Previous: 23.5) and Luka Doncic (Now: 19.6, Previous: 27.0). Luka has had a lot of eager anticipation fueling reaches for his services in the game of fantasy leading up to this update. It appears that it’s just gained more steam. That said, it’s all-aboard the Doncic Express or get off and wait for next season. For Westbrook, it appears that his pairing with James Harden is striking less and less fear that the two highest-usage players in the league will struggle sharing the rock. On the contrary, Westbrook is being looked at as a bounce-back candidate now that he will possibly be involved in more off-ball plays. The preexisting on-court rapport he and Harden have should go a long way towards achieving an expeditiously smooth transition.
Robert Covington has fallen considerably, now at 45.9 ADP, signaling a value spot to take him that also imputes any injury risk that inherently comes as baggage with the fantasy-favorite stat-sheet stuffer. Similar to RoCo is Danilo Gallinari, who has seen his ADP dip to 60.8 from 49.0 as of September 26th. Gallo’s picture is what you’d probably see when you look up “injury prone.” Still, considering his current situation as one of the few offensive weapons on the Thunder, Gallinari could be a top-30 threat while healthy, so be sure to weigh your options when he falls that far.
Conversely, the market is catching up on Devin Booker’s wave. He’s also a notable riser in the ADP charts, moving up to 26.1 from a previous 39.8. He’s an injury-prone guy, but he’s a proven prolific scorer. Add to that the Suns’ favorable fantasy playoff schedule, then you’ve got a recipe for some Booker-love clubs forming.
More names, more players, more!
One thing you will notice in this report compared to volume one is that there are far more players listed. This is because more and more players are being picked in the top-150 picks of real drafts compared to previous ones. This is one area you should pay attention to because it can provide you with insight as to who other managers are looking at as late or last-round picks.
I’ve colored the rookies in the sheet GREEN to make them easier to spot. Here is their fresh ADPs for you to peruse.
Zion Williamson (Rank: 41, ADP 32.5)
Ja Morant (Rank: 84, ADP: 72.4)
Brandon Clarke (Rank 104, ADP: 123.6)
Darius Garland (Rank: 147, ADP: 145.8)
Jaxson Hayes (Rank: 155, ADP: 141.7)
Rui Hachimura (Rank: 161, ADP: 136.6)
De’Andre Hunter (Rank: 174, ADP: 143.2)
Jarrett Culver (Rank: 176, ADP: 145.7)
Coby White (Rank: 202, ADP: 138.8)
Tyler Herro (Rank: 209, ADP: 141.0)
Cam Reddish (Rank: 215, ADP: 138.8)
Some 8-cat love (ESPN)
I’ve also added another column on the right-hand side showing ADPs from ESPN, so as not to leave out our valued customers who play using that platform.
Please remember that ESPN’s crowd tends to be more 8-cat inclined than 9-cat, so you should expect some differences in ADP. Given the fact that we’re also talking about a completely different platform, it’s almost an apples-and-oranges comparison vs. Yahoo’s data, so try not to pit one number vs. the other.
Still, the gap is weird if you’re just talking about a one-category difference. We also could be looking at more points leagues being played in ESPN vs. Yahoo. That said, seeing Kemba Walker going at 17.9 in Yahoo! but 42.1 in ESPN is weird, and definitely something to note if you play on both platforms.
The discrepancies get even bigger the deeper we go. For example, Myles Turner is at 24.0 in Yahoo! and 86.6 in ESPN. So yeah, just use these to guide you for the respective platforms you’re using. Don’t bother looking at one column and then the other. It’s just a head-scratcher that’ll thin your hipster ‘do.