MPG Projections: Atlantic Division

  • (33-37) – In the rotation, estimate of minutes at the end of the year
    (0, 10-18) – 0 indicates player may not be in rotation at times, 10-18 indicates probable mpg at end of year)
    (0, 5-10,*) – * indicates player may not make the roster

    Kenny Atkinson
    Coach, Brooklyn Nets

    PG: Kyrie Irving (33-34) / Spencer Dinwiddie (29-32)
    SG: Joe Harris (30-32) / Garrett Temple (22-25) / Theo Pinson (0, 10-16)
    SF: Caris LeVert (29-31) / Rodions Kurucs (26-29) / Dzanan Musa (0, 10-16) // Kevin Durant
    PF: Taurean Prince (30-33) / Lance Thomas (0, 17-23) / Wilson Chandler (DEC, 18-24) / Nicolas Claxton / Henry Ellenson
    C: DeAndre Jordan (25-28) / Jarrett Allen (24-27)

    Notes: There are some prime rest candidates in Kyrie Irving and DeAndre Jordan, and Wilson Chandler is washed and Garrett Temple’s knee is a total question mark. That gives a nice cushion for the guys you have question marks about that feel like they’re crowded out. There’s some nice hidden value in that equation.

    Brad Stevens
    Coach, Boston Celtics

    PG: Kemba Walker (33-34.5) / Brad Wanamaker (0, 9-18) / Carsen Edwards / Tremont Waters
    SG: Jaylen Brown (31-34) / Marcus Smart (30-32)
    SF: Jayson Tatum (32-34) / Romeo Langford (0, 14-20)
    PF: Gordon Hayward (28-32) / Grant Williams (18-25)
    C: Daniel Theis (0, 15-20) / Enes Kanter (25-28) / Robert Williams (0, 14-19) / Vincent Poirier (0, 8-16) / Tacko Fall (0, 6-12)

    Notes: This definitely has the potential to be one of the more stable rotations in the league, but if you look closely there is also some opportunity for reserves to be sucked into a vacuum should anything weird pop up with Kemba Walker’s knee, Gordon Hayward’s general physical package, or Enes Kanter can’t sustain heavy workloads. Marcus Smart has racked up some mileage and playing for Team USA over the summer isn’t doing him any favors.

    David Fizdale
    Coach, New York Knicks

    PG: Elfrid Payton (25-27) / Dennis Smith Jr. (24-28) / Frank Ntilikina (0, 18-22)
    SG: R.J. Barrett (24-28) / Damyean Dotson (23-26) / Allonzo Trier (21-24) / Wayne Ellington (0, 19-25)
    SF: Kevin Knox (26-29) / Ignas Brazdeikis // Reggie Bullock
    PF: Julius Randle (27-29) / Bobby Portis (25-28) / Taj Gibson (0, 19-24)
    C: Mitchell Robinson (25-29) / Marcus Morris (24-26)

    Notes: James Dolan and the Knicks have serious culture issues and it resulted in them adding half the league’s power forwards and so much more than is worth talking about in this space. David Fizdale had as rough a season as you’ll see last year and though that would be easy to pin on the front office, he flip-flopped as much as any coach we’ve seen in recent years and it was chaotic. None of these players stand out as great targets except for Mitchell Robinson, who might get inverted because of the hype train.

    Brett Brown
    Coach, Philadelphia Sixers

    PG: Ben Simmons (33.5-34.5) / Trey Burke (10-20) / Raul Neto (0, 10-16) / Shake Milton (0, 12-17)
    SG: Josh Richardson (33-35) / Zhaire Smith (0, 14-20) / Marial Shayok
    SF: Tobias Harris (34-35) / James Ennis (20-23) / Matisse Thybulle (17-22)
    PF: Al Horford (29-31) / Mike Scott (17-21) / Jonah Bolden (0, 12-18)
    C: Joel Embiid (32-34) / Kyle O’Quinn (0, 8-16) / Norvel Pelle

    Notes: The Sixers went and got top-heavy with one of the more impressive starting lineups one is going to find. The value proposition here is that if Josh Richardson can cover your point guard you might be cooked. Each of the main guns is going to get all they can eat and that’s the story in Philly.

    Nick Nurse
    Coach, Toronto Raptors

    PG: Kyle Lowry (32-34) / Fred VanVleet (28-29) / Cameron Payne (0, 8-16) / Isaiah Taylor (0, 8-16)
    SG: Norman Powell (19-23) / Patrick McCaw (0, 14-19) / Matt Thomas (0, 8-16) / Terence Davis (0, 7-14)
    SF: OG Anunoby (22-29) / Stanley Johnson (16-24) / Malcolm Miller
    PF: Pascal Siakam (34-36) / Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (20-26) / Dewan Hernandez
    C: Marc Gasol (29-31) / Serge Ibaka (26-28) / Chris Boucher (0, 9-18)

    Notes: The Raptors carried a ton of depth so it shouldn’t be too surprising to see that even with Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green suddenly exiting stage right, they still field a pretty good squad. Pascal Siakam is testing his ceiling this year and it pairs well next to the deference and age of Kyle Lowry and Marc Gasol. Serge Ibaka can cruise through the regular season and some of the more niche questions are whether OG Anunoby reclaims some of his buzz, or if Fred VanVleet can take some of his playoff momentum and establish himself as an above average guard in the NBA.

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