MPG Projections: Central Division

  • (33-37) – In the rotation, estimate of minutes at the end of the year
    (0, 10-18) – 0 indicates player may not be in rotation at times, 10-18 indicates probable mpg at end of year)
    (0, 5-10,*) – * indicates player may not make the roster

    Jim Boylen
    Coach, Chicago Bulls

    PG: Tomas Satoransky (25-28) / Kris Dunn (20-26) / Ryan Arcidiacono (0, 15-21)
    SG: Zach LaVine (33-35) / Coby White (0, 17-23) / Adam Mokoka
    SF: Otto Porter (30-33) / Chandler Hutchison (0, 18-24) / Denzel Valentine (0, 16-23)
    PF: Lauri Markkanen (31-33) / Thaddeus Young (27-29)
    C: Wendell Carter Jr. (29-32) / Luke Kornet (0, 14-18) / Daniel Gafford (0, 9-16) / Cristiano Felicio

    Notes: The good thing about this somewhat tight rotation is that roles are fairly defined. Zach LaVine laid claim to this team last season, Tomas Satoransky won’t fight anybody for shots, Otto Porter was given the green light as a big acquisition, Lauri Markkanen is an established starter now and Wendell Carter Jr. is going to get cut loose for the most part at center. Thaddeus Young can’t handle much more than what we’ve projected. The point guard situation is a mess and it’s unclear how they could even keep Kris Dunn, so he’s rated as traded as you can see.

    Update: Friend of the program Mark Strotman is plugged in as it gets in Chicago and he seems to think Carter is going big, which makes sense, and Luke Kornet hasn’t won the local media over in terms of a substantial backup role, so this is pointing toward bigger minutes for Carter. I’m reading a lot of tea leaves but it seems like the Bulls are going to install Dunn as the backup, stagger him from LaVine and play Coby White as a combo guard off the bench. MPGs updated accordingly.

    John Beilein
    Coach, Cleveland Cavaliers

    PG: Collin Sexton (33-35) / Brandon Knight (0, 15-21) / Matthew Dellavedova (0, 15-21) / J.P. Macura (2W?)
    SG: Darius Garland (18-30), Jordan Clarkson (29-32) / Sindarius Thornwell (0, 13-23) / Jarell Martin (0, 9-18) / Timothe Luwawu (0, 12-24)
    SF: Cedi Osman (33-35) / Kevin Porter Jr. (18-26) / Dylan Windler (0, 11-22)
    PF: Kevin Love (26.5-30) / Larry Nance (22-27) / Dean Wade
    C: Tristan Thompson (25-29) / Ante Zizic (0, 16-26) / John Henson (0, 16-25)

    Notes: Now this is an impressive wasteland. Four of the five guys in the frontcourt are either injury-prone or have otherwise had trouble staying on the court. If you’re looking for a rotation to go to hell fast, this is it. The backcourt and wing situation is pretty clear cut, too. Collin Sexton is going to build off a solid second half of the season, Jordan Clarkson is going to do what Jordan Clarkson does, and Cedi Osman has enough physical tools to stay on the floor in this group. Where things get hazy is with Darius Garland, who played just five games in college due to injury, and then after those guys you have some interesting young talent so somebody in the group of Sindarius Thornwell, Kevin Porter, Dylan Windler and Jarell Martin could easily be a factor at some point. Soak it all up Cleveland, it’s gonna rock.

    Dwane Casey
    Coach, Detroit Pistons

    PG: Reggie Jackson (26-28) / Derrick Rose (23-26) / Tim Frazier (0, 13-19) / Jordan Bone
    SG: Luke Kennard (25-30) / Langston Galloway (17-22) / Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk (0, 12-19) / Khyri Thomas / Deividas Sirvydis
    SF: Tony Snell (18-24) / Bruce Brown (16-23) / Sekou Doumbouya (0, 13-18) / Joe Johnson (0, 12-19)
    PF: Blake Griffin (31-34) / Markieff Morris (21-26)
    C: Andre Drummond (33-33.5) / Christian Wood (0, 16-23) / Thon Maker (0, 12-17)

    Notes: One of the league’s easiest reads didn’t get too much tougher. The big question is whether Andre Drummond is due for an injury and how Blake Griffin holds up after dragging his knee around through the end of the year. After them, Markieff Morris and Michael Beasley are question marks and Christian Wood lurks waiting to go big. It’s hard to peg Sekou Doumbouya playing big minutes but it would be a whole lot cooler if he did. The backcourt is a mess but maybe Luke Kennard can run away from the mileage on Reggie Jackson and Derrick Rose.

    Nate McMillan
    Coach, Indiana Pacers

    PG: Malcolm Brogdon (29-31) / Aaron Holiday (16-22) / T.J. McConnell (0, 16-20)
    SG: Jeremy Lamb (24-27.5) / Edmond Sumner (14-22) / C.J. Wilcox / Victor Oladipo (estimated early JAN, 25-29, 44 games post-Jan 10)
    SF: T.J. Warren (27-31) / Justin Holiday (19-25) / Doug McDermott (0, (15-18) / Brian Bowen / JaKarr Sampson (0, 9-18)
    PF: Domantas Sabonis (28-31) / T.J. Leaf (0, 8-16) / Alize Johnson / JaKeenan Gant
    C: Myles Turner (27-30) / Goga Bitadze (0, 8-14)

    Notes: The Pacers are going to have a very tight rotation as they have six guards that can play and that’s before they get Victor Oladipo back. Things don’t get too much better in the frontcourt where they stole T.J. Warren this summer and the frontcourt is already vying for high-end minutes, before you consider anything that Doug McDermott, T.J. Leaf and rookie Goga Bitadze can provide. This will be a frustrating situation for fantasy owners, though guys like Malcolm Brogdon, Jeremy Lamb, T.J. McConnell and Justin Holiday have shown they can subsist off low minute totals in the past.

    Mike Budenholzer
    Coach, Milwaukee Bucks

    PG: Eric Bledsoe (28.5-31) / George Hill (20-24) / Frank Mason (2W)
    SG: Wesley Matthews (25-28) / Sterling Brown (18-24) / Donte DiVincenzo (0, 15-20)
    SF: Khris Middleton (31-32.5) / Pat Connaughton (20-24) / Kyle Korver (0, 16-19) / Thanasis Antetokounmpo
    PF: Giannis Antetokounmpo (33-34) / Ersan Ilyasova (18-22) / Dragan Bender (0, 10-20)
    C: Brook Lopez (26-28) / Robin Lopez (20-24) / D.J. Wilson (0, 9-18)

    Notes: While there were some key departures in Malcolm Brogdon and Nikola Mirotic the Bucks took back a ton of lower-end, veteran depth. The net effect is a bit more crowded of a rotation, especially when one considers that George Hill might have figured things out with this squad during the playoffs and Sterling Brown is probably ready to make some noise. Donte DiVincenzo looked good last year before he got hurt and Pat Connaughton is also on the upswing. They added another Lopez. The big dogs are gonna eat here but with so much depth it could eat away at the edges.

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