March 6, 2016, 7:36 pm
JaMychal Green got 24 minutes in Sunday’s loss to the Suns, scoring a career-high 17 points on 5-of-7 shooting (7-of-10 FTs) with five rebounds and two assists before fouling out.
Green brought his standard league credentials up to a top 130-140 level over the last two weeks, with averages of 20.1 minutes, 9.7 points, 0.3 treys, 3.4 boards, 0.9 steals, 0.3 blocks and 59.1 percent field goal shooting over the last seven games. During that time he hit 73.7 percent of his foul shots on a healthy 2.7 attempts per game, which is heavy but mostly neutral to his value. Over 81 career games he is a 51.8 percent field goal shooter so he’s looking at a sizeable regression in that department, though it’s hard to hold a guy to those numbers when he gets 12.9 mpg. The rest of his numbers fit into a model to support the top 130-140 valuation at that amount of playing time, minus the issue of shooting.
So the question really becomes, can he get 26 mpg and render the question about field goal percentage a side issue, and can he continue to shoot at a high clip? With Chris Andersen getting knocked out of tonight’s game due to a shoulder injury, it’s possible he’s the last man standing in the frontcourt. Or, Dave Joerger can play Jarell Martin seven minutes and Ryan Hollins 12 minutes as he did tonight, and keep Green’s minutes down below 25. Then it would be on Green to keep his numbers up. He’s pretty damn close to a must-own player in 12-team leagues for his upside.