January 29, 2017, 10:59 am
Today’s slate comes with some intriguing situations and players to consider. Can the Warriors continue their onslaught of blowout wins on the tail end of a back-to-back? Will DeMar DeRozan suit up? Can the Bulls set aside their differences and extinguish the “dumpster fire” in Chicago? Asking rhetorical questions is a bad writing habit so let’s just dive in.
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Kyle Lowry: $8,800
Sans DeRozan, Lowry has even more offensive responsibility on his shoulders. The over/under for this game is a modest 208, but I think the slowed pace will allow the offense to flow almost exclusively through Lowry who should be able to attack the basket and rack up peripheral stats with ease. Nikola Vucevic is no rim-protector and Elfrid Payton is no lock-down defender, so again Lowry should have the freedom to play his game and run the offense. If by chance DeRozan is able to give it a go, Lowry remains a strong option but loses some upside. Consider Damian Lillard at the same price after being snubbed yet again and playing in a big game at home.
Rajon Rondo: $3,800
Here’s to hoping the Bulls can get things rolling again after the recent social media nightmare in Chicago. Rondo’s price has fallen tremendously and rightfully so, but he was afforded 32 minutes last game and put up 34.9 FDP in that time.The Bulls may just be trying to shop Rondo by allowing him to play and therefore raise his trade value, but motives have nothing to do with FanDuel points. If he can top 30 minutes once again against an Embiid-less Sixers squad, there’s no reason he shouldn’t be able to produce similar numbers at an extreme discount. Those with a weaker stomach may what to consider T.J.McConnell.
Norman Powell: $4,900
This pick obviously comes with the DeRozan-string attached. Strings aside, Powell has been rewarding players with great value at an affordable price all while playing over 30 minutes a game without DeRozan. If DeRozan is to miss his fourth consecutive game, Powell is yet again a fantastic value pick in all formats. Consider Bradley Beal if DeRozan suits up.
Seth Curry: $4,000
No Deron Williams and an incredibly thin backcourt means it’s Curry-time. Even with Wesley Matthews expected to play, I’m sure Curry will see a full complement of minutes to go along with steady production on Sunday. While the Mavs are playing the Spurs tonight, Tony Parker leaves a lot to be desired from a defensive standpoint and Curry should be able to score around 18 points tonight. That scoring coupled with some generous assist numbers and perhaps a steal or two should allow Curry to hit or exceed value without much worry.
Kevin Durant: $10,600
The Warriors are coming straight off a blowout win against the Clippers and heading to Portland to face the Blazers. With an over/under of 230, this game is sure to be a high scoring affair. While there is a blowout risk, the fact that this is the second game of a back-to-back and in Portland makes me believe the game will be close for the majority of the time. If that is indeed the case, Kevin Durant should be in line for huge game. The Blazers are woeful to say the least on defense and really have no one to slowdown Durant. If he wants to, Durant could have a 40 point outing and close to 60 FDP.
Paul George: $8,300
George has been playing great during the recent stretch of games and has hit 40 FDP is three consecutive games. This should be another fast-paced, minimal defense type game in which the Rockets are only favored by three points. Playing in Indiana, George should continue his excellent play against one of the league’s premier teams as the Pacers look to prove they should be taken seriously. If reaching for either George or Durant proves to be outside your budget, consider Aaron Gordon ($5,200) for tournaments and Trevor Ariza ($5,300) for cash games.
Draymond Green: $7,900
While I may not personally be a fan of Draymond, I can’t ignore the fact that the dude has one of the most versatile skill-sets in the game right now. In a game I expect to stay close and against an opponent the Warriors should definitely not lose to, I fully expect Green to play with a ton of energy tonight and hype up the team. A triple-double could be on the horizon as well as a 45+ FDP performance in a matchup with one of the most lackluster interior defenses in league history.
Ryan Anderson: $4,900
Anderson has fallen off the DFS map recently due in part to some missed games and ho-hum stat lines. However, the fact that the big man played 36 and 42 minutes the past two games should not go overlooked. We all know Anderson is capable of lighting it up from 3 and it tends to happen in close games rather than blowouts. He comes with considerable risk of continuing his disappearing act so he is better suited for tournament play but could pay big dividends. Consider Serge Ibaka for cash games.
Myles Turner: $6,800
He is the same price as Nikola Vucevic but I like Tuner better for his consistent minutes and high ceiling. It has been a while since a big Turner game and one must be approaching. This matchup with Rockets should be a good one and Turner should be able to effectively run the pick and roll and get some open mid-range shots. I can see a 40 FDP performance and low ownership for Tuner tonight in Indiana.
If Jahlil Okafor misses another game tonight, run Nerlens Noel ($4,700) and either Turner or Mason Plumlee ($7,000) at center. Good Luck!