• Article by Devin Ellington (@daellie007 on Twitter)

     

    Liberty (-2.5) at Syracuse

    Liberty is only in their second season as a member of the FBS but they sure don’t act or play like it. Here, they are laying 2.5 points on the road versus the Orange who play in a Power 5 conference. Keep in mind that the H.C. for the Flames is Hugh Freeze, formerly a head coach in the SEC. Liberty is 4-0 with a very experienced backfield as well as offensive and defensive lines returning depth. Cuse could possibly fire Dino Babers at the end of the season(or before). With that being said, I dont have faith in Tommy Devito or his wideouts. Not to mention his linemen give up immense amounts of interior pressure. Liberty has the better defense and this game opened at a PK. Liberty goes on the road and gets it done.

    Bet: Liberty -2.5, opened PK.

     

    Army (-7) at UT-San Antonio

    The Roadrunners darn near pulled an upset versus #15 BYU last weekend behind very solid defense and veteran leadership at the QB position in Frank Harris. The Cougars struggled to score the ball in the first half AND in large spots during the second half. The UTSA defense contained Zac Wilson and did not let him make many explosive plays with his ability to extend pockets. The Roadrunners forced Wilson to pass and were beaten by him making big plays when he needed to most. Army does not have a QB who can throw the ball like Mr. Wilson can. Army does have one of the nation’s best run defenses but they are weak against the pass. UTSA has a chance at covering as well as winning outright if they can be better than average on the ground and continue to not turn the ball over (+1.7 TO ratio). Overall, the metrics show these two teams are pretty evenly matched and on top of my eye test I love getting 7 points as a home dog with UTSA.

    Bet: UTSA +7

     

    Duke at NC St. (-4)

    I am on the side of the Wolfpack here and there is ONE sole reason why: QB DEVIN LEARY … This kid has come in and started the last 3 games and posted a QBR of 152.5 with 7 TDs and 1 interception. The offense is operating cleaner which will be huge going up against a Blue Devils team who has an Opponent RZ success of 85%. Plus, we can’t forget to mention the four guys on the Wolfpack injury report right now are all players that are more than likely going to be able to play this week. Duke just beat a lowly Syracuse team (see: write-up for the first play in this article) so I feel this number has been downplayed. NC St. just went on the road three weeks in a row and lost to Va Tech but then beat ranked Pitt as well as tough ACC foe Virginia.

    Bet: NC St. -4

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