October 14, 2020, 7:09 pm
This article is meant to update the market moves for this week in college football. Specifically, I am going to be taking a look at some lines that have already moved a decent amount,as well as look ahead to see what some other lines might do.
Coastal Carolina at #23 UL Lafayette (-7)
As of writing this article the line is now ULL -9. The Ragin’ Cajuns are getting a couple of guys back who will benefit the team with their play. The injury report was FULL for ULL at the start of the week (as mentioned in my “First Looks” article). I feel the move is drastic based on health alone. No matter who ULL gets back, the Chanticleers started this week with ZERO bodies on the injury list. All their personnel has been practicing and preparing for the full week. The QB play in this game is going to be smart and dynamic. Between CCU signal caller Grayson McCall and the Cajuns QB Levi Lewis, we are going to be in for a treat. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention this game is featuring two 3-0 teams. I love a couple different angles in this lone Wednesday night football game but my favorite is going to be taking those points with Coastal Carolina. I sprinkled the ML at +250 but I have high confidence in that bet, as well.
Bets: CCU (+7), ML +250
Virginia (-2.5) at Wake Forest
This line has been a super weird and fishy one from the get-go. It opened as a pick, went all the way to UVA -3 and has now settled at -2.5. To me, it seems as though the bookmakers have tried to adjust to the recent play of Virginia which has been very lackluster. After covering the 28 point spread versus Clemson they went ahead and lost at the hands of N.C. State by 17 to follow that game up. The problem is… Wake Forest is nowhere near the team the UVA is, based on defensive prowess alone, as well as returning depth. The Wolfpack beat WF by only 3 points, so there could be an argument to the contrary of my previous statement. Needless to say, Virginia should win this game by at least one possession and I believe they can get back right here versus the Demon Deacons. UVA QB Armstrong has to not turn the ball over for the Cavaliers to win and cover in this spot.
Bet: UVA (-2.5)
#5 UNC (-13.5) at FSU
The Tar Heels are coming off of a phenomenal performance against ranked Virginia Tech and now they come into Tallahassee to take on a lowly Seminoles team, with an opening line of UNC -9 going all the way up to nearly two TDs. I believe we are seeing the market adjust to how stacked this UNC team is on offense behind Sam Howell at QB and a plethora of NFL bound receivers and linemen. Mack Brown has the Tar Heels program back in the Top 5 for the first time since 1997 … when he was the coach. Brown has his team locked in and they have a Heisman dark horse in Howell. The last time FSU was getting at least 10 points at home they lost to Clemson 59-10. The Seminoles DID make a QB change that was long overdue but I just don’t think it is going to be enough against this Tar Heel team that is uber-balanced.
Bet: UNC (-13.5)