August 11, 2021, 1:14 pm
2021 Wyndham Championship in Greensboro, North Carolina
Plays from Joe Campise
Last week went well. Free Bet cashes as Daniel Berger finishes in the Top 20. Sergio did not finish in the Top 20, that bet lost, but he did beat Rose in the matchup. Scheffler handled his business versus Finau. Final Tally +1.9units. I have been on a strong streak since July 8th, I am up 8.4 units.
Defending Champ: Jim Herman. This is the last stop of the season for the PGA Tour. The FedEX playoffs start on August 19 at The Northern Trust in New Jersey. It will last three tournaments and end with The Tour Championship on September 2nd.
The majority of the top ranked golfers are sitting this tournament out. Reed and Matsuyama are the biggest names at the tournament. As a result, the model has some random names. The Favorites are Webb Simpson +2500, Louis Oosthuizen +3000, Hideki Matsuyama +3000.
In creating the model this week, I used Strokes Gained Total, Off the Tee, Short Game, and Approach (Last 8 rounds and 36 rounds). Also, I used Strokes Gained at Sedgefield in the last 8 rounds and 36 rounds. I used Strokes Gained on Par 4s 400-450 yards in the last 8 and 36 rounds.
Plus… two golfers I want to mention that don’t appear in this Top 10 but play this course very well are Webb Simpson (Strokes Gained Total in this Tournament – 46.9. 15 strokes better than the second ranked golfer Ryan Armour). Si Woo Kim is the second golfer. He has a T3rd and 5th place finish at this tournament in the last two years.
Top 20 Ryan Armour +350 (MyBookie) Ryan Armour has the top spot in my model and has had a great tournament (& course) history in the last 4 years. He ranks 3rd in Strokes Gained Total, 5th in Strokes Gained Short Game, and 5th in Strokes Gained Par 4 400-450 yards in the last 8 rounds. He ranks 16th in the last 8 rounds, Strokes Gained Total at Sedgefield. In the last 36 rounds, Armour still has respectable rankings – Strokes Gained Total ranked 25th, 1st in Strokes Gained Par 4 400-450 yards, Strokes Gained Short Gamed ranked 39th.