April 14, 2021, 8:09 pm
Analysis by Joe Campise
Let’s recap last week – Hideki Matsuyama wins The Masters. We cash one Top 10 bet on Jordan Spieth+100. Two of our Top 20 bets cash – Kim +400 and Matsuyama +135. We cash both tournament matchup bets – Thomas v Bryson and Simpson vs. Fleetwood. We lost two Top 10 Bets – Berger and Thomas & one Top 20 bet – Paul Casey. We lost both of our to win bets – Casey and Simpson.
The tour heads to Hilton Head, SC for the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links. The defending champ is Webb Simpson. Dustin Johnson is the favorite at +1000. Webb Simpson is +1200 and Patrick Cantlay is +1400. In the last 12 rounds at Harbour Town GL, Dustin Johnson is 10th overall in total Strokes Gained, ranks 1st in Strokes Gained off the tee, 46th ranking in Strokes Gained Putting, and 29th in Strokes Gained Approach. Webb Simpson is 1st overall in Total Strokes Gained at Harbour Town FL, 26th SG – OTT, 19th SG – P, and 2nd in SG – Approach. Cantlay – 2nd Total, 4th OTT, 22nd Putting, and 15th APP.
Favorite DraftKings Plays:
Cantlay – $10,900 14% Projected Ownership
Hatton – $9,500 12% Projected Ownership
Fleetwood – $8,800 6% Projected Ownership
Fritelli – $7,200 3% Projected Ownership
R. Knox – $6,800 4% Projected Ownership
Paul Casey +2800
Charley Hoffman +200
Kim -115 v Horschel
Horschel ranks 52nd in Total Strokes gained in the last 12 rounds and 65th in the last 24 rounds at Harbour town. His ball striking has not been good – ranking 60th in the last 36 rounds overall.
Kim ranks 21st overall in Total Strokes Gained and 10th overall Strokes gained in the last 24 rounds at Harbour Town. Kim’s Ball Striking SG is ranked 14th in the last 36 rounds.
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