• By Joseph Campise

     

    We’re moving along to the Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Copperhead Course in Tampa, FL.

    The Defending champ is Paul Casey who won back in 2019. This event was canceled in 2020. In the last 12 rounds, Paul Casey is 23rd overall in Total Strokes Gained. In the last 36 rounds, he is 8th overall. I backed him in the Masters and he did not perform well. Justin Thomas is +800 on MyBookie and he is the favorite. In the last 36 rounds, he is 2nd overall in Total Strokes Gained. In the last 12 rounds, he is 4th overall.

    Top 10 Total Strokes Gained in their Last 12 rounds at the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook. Must have 10 rounds played:

    Charl Schwartzel

    Patrick Reed

    Henrik Stenson

    Ryan Moore

    Bubba Watson

    Kevin Na

    Jason Dufner

    Sean O’Hair

    Charles Howell III

     

    Free Tournament Matchup:

    Glover +100 v  Streelman

    Streelman ranks 101st in total Strokes Gained in the last 12 rounds at Innisbrook. Overall he is 63rd in his last 12 rounds in total Strokes Gained. Glover ranks 36th overall in the last 12 rounds at Innisbrook. And he 6th total Strokes Gained in his last 12 rounds in overall play.

     

    DraftKings Plays

    10-11k Range:

    Justin Thomas $11,500. He is fist overall in my model. Projected Ownership: 13%

    9-10K Range:

    Scottie Scheffler $9800. Projected Ownership 10.4%. Cash game options: Conners,Im and Henley

    8-9K Range:

    Ryan Palmer $8500 10% Projected Ownership

    7-8K Range:

    Denny McCarthy $7500 9.8% Projected Ownership

    6-7K Range:

    Ryan Moore $6900 Projected Ownership 3.9%

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